<p class="p1"><span class="s1">As election times draws near, there’s one thing voters from every party get excited about: the polls. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">And while the 2016 election taught us that we can’t put too much faith in polls, people want to see them anyway. </span></p>
<p>The figures below come from <span class="s1"><em>Real Clear Politics</em> (RCP), a polling aggregator that takes averages based on information from a wide variety of mainstream and lesser-known sources. In theory, RCP averages should be more accurate than individual polls.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><b>President Trump Job Approval </b></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Data collected in April and May suggests Trump’s job approval rating is at its highest point since March of 2017: 45.1% approve and 52.1% disapprove. This, of course, is subject to minute by minute fluctations&#8230;<br />
</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><b>2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates</b></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">As expected, Joe Biden has taken an early lead in the polls with 41.4%. </span><span class="s1">We expect this to drop off quickly as his opponents continue to attack him over his voting record.</span></p>
<p>RCP has Sanders the Socialist in second place with 14.6%. But Biden&#8217;s success seem to be at Berinie&#8217;s expense.</p>
<p>Much further behind is Fauxcahontas with 8% and Kamala Harris with 7%. They have both flagged a bit, and likely will continue to do so until the debate in 50 days.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Pete Buttigieg and Beto O&#8217;Rourke have fallen completely off the radar with</span><span class="s1"> 6.6% and 4.4%, respectively. </span><span class="s1">Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, and Andrew Yang all scored less than 3%.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><b>Could Biden defeat Trump?</b></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The liberal media is convinced Biden could defeat Trump, even though much of the Democratic Party doesn’t want him as their nominee. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">In an article published just before Biden declared his presidential bid, <em>Morning Consult</em> predicted Biden would defeat Trump 42% to 34% in a hypothetical race.</span></p>
<p>Even if this poll<span class="s1"> is accurate, <em>Morning Consult’s</em> numbers are nothing to go by this early in the race.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><strong>My prediction: </strong></span><span class="s1">Everyone knows who Joe Biden is, so of course all Democrats polled would choose him in a match-up against Trump (whom they hate). But </span>Biden&#8217;s popularity has already dropped since January, and will continue to do so as voters become more familiar with the other candidates.</p>
<p>But, of course, no one should even begin to place bets until the first debate, we are looking for poll chaos to ensue thereafter.</p>