
<p>We know the election prospects for Democrats are getting dimmer and dimmer. ; We see that in the polls – some of which are analyzed later in this commentary. ; Check them out. ;</p>



<p>Politics is a game in which anything can happen. ; It would be imprudent to make firm predictions on the outcomes of the 2022 midterm elections. ; But reading the tea leaves is a quintessential part of the political process for the pundits. ; It is an irresistible attraction, and we pundits are not an immovable object. ; So, I shall opine.</p>



<p> ;Democrats and the media have their narratives. ; If current trends hold, those narratives will be proven to be terribly flawed.</p>



<p>One narrative is that Democrats have a “messaging problem.” ; It is not the policies and the issues. ; No. No. No. They divide their excuses between a “sender” or “recipient” problem. ; They keep saying that they (Biden) are not messaging well – or that the American people are just numbskulls and do not get it.</p>



<p>I think there is a different and more fundamental explanation for the Democrats’ declining popularity. ; It is not that the public does not understand the Democrats contributions to the people’s betterment. ; It is that they do not believe the political propaganda. ; They hear the message, but do not believe it. ; It is the issues, stupid.</p>



<p>More than 90 percent of the American public believes the nation is going in the wrong direction – and it is the Democrats in the wheelhouse. ; One disaster after another is occurring on Biden’s watch – and he is not absolved from blame. ; Sixty-four percent of Democrats do not want to see Biden lead the ticket in 2024. ; He now has the lowest favorable rating of any President since the advent of polling. ; ;</p>



<p>The Democrat strategy has been to demonize Trump and then spread that toxic imagery across the entire Republican Party. ; They did that for two years with the Russian Collusion conspiratorial theory – until that failed when it was debunked by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. ; The Ukraine conspiracy theory fared no better in terms of moving the needle.</p>



<p>They are now deeply committed to the Coup Attempt conspiracy theory. ; This is being seen for the political hyperbole and spin it is. ; Were it not for a large segment of the news media willing to echo the mendacious left-wing narratives in a shameful and dangerous abandonment of traditional journalistic standards and ethics, Democrats would be even less popular – if that is even possible?</p>



<p>Democrats are now attempting to pump up the abortion issue as a game-changer – even though most women – and especially liberal abortion-seeking women – live in states where abortion is still legal, and is likely to remain so in the absence of a national ban. ; The mass shootings are offering another opportunity for the far left and the media (excuse the repetition) to see another opportunity to shame voters away from the GOP.</p>



<p>According to Democrat leaders, they have produced many accomplishments for the people … the situation is much better than the people seem to think … and all their campaign issues are manna from the progressive heaven which should be appreciated by the people. ; ;</p>



<p>So, how is it working? ; Not well. ; And why not?</p>



<p>Weeeell … in a nutshell, the American public is divided between not believing the Democrats narratives – or not liking them. ; What else could explain Biden having the lowest favorable rating in presidential history? ; He is rated by the people BELOW Trump. ; That should get Democrats re-evaluating everything they are saying and doing.</p>



<p>Democrats and their media cronies have thrown just about everything possible at Trump and the GOP – as if both are one and the same. ; That is clearly not working. Trump has a set of issues all his own.</p>



<p>Let’s look at the recent Monmouth poll – and keep in mind that Democrats are counting on insurrection, abortion, and guns to be their winning issues. ; The Monmouth poll rates the top issues on the minds of the voters as Inflation (33%), gas prices (15%), the economy (9%), everyday bills (6%), abortion (5%), and guns (3%). ; And this was before inflation surged up over 9 percent – the highest since the Carter days.</p>



<p>Interestingly, this question did not deal with crime and the southern border – two other issues that do not play out well for Democrats. ; I would even offer a third issue that is not adequately considered in news analysis and polling – cultural values. ; I think the left has gone so bonkers on many of the cultural value’s issues that it is now a major consideration for voters – and one that does not play well for Democrats. ; Voters of all kinds are not responding favorably to communist-style euphemisms like “menstruating person” or “gender fluidity” – or the abandonment of the basic pronouns of “he” and “she.” ;</p>



<p>After all the media browbeating of Republicans by the left, the issues that most concern the voting public are those that track against Democrats. ; If you follow my commentaries, you know that I have long informed the readers that guns and abortion are not major factors in voting decisions. ; ;</p>



<p>One of the polls that caught my attention was the Politico/Morning Consult poll that directly addressed the Trump issue. ; It has an unusual posing of the question, but voters were asked to agree or disagree with a statement that “Trump claimed 2020 election was stolen without evidence.”</p>



<p>Overall, 65 percent of all respondents said that Trump had no evidence – up from 64 percent in June. ; Essentially no change. ; Here is the breakdown by party affiliation.</p>



<p>June July</p>



<p>Democrats 86 86</p>



<p>Republicans 37 44</p>



<p>Independents 66 63</p>



<p>While Democrats held firm, the GOP respondents actually increased their belief that Trump lacked evidence to prove his claim. ; BUT … independents had less belief that Trump lacked evidence – meaning that more independents believe Trump DID have evidence of vote fraud. ; They actually moved away from the Democrat narrative. ; Ponder that. ; After all the highly promoted testimony by the Select Committee – and that constant reference to the “big lie” &#8212; and the non-aligned independents are more likely to believe Trump.</p>



<p>We are not talking about proof or truth – but perception. ; In politics, perception is reality. ; What this poll suggests is that the Democrat narratives have not moved the needle in their direction one iota. ; If independents moved at all, they have shifted slightly to the GOP side.</p>



<p>Another portion of that survey was even more informative. ; It showed that the Democrats wet dream of having Trump prosecuted in a court-of-law was even less successful. ; When responding to the statement, “Trump should be prosecuted for attempts to overturn the election,” the respondents in June gave it a 66 percent “yes.” ; In July – after more of those so-called “hearings” &#8212; the percent of people wanting Trump to be prosecuted dropped to 50 percent.</p>



<p>When you view the response in terms of partisanship, here is what you get</p>



<p>June July</p>



<p>Democrats 87 84</p>



<p>Republicans 27 12</p>



<p>Independents 60 48</p>



<p>Even Democrats were less desirous of having Trump prosecuted.  ; Among Republicans, those open to a prosecution dropped by more than half. ; And just look at the critically important independent voters. ; They wanted Trump prosecuted by an almost two-thirds majority in June. ; But by July, less than half of that voting bloc wanted to see Trump prosecuted.</p>



<p>These figures clearly show that the Democrats strategy of making Trump and their concocted coup attempt strategy a centerpiece of their 2022 election effort is proving to be a colossal failure. ; With the number moving against Democrats, it is not unreasonable to suggest that the strategy is backfiring.</p>



<p>Unless Democrats can make an unprecedented change in the trajectory of the 2022 election, this could make 2010 look like a small victory for the GOP. ; That was the year when Democrats lost control of the House in what President Obama called “a shellacking.”</p>



<p>The American people are much smarter than the left would like to believe. ; We are not about to drink the Kool-Aid no matter how often MSNBC, CNN, the <em>Washington Post,</em> and the <em>New York Times</em> are serving it.</p>



<p>I would never want to be overly confident – especially when it comes to potential GOP victories. ; I am feeling better about November 2022, however. ; It could be a blowout … a landslide … a wave election.  ; If it is, I will be honor-bound to send Biden a “thank you” note.</p>



<p> ;So, there ‘tis.</p>

Midterm election outlook for Democrats getting dimmer
