Will Putin Invade NATO?
Given the humiliation of the Russian military in Ukraine – and the abysmal state of the Russian economy – the idea of instigating war with even one NATO nation seems ludicrous. But then … Russian dictator Putin is just insane enough to think such a move could be remotely successful. Not at the moment, but sometime in the future.
Perhaps his madness is fueled by his past successes and his myopic ambition to rebuild the old Russian empire … the Soviet Union … the Warsaw Pact. After all, he has been consistently gaining pieces for his puzzle map – most notably Georgia, Moldova and the eastern regions of Ukraine. He has also developed close ties with Hungary, Slovakia, Belarus and Serbia. Hungary and Slovakia are NATO members.
Putin is particularly angered by the many Warsaw Pact nations that are now in NATO. In fact, most of them. His paranoia is further exacerbated by the more recent inclusion of Norway and Finland. Especially Finland, since it has a 1340-mile border with Russia.
Putin has been positioning troops along the Finnish border – and a new military command post 100 miles east of the border. These are suspicious actions since Putin desperately needs troops to carry out his war on Ukraine.
According to Latvian intelligence sources, Russia has been increasing surveillance of NATO military activities in the Baltic Sea. In addition, Russia has increased its incursions into NATO airspace and performed aggressive maneuvers near both ships and aircraft. In addition, motorized military brigades near Latvia are being enlarged to divisions – as has the marine brigade near the Baltic. All these actions are tests and preparations characteristic of Putin’s plans for future military aggression.
An attack on a NATO nation is not imminent. Russia simply does not have the military capability of opening another front at this time. But Putin is known to be patient. He firmly believes that time is always on his side. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda also sees an eventual attack on NATO’s eastern front – with Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia being the most likely targets. Nauseda believes that Putin could launch such an attack “in a few years” – and said his nation has 4 to 5 years to prepare.
Putin is driven by a maniacal ambition to recreate the old Soviet Union in the same way his predecessors forged the original — by force of arms. His invasion of Ukraine – and his larger vision – should be enough for the United States, NATO and the world democracies to take advantage of this moment to crush Putin by defeating him in Ukraine – and that means removal of all Russian troops for the country … return of the kidnapped children … and stiff reparation for the rebuilding of Ukraine. Carpe Diem.
So, there ‘tis.
“Given the humiliation of the Russian military in Ukraine – and the abysmal state of the Russian economy – the idea of instigating war with even one NATO nation seems ludicrous. But then … Russian dictator Putin is just insane enough to think such a move could be remotely successful. Not at the moment, but sometime in the future.”
Thank you, Joe Biden.
Thank you, Larry, for the summary.
And thank everyone who helped retard joe steal the election
Hes crazy enough to do that.
Someone, even Larry, should clue Trump in on the situation. Have him read Larry’s assessment of Putin’s moves on NATO nations and intent in progress. Surely, Trump would appreciate and entertain Larry’s strategy to eliminate Putin’s planned aggression in his region.
Clearly, Trump is currently awash in his own mind on more important things closer to home, like his recent trip to Mideast countries and deals made while there.
Pesky Ukraine War Putin started before Trump became president happened on Biden’s watch. That Biden didn’t finish the job in Ukraine is, in Trump’s mind, not a major issue. Trump knows Putin. He has talked to with him before. They understand each other and will agree on terms for the cease fire and terms for an end of Russia and Ukraine fighting
Trump appears miffed with Biden on many issues. One of those happens to be the Russia-Ukraine debacle and that it was left to him in the first place.
Larry’s piece on that very issue points to an operation plan that, if successfully undertaken and completed, would silence Putin and restore peace in Ukraine and, arguably, the world with its continuing conflicts in several places.
Now, how could Larry’s opinion voiced in his commentary get to Trump in the White House for his consideration. Assuming, after receipt Trump would share the information with his cabinet of advisors with whom he would work out the particulars.
When diplomacy doesn’t bring results. Then, the alternative option is implemented. Obliterating opponents drives them to a position of surrender.
In Trump World it is the desired end results that justifies the means taken to achieve those results.
Should Trump not employ his usual measures for success against his opponents. It’s reasonable that he will not see success in his negotiations with Putin.
Larry’s insights on the matter would be lost on Trump, Inc even if he had received and read them.
Trump views are fairly simple and transactional. Central to his decision making is one big question. What’s in it for me? Then, follow up questions are; where’s the benefit to me? How much do I get out of it? Does this cost me anything? How short is the payoff?
Finally, Trump will wonder, what will the other party get out off this deal? In his view, if the other party receives any benefits from the transaction. Trump believes he left to much on the table. But, that scant amount left is bound to become exaggerated in Trump’s telling as fodder in self promotion
Unfortunately, solid information like Larry’s to often does not reach the decision making upper echelons of the executive branch and military strategists.