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Horist: Looking Ahead to 2022

Horist: Looking Ahead to 2022

I shall not embark on the most dangerous part of opinion commentary – making predictions that folks at home can check throughout the year.

Number 1 – Republicans will win the House in the 2022 midterm elections

This is significant because the wholly owned media subsidiaries of the Democratic Party are throwing journalistic integrity to the wind in an attempt to convince voters that Republicans taking control would be the end of the American Republic. Every day CNN and MSNBC (and others) hammer that propaganda message 24/7. They are at a loss to explain why Republicans – other than President Trump – did so well in the 2020 election – and even Trump garnered more votes than he did in 2016. The GOP also came out on top in the 2021 off-year elections. When the GOP came roaring back in 2014, President Obama admitted that Democrats had taken a “shellacking.” They may well see an even bigger one in November.

Number 2 – Republicans will win the Senate in 2022

That is a closer call, of course, but I do believe the GOP will have a one or two seat majority in the next Congress based on the past elections noted above and the polling data that shows the Republicans in their strongest position in history – with an unprecedented 10-point preference lead among voters.

Number 3 – Big gains for Communism

President Biden’s surrender in Afghanistan has triggered a renewed aggressiveness across the Communist world – among the major players and their client states. Russia is more likely than not to invade Ukraine. Putin wants his troops on the border of NATO and not NATO troops on the border of Russia. So far, his desire to reassemble the old Soviet Union has been successful as America stood down and watched from the sidelines – as in Georgia, Belarus and the Crimea. In violation of the agreement returning Hong Kong to China, President Xi Jinping will crush that last democratic resistance in the island province. He will also put greater pressure on Taiwan – if not launching a full invasion Beijing’s threats and actions will become more aggressive. North Korea’s Kim Jong-un will be back in the bosom of China and will be launching more nuclear-capable missiles able to reach the United States.

Number 4 – A rise in terrorism

Again … Biden’s surrender in Afghanistan will trigger an expansion of worldwide terrorism directed at the United States, Europe and Israel. The terrorist victory in Afghanistan has increased recruiting and decreased America’s intelligence capabilities. We saw the precursor of that in the Taliban’s quick and brutal takeover of Afghanistan – with murderous terrorists taking leadership positions in that nation. We are losing the War on Terrorism. Afghan is now a terrorist state. The loss of Afghanistan has pulled Pakistan further into the terrorist-accommodating fold. Hamas will up its attacks on Israel. U.S. Border Patrol has arrested individuals from known terrorist states – including some identified as known terrorists. The new leadership in Iran – an already terror sponsor – is headed by a person directly responsible for the killing of thousands of people. The dark clouds of terrorism are gathering on the horizon.

Number 5 — Schiff will lie again … and again

I predict that California Congressman Adam Schiff will tell another political whopper – probably more than one. I am not talking about the usual level of bs politicians engage in on a daily basis, but some notable BIG lies. You will recall how he said he had seen hard evidence that Trump criminally conspired with the Russians in their election meddling – only to be proven a liar when Special Counsel Robert Mueller said it was not so. There was that quote he read into the Congressional Record of the text of Trump’s phone conversation with Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky only to be busted for making up the words. And more recently Schiff altered a text message claiming that Congressman Jim Jordan had authored it – both lies. Okay! Okay! Yes, this is a no-brainer in terms of predictions. I might as well have predicted that the sun would rise every morning in 2022.

Number 6 – Trump will continue to obsess over the 2020 election.

It is obvious President Trump does not read my commentaries – or does not follow my suggestions. I have several times written that it is time to deal with the future. President Biden is in the White House. However, no matter how one views the 2020 popular vote, the issue was legally and constitutionally settled by the vote of the Electoral College. That is how we elect presidents … period. Whether he runs in 2024 or not, Trump, the GOP and the nation would be better off in focusing on the terrible policies of the radicalized Democrats and the future elections. Okay, another no-brainer.

Number 7 – Pelosi’s carefully Select(ed) Committee will go flat

Rest assured that the one-sided kangaroo committee allegedly investigating the Capitol Hill riot that the House Speaker put together as a political vehicle to attack Trump – and by extension Republicans and conservatives – will not complete its work before the 2022 midterm elections – and will not get all the witnesses they desire. Instead, they will hold highly (and favorably reported) hearings that will be nothing more than a political dog-and-pony-show. AND they will issue an “interim report” for the sole purpose of creating political fodder prior to the November elections. BUT even as the Committee has the myopic support of the left-leaning media outlets, it is not resonating with the public as much as Pelosi had hoped. Despite all the hoopla and the biased coverage, the product of the Committee will have little impact on the 2022 elections. And when the GOP takes over in 2023, there will be no Pelosi Select(ed) Committee at all.

Number 8 – The earth will not destruct, and humanity will not be wiped out

Yes, the earth has been warming lately. But the Draconian predictions will not happen in the near or distant future. We may have to adjust to the earth’s period of warming as we await a future mini-ice age. The earth has been doing it for billions of years. Frankly, I am more worried about the mega-caldera we call Yellowstone Park. If that sucker blows – and it is a couple hundred-thousand years overdue – we will see real devastation across America – and the world. But in terms of weather, next year will be a lot like this past year. I hope that is true in terms of Florida, where I currently reside. Despite dire predictions and even some erroneous claims, this was one of the mildest hurricane seasons of recent years.

Number 9 – The Democrats soft-on-crime policies will get a huge pushback

Make no mistake about it. The wave of crimes sweeping the nation is the consequence of years of Democrat policies that have sided with the criminals against the victims – and the police. These include the elimination of bail, de-criminalizing serious crimes (assault, battery, shoplifting and even drive-by shootings). On top of that, Democrat prosecutors are refusing to press charges for crimes that remain on the books. The entire demeaning, defunding and restraining the police is having a direct impact on morale, recruitment, enforcement and ultimately crime. It is so bad that some Democrats are already reversing their positions. Then there is the crime wave that is the direct result of the Democrats’ open borders policies. Yes, most of the millions of migrants may be good people, but tens of thousands of hardened criminals and even terrorists are embedded in those human caravans. And many of the good people arriving at the border are there with the aid of paid criminal gangsters – AND many of the migrants – especially women and children — arrive as victims of violent crimes. More and more, Democrat policies are being recognized as the source of the rise in crime.

Number 10 – Covid will subside … but protective measures will not

We are heading into the third year of the Covid Pandemic. We have had a lot of good news – vaccines, medications, weaker variants. But the medical bureaucrats and the fearmongering media are responding as if this is the same Pandemic we were suffering throughout 2020 – and even then the protective measures went beyond the real risk. By Spring, the scientists tell us that the Pandemic should be further subsiding in terms of severity, hospitalizations and deaths. But the medical bureaucrats – most notably Dr. Anthony Fauci – are hinting at something akin to permanent masking and regulations over interior spaces. I predict that they will be successful (sadly) in continuing to impose damaging restrictions throughout the next year.

Number 11 – President Biden will have at least one trip to the hospital

I am not referring to routine check-ups. But a visit that is the result is symptoms of something. It may involve being admitted. Vice President Harris will again be handed the reins of presidential power – which will have me sending Biden a “get well soon” message.

Number 12 – the Cubs will win the World Series.

Okay! That is not a prediction but wishful thinking

After such a grim list, it is hard to say with conviction … but anyway … HAPPY NEW YEAR!
So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry HoristLarry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.


  1. Ben

    Damn Larry,
    I want what you’re smoking! Must be some good stuff!

    • Harold blankensHip

      You’re already dopey enough

  2. frank stetson

    I shall not embark on being folk, at home, checking throughout the year on Larry’s prognostications. I would never say:

    January 1st update:
    Number 1 – Republicans will win the House in the 2022 midterm elections
    Number 2 – Republicans will win the Senate in 2022
    Number 3 – Big gains for Communism
    Number 4 – A rise in terrorism
    Number 5 — Schiff will lie again … and again
    Number 6 – Trump will continue to obsess over the 2020 election
    Number 7 – Pelosi’s carefully Select(ed) Committee will go flat
    Number 8 – The earth will not destruct, and humanity will not be wiped out
    Number 9 – The Democrats soft-on-crime policies will get a huge pushback
    Number 10 – Covid will subside … but protective measures will not
    Number 11 – President Biden will have at least one trip to the hospital
    Number 12 – the Cubs will win the World Series.

    No to all except Number 6 and 8, a resounding yes.’
    Happy New Years Day

    • larry Horist

      Frank … that means you are predicting the opposite on ten of those predictions … eh? We will just have to see if your list or mine holds up as the months fly by. I do wish you a Happy New Year, too … but from from your prediction’s, I fear it will not be all that good for you. At least politically.

      • frank stetson

        I was just commenting on your own predictions Larry. Perhaps this is the year you forget what you said yesterday. It’s printed just above, in the story you submitted, just the other day :>)

        I really doubt you have any fears over how my year goes; sarcasm may be your epitaph.

        But we will keep scoring you, I expect you will be explaining that “flat” means Trump did not go to jail for example, how physicals count as hospital visits, etc.

        If you didn’t want follow up, why would you submit these publicly?

        • larry Horist

          Frank… you are not making a lot of sense. Since you said no to 10 of my predictions, it automatically means to believe the opposite will be the case. We will have to wait and see. What is it that you think I failed to recall in a past submission? And you again presume to what I mean by the Pelosi Committee going flat. and I specifically excluded routine physicals. You should read more carefully before you respond. And what make you infer that I do not want you to respond? I have to confess, I do not read the comments regularly … but on a slow evening, I will engage. So, you can know this was a slow evening.

  3. Ben

    Larry, speaking of Covid subsiding … where is Ron Desantis? Florida just set a new record for cases of Covid and Ronnie hasn’t been seen in weeks.

    Things that make you go hmmmm

    • Bill underwood

      Ron has been taking his wife to cancer treatments

  4. frank stetson

    Ron was last seen on a Carnival Line Cruise Ship unable to dock at Aruba because of infections. He was hoping to get a pcr test there that he can’t find in Florida.

    • Gary cook

      That’s a damned lie

  5. Tom lofgren

    Biden did not surrender to Afghanistan. In 2020, Trump, on his own, surrendered to the enemy. His deal was if the Taliban did nothing to disturb his second term bid, he would give them Afghanistan. The recognized government in Afghanistan was not part of the deal except for Trump sweetening the deal by forcing them to release 5,000 Taliban prisoners. You scoff at climate change because you are counting on not being here then.

    • Joe Gilbertson

      Trump was negotiating an ordered pull out, that would have left many of the reforms in place. He would have made sure that all of our assets were accounted for, and left room to change his mind if people were going to get hurt. If would have left room for future dialog.

      Biden pulled everything out without negotiation, left our allies, our equipment and more in the hands of the enemy and caused chaos. Anyone who cooperated with us is now dead. That means that in the future no one will ever want to cooperate with us again. It show us (Biden) to be cowards.

      If you don’t see the difference then you don’t know history.

      • Carlos adkins

        That’s what happens when you have an idiot in charge. Biden is the biggest idiot of all times

    • larry Horist

      Tom. Trump laid down conditions for a pullout … not a total surrender He delayed the pull out twice because the Taliban were not obeying the conditions. One of Trump’s key demands was that the Taliban would not seize control of the government, but engage in a negotiated power sharing — which the Taliban refused to agree to as evidenced by their actions. The pull out was to be coordinated with our allies. And regardless of what Trump did or did not do … would have done or not done … the decision to order a unilateral immediate pullout was on Biden. He was not bound by anything Trump did or agreed to in the past. Even Biden’s top military advisors will not in support of the quick retreat. If what Biden did …over the protest of our allies … was not an unconditional surrender, you you have to show me what one looks like.

      • Ben

        Larry, then why did trump negotiate with the Taliban and NOT the Afghan government.

        And let’s not forget about trump abandoning our American Allies, the Kurds.

        I’ll give it to you, it takes a lot of effort to be this partisan and ignore the facts that get in the way of your radical right views. I get it, your readers aren’t educated enough to figure it out, or they are willfully ignorant. But still. Have some integrity.

        • larry Horist

          Ben … as one of my obsessive negative trolls I wonder why you say things about me that are provable untrue. Either you have comprehension or memory problems, are ignorant or a partisan liar. Somehow you do not recall my criticism of Trump over the Kurds … and his plan to pull out of Afghanistan — although not as unconditionally as Biden’s surrender. Your contention that my readers are not “educated enough” as you imply YOU are is the height of arrogance. You have a typical leftwing attitude that anyone who disagrees with out is uneducated or worse. Frankly, I have not found you to be very insightful, knowledgeable or intelligent in you screeds — you baseless ad hominin attacks on my age, mental agility, integrity, “radical views” etc. — and your idiot and dishonest use of “brown people” as a universal retort — do not serve you will. I respect your right to say whatever you like — true or not. But the right of free speech does not mean you will be taken seriously.

          • Ben

            Larry, thanks for replying. I thought you were still butt hurt about me calling you out for allowing such racist and bigoted posts directed at me.

            The right of free speech doesn’t mean It will be taken seriously? Unfortunately, your readers exists in an echo chamber and don’t realize that your old out of touch, ivory tower living, elite ass shouldn’t be taken seriously.

            All I do is serve as a fair and balanced approach to your hyper partisan, radical right rants. It’s not meant to be insightful ( although I imagine at your age, sight isn’t a strong suit of yours), just factual. Which, I’ve noticed, you rarely dispute the facts, just whine like a snow flake.

            As far as not serving Will, I serve no man… except my boss ( until he stops paying me) and of course the citizens of my community… but other than that… besides, I don’t even know Will!

  6. Frank stetson

    Well, it’s pretty easy to say “here’s what Trump would have done.” Of course, predicting Trump is impossible. I mean he’s a guy who said never give the enemy your schedule as he gave the Taliban Biden’s schedule.

    Did you predict when Trump will concede the election? Get Healthcare and Infrastructure passed? Win the populate vote? Show us voter fraud that would change the election?

    Nope. You can’t have a clue what would have happened under Trump’s reign. Nice swag.

  7. larry Horist

    Frank … Of course, no one can predict anything in the future with certainty. We engage in a ritual of educated guesses — and now so educated. Brother Bruder has predicted from time-to-time that Trump will land in jail before 2024 — and that the GOP will be crushed in 2022. I disagree. You have essentially predicted that 10 of my predictions will not happen. That is on your. In terms of what “Trump would have done” re Afghanistan, we have some evidence to go one. What he has said and what he has done — essentially postponing any withdrawal because the Taliban were not adhering to Trump’s conditions. Frankly, I think Trump is NOT impossible to predict — and that has been one of his problems. That is why I predicted they he would not give up talking about the 2020 election even though I have written in the past that he should. I cannot even predict with certainty what I will do tomorrow. Too many dynamics. But if one educates themselves — and applies some real-world objectivity to trends and human nature — it is possible to hit the mark with a lot of those educated guesses. Predictions do not make things happen, so it is more or less a political parlor game.

    • frank stetson

      Larry, I said what I meant: January 1st update….. as in the status of your predictions. My bad for attempting humor.

      Then you said some screwy stuff so I added: “I was just commenting on your own predictions.” along with “But we will keep scoring you” Tell you what — I will not score you, comment on your predictions; it’s apparently too confusing…. I certainly did not predict your prediction would come true or not. I don’t think I committed because then I would be predicting and that’s not for me, not on this stuff.

      Meanwhile, you talked about Trump’s Afghanistan measured pullout followed by admitting no one can predict, but you seem to think Trump had a plan. How can a consummate liar have any plans? You said: “Trump laid down conditions for a pullout … not a total surrender. He delayed the pull out twice because the Taliban were not obeying the conditions. One of Trump’s key demands was that the Taliban would not seize control of the government, but engage in a negotiated power sharing — which the Taliban refused to agree to as evidenced by their actions. The pull out was to be coordinated with our allies.”

      Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin said: “There was no handoff to me of any plans for a withdrawal.”

      So Larry, once again can you show us what you know?
      – what was the plan for Trump’s pullout from Afghanistan
      – what were the conditions for Trump’s pullout?
      – did Trump “power share” on this with the Afghanistan government?
      – when did he delay the pullout, twice, from what dates to what new dates. And what conditions did the Taliban not honor? You noted one: power sharing. Then again, Trump never exercised that with the Afghan government, but it might be a condition.

      I mean if you have the plan, send a copy to Mr. Austin. He and the Congress have yet to see it.

      I expect to hear some humina’s, humina’s soooooon.

  8. Ben

    #7 is looking like wishful thinking. With the release of the letter of trump wanting to seize voting documents and the military helos circling the Capital on J6 with operators standing by with shoot to kill orders. J6 may in fact be much more of a big deal than previously thought.

    #10. Florida Covid cases are up 900% over the last couple of weeks. All while Disantis has been MIA. Maybe some of those precautions shouldn’t have been dropped so soon. killing off your base isn’t a great political strategy.

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