
<p>If you are of the opinion that the 2021 off-year elections did not go well for the Democrats, 2022 may be a catastrophe for the donkey party. ; At least that is what the latest polling shows.</p>



<p>As a disclaimer, we must keep in mind that the midterm elections are almost a year away – and as is wisely noted, anything can happen. ; We can recall how President Bush the First had an 80 percent favorable rating just six months before he was defeated by Bill Clinton. ; And we know how well the pollsters predicted 2016 when Trump was hopelessly behind just days before the election.</p>



<p>But the newest CNBC poll is noteworthy because it is among the more accurate polls – not perfect, but still indicative of things to come. ; So ponder this. According to the CNBC poll, Republicans hold a 10-point advantage when American voters are asked which party do the prefer to control Congress. ; It is a 44 percent to 34 percent advantage GOP.</p>



<p>To understand what this means, we must put it into perspective. ; This is up from a 2-point advantage Republicans had in October. ; AND … it is the greatest advantage for the GOP in the history of the CNBC polling. ; The previous high-water mark for the Republican Party was a 4-point advantage. ; And with those slight statistical advantages, Republicans enjoyed wave elections in 1994 and 2014. ; A 10-point lead would indicate a tsunami that would give the GOP the House, the Senate and thousands of offices across the nation.</p>



<p>The Democrat pollster conducting the survey, Jay Campbell, put it very succinctly. ; He said, “If the election were tomorrow, it would be an absolute unmitigated disaster for the Democrats.” ;</p>



<p>While the question dealt with Congress, such a lopsided number would most certainly mean massive gains for the GOP in state and local offices. ; In 2021, for example, Republicans picked up more than one thousand legislative seats. ; And that advantage is being reflected in election reform laws and redistricting.</p>



<p>It appears that panic is setting in as top Democrat strategists are giving gloomy forecasts.  ; Brian Stryker, who was hired to see what went wrong in Virginia declared that “we [Democrats]have a problem.” ;</p>



<p>The collapse of Democrat support is across the board. ; President Biden’s favorability has dropped another two points. ; Democrats and their media supporters may be in denial – but Biden’s popularity is now tracking closer to former President Trump’s polling. ; Vice President Harris is in even worse shape.</p>



<p>There also appears to be a collapse on issues. ; According to the CNBC poll, of the respondents who favored Democrat control of Congress, climate change dropped from 59 percent to 33 percent as an important issue. ; Biden’s numbers on handling the economy have tanked. ; Biden has a 19-point gap on the economy with 37 percent approving and 56 percent disapproving. ; Six out of ten people believe the nation is going in the wrong direction under Democrat rule in Washington.</p>



<p>The political class attributes the problem to “messaging.” ; One time advisor to former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said that Biden’s Build Back Better theme “sounds like a (f-word) fitness plan.”</p>



<p>I would suggest that Democrats have bought into two losing strategies. ; The first is based on their belief that it is all a messaging problem. They are operating in the belief that the public has not heard of all the good things they claim to have done – all those giveaways in Biden’s legislation.</p>



<p>In fact, one can hardly watch news for more than five minutes without hearing a litany of all the stuff they think the public should be appreciating. ; It is not the message that is failing with the public. It is the policies and programs. In a nutshell, the Democrats are now the leading advocates of a governmental agenda that is simply too far to the left for most of the American people.</p>



<p>The second major strategy mistake is the belief that by hammering and hammering on their bogus narrative that the Republican Party is the enemy of the state – and nothing more than a cult of personality in homage to Trump. ; That is not the way voters saw things in the last election &#8212; and I dare predict, not the way they will see Republican candidates in 2022.</p>



<p>The Democrats hyperbolic claims that the Republic is on the verge of collapse is just as much of a fairytale as Chicken Little and the Boy Who Cried Wolf.</p>



<p>I can only hope that the summation of one Democrat strategist is correct. ; He assessed the situation by lamenting, “It’s too late. We’re (f-word).”</p>



<p>So, there ‘tis.</p>

Democrats may be facing a GOP juggernaut in 2022
