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Polling pendulum swinging back in Trump’s favor

&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">For a while&comma; Democrats thought they had President Trump on the ropes&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi; Some thought the incessant attacks and universal blame game had finally produced a knockout&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">However &&num;8230&semi; the most recent polls show Trump’s resilience and the Democrats’ reliance on their shop-worn&comma; failed hyperbolic attacks that Trump is a king-like authoritarian who is bringing down the American democracy&period;  How many times can they yell &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;king&comma;” &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;dictator&comma;” &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Nazi” and expect it to work on the American public that has rejected that bs consistently for the past 10 years&period;  Only a small minority of overly zealous partisans – or people with IQs in single digits – have bought into that political garbage&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Despite the left-wing establishment’s high hopes&comma; Trump’s overall polling numbers are on the upswing again&period;&nbsp&semi; According to a Newsweek article by Martha McHardy&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;President Donald Trump&nbsp&semi;is experiencing a rebound in public opinion&comma; new polling showing a surge in his national approval ratings&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The ratings range from a high 55 percent approval rating in the Insider Advantage poll to the lowest YouGov&sol;Economist poll at 42 percent approval&period;   What is noteworthy&comma; however&comma; is that Trump has moved up in every one of the surveys conducted by the top ten polling organizations&period;  The polling average gives Trump a 48 percent approval rating&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">At this time four years ago&comma; President Biden had a 52 percent approval rating&comma; but that was before the Afghanistan fiasco&period;  After that&comma; Biden never achieved a favorable rating above the 50 percent mark – and it eventually sank into the 30th percentile range&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The J&period; L&period; Partners&sol;Daily Mail poll has Trump at 50 percent &&num;8212&semi; up 5 points from the previous poll&period;&nbsp&semi; The Reuters&sol;Ipsos puts Trump at 44 percent – up 2 points&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Trump has shown an upswing on key issues&comma; such as his handling of the economy and immigration&period; His cutting taxes is popular with voters&period;  According to CNN’s numbers guru&comma; Harry Enten&comma; 60 percent of voters want Trump’s tax cuts even if they add to the National Debt&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">It is not only Trump who is doing better&period;  So is the Republican Party – especially in Congress&period;  While Democrats are pounding congressional Republicans&comma; it is the Democrats in Congress who are in trouble with voters&period;  According to Enten&comma; the approval of congressional Democrats is at an all-time low – prompting Enten to rhetorically ask&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;How low can they go&quest;” <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">According to Quinnipiac Research&comma; only 21 percent of all voters approve of congressional Democrats &&num;8212&semi; a record low&comma; with a whopping 68 percent disapproving&period;  More shocking is that only 40 percent of Democrats approve of their party’s performance in Congress&comma; with 49 percent disapproving&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Democrat strategist James Carville points out that polls are only polls&period; It is elections that count&period;&nbsp&semi; Pointing to anecdotal Democratic victories in recent elections&comma; he remains optimistic about the Democrats’ chances in 2024&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">I have predicted a Democrat take-over of the House based on the current narrow margin held by Republicans and the tradition of the party holding the White House to lose seats in midterm elections&period; With the current polling numbers&comma; I see a slightly greater possibility for the GOP to hold control&period;  A lot will depend on Trump’s popularity in the summer of 2026&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">As I warned Democrats not to get too giddy over Trump’s falling polling numbers&comma; I advise the GOP not to get too giddy over the current upswing&period;  It is good news for Republicans&comma; but nothing that cannot change&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The only thing I believe we can draw from these numbers is that Trump has resiliency and Democrats still have no idea how to take him on politically&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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