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Has Trump Fallen into the War of Attrition Trap?

Has Trump Fallen into the War of Attrition Trap?

For more than eight decades, the United States has failed to secure outright military victory in any major conflict. The pattern is painfully familiar. America enters with overwhelming force, achieves early success, then succumbs to prolonged negotiations that lead inexorably to withdrawal or surrender. The results have been disastrous. In Korea, the nation remains divided, and the United States now confronts a nuclear-armed Kim Jong Un. In Vietnam, American forces cut and ran, handing the entire country to the communists. In Afghanistan, President Biden unilaterally pulled out and surrendered the country back to Taliban terrorists. In Iraq, the United States walked away before a stable, friendly government could take root, leaving a nation largely aligned with Iran. Since the decisive triumph over Germany, Japan, and the Axis powers in 1945, America has not won a single major conflict. Instead, it has accepted stalemate, defeat, or strategic retreat dressed up in diplomatic euphemisms.

President Trump began his confrontation with enemy powers in a manner that broke sharply from this sorry history. He took decisive, bold, and successful military action against the Venezuelan regime and in interdicting the flotilla of drug runners sailing out of Venezuela. Then came the strike on Iran’s nuclear program in June of 2025.

After forty-eight years of Iranian attacks on United States citizens and assets, after a slow-motion war waged against America, Israel, and Western civilization itself, Trump acted without compromise, weakness, or timidity.

The American military, in record time, crushed Iran’s air force, navy, and defense network. It eliminated scores of the regime’s most powerful and malignant leaders. The initial phase of the operation was a masterpiece of precision and overwhelming force. No one could accuse Trump of hesitation or half measures at the outset.

Yet rather than press the advantage to clear and total victory, Trump appears to have paused. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iranian forces appeared to trip him up. That development was entirely foreseeable and could have been preempted with increased military pressure. Instead, he fell back on the tired mantra of “no boots on the ground,” even though boots on the ground may well have been required to topple the regime completely and secure the enriched uranium stockpiles.

Trump then called for a ceasefire. Most serious military strategists will tell you that one does not call for a ceasefire when the enemy is on the run and its command structure lies in ruins.

He set a two-week deadline for Tehran to comply with his demands. When that deadline passed without consequence, the pattern grew disturbingly familiar. Suddenly, it appeared that Trump and the United States were being jerked around by the mullahs in Tehran. The never-Trump radical left began attacking the President by parroting Tehran’s own propaganda talking points. The leaders in Tehran are now making a mockery of American resolve.

This situation bears an uncomfortable resemblance to the failed negotiation strategies pursued for decades by left-wing diplomats and politicians. These are not the “doves” of popular analogy who seek peace through prudent restraint. They are weak-willed and misguided “chickens” who would rather negotiate their way to defeat than commit to the hard work of winning a war.

They prefer endless talks, ceasefires without enforcement, and face-saving withdrawals over the decisive application of American power. The Obama-era Iran deal delayed nuclear ambitions for 15 years – if Iran complied– while leaving enrichment infrastructure intact and ignored terrorism sponsorship.

Biden’s chaotic exit from Afghanistan handed the country back to the very terrorists that harbored those who attacked America on 9/11. The same timid mindset that produced stalemate in Korea, capitulation in Vietnam, and strategic reversal in Iraq now threatens to undermine Trump’s early successes.

The current negotiations with Iran echo every previous diplomatic blunder. Deadlines come and go without penalty. Demands for the permanent elimination of Iran’s nuclear capability and the removal of enriched uranium soften into vague promises and future talks. The regime retains enough residual capacity to threaten the Strait of Hormuz and prolong the conflict. Proxy forces, though weakened, still operate. The mullahs sense American reluctance to finish the job and respond with defiance rather than submission. This is precisely how previous administrations allowed enemies to regroup, rearm, and return stronger. Trump, who campaigned on strength and America First, now risks repeating the very cycle he once condemned.

If the United States does not follow through to total victory, the consequences will mirror every prior failure. Iran will reconstitute its nuclear program. Terrorism sponsorship will resume. The region will remain unstable. America’s enemies will conclude once again that the United States lacks the will to win – is a paper tiger.

The pattern must end. Bold initial action is not enough. Decisive follow-through is required. Boots on the ground, if necessary, must not be ruled out. The enriched uranium must be removed. The regime must be rendered incapable of future aggression – even if that means regime change. Anything less repeats the old, failed policies that have cost American lives, treasure, and credibility for eighty years.

It is time to break the cycle. It is time to win a just and necessary war.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So, there ‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of businessman, conservative writer and political strategist Larry Horist. Larry has an extensive background in economics and public policy. For more than 40 years, he ran his own Chicago based consulting firm. His clients included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. Larry professional emphasis has been on civil rights and education. He was consultant to both the Chicago and the Detroit boards of education, the Educational Choice Foundation, the Chicago Teachers Academy and the Chicago Academy for the Performing Arts. Larry has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress, and has lectured at colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern and DePaul. He served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. Larry has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries have appeared on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by audiences for his style, substance and sense of humor. Larry retired from his consulting business to devote his time to writing. His books include a humorous look at collecting, “The Acrapulators’ Guide”, and a more serious history of the Democratic Party’s role in de facto institutional racism, “Who Put Blacks in That PLACE? -- The Long Sad History of the Democratic Party’s Oppression of Black Americans ... to This Day”. Larry currently lives in Boca Raton, Florida.

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