In the last round of terrible polling numbers for President Biden, the question was: Can they get any worse? We now have that answer. Yep! Not only are they worse, but they are very worse (with apologies for the word play).
One of the leading stories on all the news platforms was the results of the New York Times/SIENA College Poll. They showed President Trump beating Biden in virtually all the so-called battleground states. And contrary to what the panel on “Morning Joe” falsely claimed, they are NOT within even the margin-of-error.
Trump tops Biden in Arizona by five points (49 to 44). Georgia by six (49 to 43). Five points in Michigan (48 to 43). Eleven points in Nevada (52 to 41). In Pennsylvania, Trump wins by four points (48 to 44). Biden takes Wisconsin by two points (47 t0 45) – which IS well within the margin-of-error.
When asked who the people trust more on specific issues, Biden gets a shellacking. In terms of immigration, it is Trump’s 53 percent to Biden’s 41 percent – a full 12-point spread. On the Israel-Hamas War, it is Trump by 11 points with 50 percent to Biden’s 39 percent. On handling the nation’s security, Trump trumps Biden by 12 points – 53 to 41. The only issue Biden trumps Trump is with Abortion with 49 percent to 40.
And then there is the economy and the rosy narrative of Bidenomics versus reality at the grassroots. In terms of Biden’s self-proclaimed signature achievement, 59 percent of the people trust Trump, and only 37 percent trust Biden to handle the economy. That is a 22-point spread.
In a more general and personal question, the Poll asked: “Have their policies helped or hurt you?” Fifty-Three percent of the respondents said that Biden’s policies hurt them – and only 35 percent said they helped them. Then numbers were virtually reversed when it came to Trump – with 51 percent saying they helped and 34 Percent saying they hurt them personally. This is significant because it strongly suggests that Biden’s age and health are by far not the only negatives for the President.
I think we should also take notice of the national security results. Trump carries the day despite the fact that the Democrat political narrative claims that Trump is an existential threat to democracy and the future of the Republic. Most voters are not buying it.
The age (meaning health) issue hangs over Biden like the descending Sword of Damocles. Seventy-one percent of the people believe that Biden is “too old to be an effective President.” Only 39 percent see Trump as too old. While team Biden likes to point out that Trump is only 4 years younger, the public knows that the issue is really health and vitality – not the calendar age.
The NYT Poll shows Biden losing ground with younger voters, Blacks and Hispanics in all the battleground states. These states will decide the next presidency. If the results are similar to this Poll, Trump will be swept into office for a second term.
These numbers are more than bad. They raise the question as to whether Biden should withdraw. More and more Democrats are suggesting that – or at least hinting.
Biden loyalists argue that polls are not elections, and it is much too early to start predicting the 2024 Presidential Election. And they are correct on both counts. Unfortunately for Biden, his negatives are not things that are easily changed. He will not get any younger or vital. Quite the opposite.
He has already thrown his entire weight behind his economic performance, and it has come up short – to say the least. There is not likely to be a victory lap in either the Ukraine or Israel wars. And you can be sure that Biden has neither the time nor the ability to solve the border crisis, the crime crisis or the homeless crisis. And Biden & Co. cannot demonize Trump – cast him as the bogeyman who will end American democracy — more than they have. We can all see in the polling data how well that has worked.
One other thing that I believe is hurting Democrats is the constant suggestion – overtly and by implication – that at least half of the American people are ignorant, evil or both. The ever-arrogant John Meacham – MSNBC’s dubious claim of intellectualism – claims the public does not yet appreciate (meaning we are stupid) that this election is fundamentally about the future of the Republic, and that electing Trump will result in an authoritarian dictatorship. According to Meacham, democracy in America ends with the election of Trump. That is hyperbole on steroids – and the American people are too smart to fall for that whopper (what common folk call a big lie)..
Biden personifies a Democratic Party that is trying to sell the narrative that America is divided between leftwingers like them and stupid people. What the polling suggests is that more than anything, Biden is being defeated by the broad range of leftwing POLICIES – woke and otherwise — that are repugnant to a majority of intelligent freedom-loving Americans. And those on the left are genetically incapable of seeing that fact.
So, there ‘tis.