Lies, Damned Lies, Polls…
As election times draws near, there’s one thing voters from every party get excited about: the polls.
And while the 2016 election taught us that we can’t put too much faith in polls, people want to see them anyway.
The figures below come from Real Clear Politics (RCP), a polling aggregator that takes averages based on information from a wide variety of mainstream and lesser-known sources. In theory, RCP averages should be more accurate than individual polls.
President Trump Job Approval
Data collected in April and May suggests Trump’s job approval rating is at its highest point since March of 2017: 45.1% approve and 52.1% disapprove. This, of course, is subject to minute by minute fluctations…
2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates
As expected, Joe Biden has taken an early lead in the polls with 41.4%. We expect this to drop off quickly as his opponents continue to attack him over his voting record.
RCP has Sanders the Socialist in second place with 14.6%. But Biden’s success seem to be at Berinie’s expense.
Much further behind is Fauxcahontas with 8% and Kamala Harris with 7%. They have both flagged a bit, and likely will continue to do so until the debate in 50 days.
Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke have fallen completely off the radar with 6.6% and 4.4%, respectively. Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, and Andrew Yang all scored less than 3%.
Could Biden defeat Trump?
The liberal media is convinced Biden could defeat Trump, even though much of the Democratic Party doesn’t want him as their nominee.
In an article published just before Biden declared his presidential bid, Morning Consult predicted Biden would defeat Trump 42% to 34% in a hypothetical race.
Even if this poll is accurate, Morning Consult’s numbers are nothing to go by this early in the race.
My prediction: Everyone knows who Joe Biden is, so of course all Democrats polled would choose him in a match-up against Trump (whom they hate). But Biden’s popularity has already dropped since January, and will continue to do so as voters become more familiar with the other candidates.
But, of course, no one should even begin to place bets until the first debate, we are looking for poll chaos to ensue thereafter.