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WSJ: Sanctions on Russia Not Working

&NewLine;<p>Substantial evidence is emerging that U&period;S&period; and world sanctions are not as crippling as the Biden Administration has promised&period;  As we have said previously&comma; Putin has been planning this invasion for 10 years or more&period; Preparations were made&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>According to <strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russia-built-parallel-payments-system-that-escaped-western-sanctions-11648510735">reports by the Wall Street Journal<&sol;a>&comma;<&sol;strong> the withdrawal of Mastercard and Visa has had minimal effects on disrupting the Russian payments system&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Their withdrawal was designed to be a major blow to the average Russian consumer crippling payments systems and disrupting commerce&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>However&comma; Russia has been working for the last 8 years to insulate the Russian economy from Western economic pressures&period; They have aggressively built a company called MIR&comma; built on its own National Payment Card System &lpar;Russian initials NSPK&rpar;&period; Over 100 million cards have been issued since its launch in 2015&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>We see that the Russian Ruble has rebounded from its previous crash&comma; approaching its pre-war strength&period; The finance world appears to be hedging its bets against a potential Russian economic failure&comma; seeing that perhaps the war will be over soon and betting that the financial markets will mend themselves&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<div class&equals;"wp-block-image"><figure class&equals;"aligncenter size-full"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2022&sol;04&sol;image&period;png" alt&equals;"" class&equals;"wp-image-21080"&sol;><&sol;figure><&sol;div>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Additionally&comma; <strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russian-corporate-bonds-rebound-as-investors-embrace-risks-11648595338">WSJ has noted a rebound in Russian corporate bonds<&sol;a><&sol;strong>&period; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Distressed-debt investors are driving a recovery in Russian corporates&comma; betting those with foreign assets can pay their debts despite Western sanctions”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Russia has also been busy firming up its new plans for oil&comma; attempting to demand payment directly in Rubles&period;  China has been attempting for some time to establish the Yuan as a currency for oil&period;  Each of these is an attack on the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;petrodollar” whereby oil transactions are conducted in dollars&period; If established&comma; this would be a major blow to the stability of the world oil markets because neither the Ruble nor the Yuan are directly convertible&comma; and each has a long history of manipulation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Slovakia has agreed to the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;petro-ruble” in order to keep the flow of gas and oil to its cities&period;  Look for others to step up and agree as well&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&&num;8212&semi;&&num;8212&semi;&&num;8212&semi;&&num;8212&semi;&&num;8212&semi;-<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>We have no doubt that some sanctions&comma; notably the personal sanctions on the Russian oligarchs&comma; are causing strain in Russia and in Putin’s immediate circle of power&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>But as we have mentioned many times&comma; Putin has been planning this war for 10 years&period; Putin has found that U&period;S&period; sanctions were predictable&comma; and at least somewhat defensible&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That is not to say they will not do damage to Russia’s economy in the longer term&comma; but right now this is a battle of time&period; Can Russia outlast the sanctions until military operations are over and a settlement reached&quest;&nbsp&semi; It appears Putin has thought and planned in this respect&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Remember that Russia has not yet used its ace in the hole&period; They could cause a great amount of hardship in Europe by cutting off gas deliveries&period; <strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;the-u-s-and-europe-move-to-turn-off-russian-gas-but-wait&sol;">Biden’s promises to aid Europe in this respect are empty at best&period;<&sol;a><&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>They are saving that one as a threat for when the new agreement with Ukraine is settled&comma; to issue a joint Ukraine&sol;Russia request for relief of sanctions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;was-zelenskyy-just-paid-to-surrender&sol;"><strong>The end of the conflict is near<&sol;strong><&sol;a>&period; Biden&&num;8217&semi;s influence has been almost nil&period; In fact&comma; his contribution has been <strong><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;biden-inadvertently-declares-war-on-russia-it-is-time-for-impeachment&sol;">dangerous<&sol;a><&sol;strong> and incompetent&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;rbth&period;com&sol;business&sol;334833-russian-mir-payment-system-card">https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;rbth&period;com&sol;business&sol;334833-russian-mir-payment-system-card<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russia-built-parallel-payments-system-that-escaped-western-sanctions-11648510735">https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russia-built-parallel-payments-system-that-escaped-western-sanctions-11648510735<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russian-corporate-bonds-rebound-as-investors-embrace-risks-11648595338">https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;wsj&period;com&sol;articles&sol;russian-corporate-bonds-rebound-as-investors-embrace-risks-11648595338<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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