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Biden’s Popularity Crisis: 86% of Democrats Believe He Should Not Run in 2024

Biden’s Popularity Crisis: 86% of Democrats Believe He Should Not Run in 2024

In the 2016 presidential election, Trump won because the electorate disliked Hillary Clinton more than they disliked him.  In 2020, Biden won because the electorate disliked him less than they disliked Trump.

Heading into the 2024 presidential contest, there is a possibility that the two major parties will nominate candidates widely disliked by the General Election voters.  Yes, each has a significant base in their respective parties, but overall, the American voters would prefer that they both drop out.  That is the overwhelming opinion expressed in the polls.

There is something decidedly wrong with a political system that puts up candidates that the people do not like or want.  That is the definition of a broken system.

Biden has a particularly vexing problem.  At least Trump is popular with his base.  They want him to run and be returned to the White House.  That is not the case for Biden.

Biden’s overall favorable rating lingers in the mid to low 40 percentiles.  That alone is a huge red flag. But that is not the worst news for Biden and the Democrats.   

According to a recent CBS Poll, an astounding 86 percent of Democratic voters believe Biden should not run because of his age.  On the flip side, the Poll shows that 77 percent of Democrat voters want “someone new,” ‘’ and 59 percent have a specific like for someone other than Biden.  And those are the Democrat voter numbers.

Biden’s best number in the Poll may be the most ominous.  It showed that only 46 percent of Democrat voters believe Biden should not run because of his performance in office.  That means most Democrat voters see his performance – his record – as a positive in terms of running.

But wait!

His performance is his high card.  Biden and his Democrat colleagues have been hitting hard on his record of accomplishments.  According to the messaging, when voters understand what he has accomplished, they will support him at the ballot box.

But the CBS Poll number indicates that after months and months of pumping his “accomplishments” – with the help of a crony media – almost half of Democrat voters do not believe that his performance earns re-election.

If two years of bragging about accomplishments in the most hyperbolic terms have not convinced half of Democrat voters of his worthiness to run, that message is dead as a winning strategy in the General Election.  Personally, I believe it is not working because what he delivered is not as grand and wonderful as they claim.  It is a bit of snake oil salesmanship – and voters apparently are not buying it.

According to an ABC News-Washington Post Poll, forty percent of Americans feel that they are financially worse off since Biden assumed the presidency.  That is the highest number dating back 37 years.

That leaves Biden with a one-note strategy.  The hope is that the voters dislike Trump – if he is the GOP standard bearer – more than Biden.  And that is by far not a guaranteed winning strategy.  What if it is not Trump?  What if it is a younger … more vital … more articulate Republican candidate?  What happens if the contest is NOT based on which candidate the voters dislike the least?

We probably know the answer to that.  We find it in the trashing of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis by Democrats and leftwing media.  They need to make any other potential Republican candidate as disliked as they perceive Trump to be.  

That is because their chances of having voters see the second run by Biden in a positive light is extremely unlikely.  That 86 percent of Democrats who believe Biden is too old to run in 2024 are not likely to change their mind as he gets older and has more gaffes and senior moments.    If they cannot make Biden more appealing, they need to tear down the competition.  They obviously see that as an easier challenge with Trump than any other candidate.

I suspect that the smart folks around Biden understand that if their opponent is not Trump, they are in deep trouble – meaning they would probably lose the election.

POSTSCRIPT:  There is another number that should have Biden worried.  Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. entered the race with a respectable 14 percent support among Democrats.  A damn good number for a supposedly fringe gadfly candidate. And that number has gone up to 19 percent.  One can only wonder what West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin’s number would be if he entered the race.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

17 Comments

  1. Frank stetson

    Seems like Larry repeats himself when under stress.

    Repeats himself when under stress.

    Didn’t everyone already know this?

    Where’s da beef?

  2. larry Horist

    Frank Stetson … Not sure about the Larry Horist of your imagination, but this Larry Horist does not get stressed. And especially not over your desire to be the obsessive contrarian. Unlike you, it is never personal with me. For me, you have the importance of a fly at a picnic — a meaningless pest that needs to be brushed away occasionally. Consider yourself brushed off.

    • Frank stetson

      Nah, that wasn’t personal…

      It must’ve been the other, Larry Horist, the fake stupid, fucking idiot, Larry Whoreis.

      Spanked again Josie… 🥹

  3. Darren

    Biden is going to loose the election even if he runs against Trump.
    The question is, will Biden even know it?

    This is the only reason they have piled so much useless crap against Trump
    over the last seven years.

    When you Drain the swamp, all the political power that makes a tremendous living
    because of the Swamp will do everything in its power to stop you.
    Democrat’s & Republicans alike.

  4. Mike f

    I think the big takeaway here is not that Democrats think Biden should not run (he is too old), but the difference between the ‘base support’ in each party. Democrats clearly want a candidate to be at the top of their game-republicans want a candidate who delivers a message that appeals to them. That is why you have so many Republican idiots in congress, which you don’t see on the Democrat’s side…

  5. Darren

    Do you really think Democrat’s have less fools in Congress than the Republicans.
    Really?
    Just start with the Squad. That would be at the top of their game.
    Then you go down from there.

    • Mike f

      Sorry Darren-republicans win the idiots in Congress hands down. With MTG, Boebert, Gaetz, Gosar, Gym Jordan (honorable mention for former member Madison Cawthorn), democrats don’t have a chance. These are truly low-IQ people. You may think that ‘the Squad’ is too far to the left (they are definitely out of the mainstream), but they are not stupid-which the Republicans I mentioned prove on a daily basis…

      • Frank stetson

        Don’t forget “do the Hawley” parody of “Do the hustle” as he fist pumps the insurrectionists and runs away like a little girl…. That’ll never get old.

        • larry Horist

          Mikef and Frank Stetson. You guys get the award for going off topic. You prefer to vent rather than intelligently dialogue. But that is okay. I am a free speech extremist. It is your right to make fools of yourselves.

          • Frank stetson

            Says the master of name calling fools.

            You seem to be such a narcissist, that you believe everything is about you and your weak-tea article. You say you believe in free speech, but apparently forget how to read. Mike and I were responding to Darren,. Mike even used his name in his passage that you must’ve read.

          • larry Horist

            Frank Stetson … You were — and often are — off subject. You even hypocritically accuse others of being off subject. But then projection is you SOP. You accuse other of name calling when you are among the leaders in childish name calling. More projection? You flatter you own sarcasm — which is neither pertinent nor witty. But what would I do if you were not the number contributor to my daily emails — with excessive wear on the delete key. And I do notice that you are in constant criticism of the other writers on this site — and the site itself. You are an around-the-clock gutter snipe. When I consider how much time you put in on your irrelevant screeds, I have to believe whatever life you have beyond PBP is limited and pitiful.

          • Frank stetson

            You seem a tad bothered Larry.

            Free speech got ya goat?

  6. Robin W Boyd

    In reality, no one actually voted for Biden. How could anyone vote for such a documented liar and plagiarist? Biden only got votes from those who were convinced to vote against President Trump. That is no way to elect a president.

    • Frank stetson

      Really? Not even Hunter? Melania?

      Can you prove no one voted for Biden

      Of course not.

    • Mike f

      Somehow 70M people voted for someone that told over 30000 lies during his 4 years in office. Biden has definitely stretched the truth at times, but he doesn’t hold a candle to trump..

  7. EMMA

    UNLESS THE DEMOCRATS CHEAT AGAIN AS USUAL, BIDEN WILL NEVER WIN. ANYONE LOOKING AT HIS DESTRUCTION OF OUR NATION, NO ONE IN THEIR RIGHT MIND WOULD VOTE FOR THIS SENILE CORRUPT IMBECILE.OPEN BORDER,BIDENOMICS, WAR ON VS. ENERGY 40 YEAR HIGH INFLATION, COLLAPSING RETIREMENT FUNDS, MORE OVERSPENDING, BANK FAILURES, HIGH INTEREST RATES. THEY DEDRACT FROM TEACHING ACADEMIC STANDARTS.FOCUS ON RACE ETHNICITY THEN INDIVIDUALS AND MERIT. PROMOTING GENDER IDEOLOGY, OR INAPPROPIATE SEXUAL CONTENT. CRT TAUGHT IN SCHOOL.WEAKEND OUR MILITARY WITH DRAG QUEENS. AFGHANISTAN ETC IT JUST GOES ON AND ON. WE NEVER HAD SUCH A FAILURE IN OUR HOUSE. HE GAVE US 8 MILLION MORE ILLEGAL CRIMINALS, WHO GET 100% SUPPORT FROM OUR TAX DOLLARS, WHILE WHITE CITIZENS SUFFER UNDER THIS ”’INSTALLED” NOT ”’ELECTED” FOOL.

    • Frank stetson

      The only thing stupider than the concept of Democrats. She is the fact that Republicans are too stupid to catch them.

      Prove it or stfumf

  1. Frank I can’t understand what’s wrong with MAGA. You idiots on the left are satanic bastards out to destroy patriots.…

  2. Don’t tell me nout proof. I’m too Young to need proof. I don’t need no stinkin proof. We all know…