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Gilbertson: 15 Predictions for 2022

Gilbertson: 15 Predictions for 2022

This is a time honored tradition for pundits and commentators to make predictions for the next year, so here goes. These are the best I can do based on my interpretation of events and conversations with people who know stuff. At the end of the year (if I remember) I’ll do a post mortem.


  1. Republicans will take Congress by 20 seats. They will take the Senate by 2 seats. Numerous attempts to cheat will be exposed and thwarted.

2. Trump will announce for President, Pompeo will be his running mate. DeSantis will stay in Florida. Nicki Haley will announce her candidacy for President as well. No other significant challengers.

3. VP Harris will announce a run for President 2024. At least 3 Democrat Governors will announce, as well as some of the last elections schmucks. AOC will announce for the Senate, and be smashed by Schumer.


3. Putin will invade the Ukraine (70% chance) in February or March. Biden and Western Europe will implement anemic sanctions that will make no difference whatsoever.

Counter Prediction (30% chance): Biden and the EU offer gifts of great magnitude to Putin so that he does not invade the Ukraine. He gets the pipeline, he gets a guarantee that NATO will not expand, some trade agreements, guarantees and a whole lot of other crap.

4. China will not back down and will continue to build its military, but it will not attack Taiwan in 2022. They will announce at least two major new weapons systems, and consolidate control over all Asian waters.

China will not be forced to pay reparations for COVID, but China’s economy will suffer badly, and therefore its people will too. Xi will not care, it does not interfere with his plans. The Silk Road and other initiatives will continue.

5. Iran will announce they have nuclear weapons. Israel will attempt to take them away. Biden will condemn Israel’s attempts (whether successful or not), and will not do anything about Iran.

I previously predicted that the U.S. would be mired in a three front war. It will not happen in 2022. The events of 2022 that I predict here are a dress rehearsal, circumstances will coalesce in 2023.


6. COVID will continue at moderate levels, but treatments will emerge and the death rates will dwindle. By November people will stop caring at all, except as a political issue. At least five states will continue strict COVID measures, and the party in charge will not be re-elected. Democrats will suffer greatly because of it.


7. Inflation will exceed a rate of 10%/year for at least three separate months.

8. The Fed rate will increase to 1.5% but no higher. A new inflation measurement will be introduced, perhaps more than one. If more than one, they will disagree with each other.

9. Bitcoin will rise, but will not hit $100,000.

10. Housing prices will continue to rise in preparation for a significant crash in 2023.


11. Alec Baldwin will not go to jail. Jussi Smollett will go to jail, but not for more than a month. Elizabeth Holmes will not go to jail. Ghislaine Maxwell will be sentenced to an effective life sentence, but will agree to a deal with the Feds. She will commit suicide, shortly thereafter.

12. Mass exodus from California and New York will quietly continue, and increase by 50% in 2022.

Administration and Congress

13. The Democrats will pass no major legislation during 2022. Build Back Better will not come back to life. Major climate initiatives will not pass.

14. Biden will have at least two major health scares during 2022. They will be played down and not well publicized, but the rumors will tell all.

15. Abortion rights will continue to tighten in 2022. The Supreme Court will find a way to dodge a ruling on Roe v. Wade.

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  1. Ben

    Man, I can’t argue with any of these predictions, they are spot on for a conservative columnist.

    With the exception of trump’s running mate. It is obviously going to be JFK Jr. haven’t you been keeping up? Dang, you are so out of the loop.
    AND Schiff is already dead, tried and hanged by a military tribunal. These two predictions nullify the rest of your predictions

    • Joe Gilbertson

      About Schiff – I’ll volunteer for the firing squad. I’ll even pay for the bullets.

      • Ben

        I passed your post on to the FBI. They are very interested in the radical right extremist issuing death threats.

        • Joe Gilbertson

          They were here this morning, they gave me a box of bullets…

        • MaCk ewing

          No you didn’t. Quit lying

      • frank stetson


        That is a most unpatriotic, unamerican, and uncool thing to say. First, you would be the first to say that you don’t really mean it, that it’s feckless hyperbole, right?

        You are not actually advocating that you are willing to assassinate Adam Schiff, a US Senator, are you?

        And that the FBI is helping you in your plot?

        Is this part of your stage act?

        • Joe Gilbertson

          You suggested that there was a fire squad, I suggested that I would participate. This is your feckless hyperbole, not mine.

          • Joe Gilbertson

            Actually, you suggested a hanging, I should have volunteered to weave the rope.

  2. Joseph valdes

    Let’s see what happens in 2022…!?!?