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Will Trump give Putin his victory?

&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">President Trump’s policies with Ukraine are a troubling blend of delay&comma; deflection&comma; and deference&period; Despite his tough talk&comma; Trump’s actions—or lack thereof—paint a picture of a leader outmaneuvered and outclassed by a ruthless adversary&period; His delayed sanctions&comma; ignored deadlines&comma; and absence of meaningful military support for Ukraine have emboldened Putin&comma; not restrained him&period; The self-proclaimed dealmaker could wind up the sucker at the table&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Trump publicly calls on Putin to &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;cease and desist&comma;” yet the Russian president responds with escalated attacks &&num;8212&semi; mocking Trump’s seeming impotence&period; It’s a humiliating spectacle &&num;8212&semi; the self-proclaimed dealmaker reduced to issuing toothless pleas while cities burn and civilians die&period; Trump says he doesn’t like what Putin is doing—but he does nothing to stop it&period; His rhetoric is empty&comma; his strategy nonexistent&period;&nbsp&semi; And worst of all&comma; Putin knows it&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">This is the same Trump who lambasted President Obama for standing down as Putin annexed Crimea in 2014&period; Yet now&comma; facing a far bloodier invasion&comma; Trump is doing precisely what he once condemned&period;&nbsp&semi; He is standing down &&num;8212&semi; offering little more than vague condemnations and token support for Ukraine&period; He criticizes President Biden for failing to stop the war but offers no plan of his own—only backroom whispers of an eventual &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;peace deal” that would hand Putin up to 20 percent of Ukrainian land without accountability&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Such a deal would be a betrayal of justice&period; It would ignore the tens of thousands of Ukrainian children kidnapped and trafficked by Russian forces&period; It would offer no reparations for the lives lost&comma; the shattered limbs&comma; the homes destroyed&period; It would reward aggression while eradicating the suffering of millions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Trump’s acquiescence makes him look weak—not just to Putin&comma; but to allies and adversaries alike&period; He has joined the very Washington diplomatic swamp he once vowed to drain &&num;8212&semi; aligning himself with a left-wing diplomatic establishment eager to sweep Putin’s crimes under the rug in exchange for a hollow peace&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">This is not leadership&period; It is capitulation&period; And it sends a dangerous message that the United States will tolerate tyranny if it’s politically convenient &&num;8212&semi; that justice can be bargained away and that strength is just a slogan&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph"><strong>The Price of Peace<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The idea of ceding Ukrainian territory to Vladimir Putin in exchange for peace is not just a strategic blunder—it’s a moral failure&comma; a monumental miscalculation&comma; and a chilling echo of the appeasement policies that emboldened tyrants in the past&period; It is&comma; in essence&comma; a modern-day replay of Neville Chamberlain’s infamous concession to Hitler in 1938&period; Just as the Munich Agreement failed to prevent war&comma; any deal that rewards Putin’s aggression with conquered land will only invite future aggression by Putin&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Putin has made no secret of his belief that Ukraine is not a sovereign nation but a wayward province of Russia&period; His speeches&comma; writings&comma; and actions all point to a singular goal &&num;8212&semi; the annexation of all of Ukraine&period; To cede territory to him is to validate this imperial fantasy&period; It sends the message that borders can be redrawn by brute force&comma; and that the international community will tolerate the violation of sovereignty if the aggressor is persistent enough&period;  It ends the post-World War II world order with America as the world leader&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Even if a peace agreement were reached&comma; it would be naïve—bordering on delusional—to believe Putin would honor it&period; His track record is littered with broken promises and violated treaties&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Budapest Memorandum &lpar;1994&rpar;&colon; Russia pledged to respect Ukraine’s territorial integrity in exchange for Ukraine giving up its nuclear arsenal&period; That promise was shattered in 2014 with the annexation of Crimea&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Minsk Agreements &lpar;2014–2015&rpar;&colon; Intended to de-escalate the conflict in Donbas&comma; these accords were routinely ignored by Russian-backed forces&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Ceasefires&colon; Numerous ceasefires have been declared and violated&comma; often within hours&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Putin does not negotiate in good faith&period; He uses diplomacy as a smokescreen for military maneuvering&period; Any agreement that involves territorial concessions would simply be a pause for rearmament—a chance for Russia to regroup and strike again&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Strategic Suicide for the West<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Ceding Ukrainian land would not just be a betrayal of Ukraine—it would be a strategic disaster for the United States&comma; NATO&comma; and the democratic world&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>It undermines deterrence&colon; If the richest and most powerful nations in the world &&num;8211&semi;armed with the most powerful militaries—capitulate to a tinhorn dictator&comma; what message does that send to other authoritarian regimes&quest; China&comma; Iran&comma; and North Korea are watching closely&period; Weakness in Ukraine invites aggression elsewhere&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>It fractures NATO&colon; Eastern European nations like Poland&comma; the Baltics&comma; and Romania rely on NATO’s resolve to deter Russian expansionism&period; A concession would sow doubt about the alliance’s commitment and unity&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>It emboldens isolationism&colon; If the U&period;S&period; retreats from its global leadership role&comma; it creates a vacuum that will be filled by adversaries&period; America’s credibility as a defender of democracy and freedom would be irreparably damaged&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Putin is not a rational actor in the traditional sense&period; He is driven by a toxic blend of nostalgia&comma; paranoia&comma; and imperial ambition&period; His worldview is shaped by a belief that the West is decadent and weak&comma; and that this is the moment for Russia to reclaim its lost glory through conquest&period;&nbsp&semi; Calling him the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Madman of Moscow” is not hyperbole—it’s a recognition of the danger he poses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph"><strong>What Victory Would Look Like<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The West must hold the line—not just for Ukraine&comma; but for the future of the international order of democratic nations&period; &nbsp&semi;A <strong>Victory<&sol;strong> would mean&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>No territorial concessions&colon; Ukraine’s borders would be restored to their internationally recognized boundaries&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Continued military support&colon; Ukraine would be armed and equipped to both defend itself and undertake aggressive actions against Russia – including inside Russia&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Economic pressure&colon; The most severe sanctions would remain in place and be intensified&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Diplomatic unity&colon; NATO and the EU would speak with one voice&comma; rejecting any deal that rewards aggression&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Summary<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Sadly&comma; it seems that Trump and the United States Washington establishment has determined that granting land to Russia is the only road to Peace&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi; If that is to be the case&comma; then there must be provisions beneficial to Ukraine and the West incorporated into any so-called peace agreement&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>The admission of what is left of Ukraine into NATO immediately&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>The return of the kidnapped children and young people&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Security agreements with the United States&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>U&period;S&period; and NATO military bases in Ukraine&period;<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">That would still give Putin a victory&comma; but without such provisions&comma; a peace agreement is meaningless&period;&nbsp&semi; Putin will give up nothing&period;&nbsp&semi; If that is the outcome&comma; Trump will have produced a foreign policy failure exceeding Biden’s withdrawal from Afghanistan&period;&nbsp&semi; And that one was a whopper&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">A lot is riding on Trump’s meeting with Putin – and perhaps Zelenskyy&period;&nbsp&semi; At this point&comma; I see very little chance of a peace agreement&period;&nbsp&semi; Possibly a ceasefire – but even that is doubtful&period;&nbsp&semi; Perhaps it is time to resort to Plan 2 – actually defeating Putin&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph"><strong>Because Some Asked<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Can the United States arrest Putin as a war criminal when he comes to Alaska&comma; since he has been indicted by the International Criminal Court &lpar;ICC&rpar;&quest;  Sorry&comma; no&period;  The United States has not signed on with the ICC&period;  Putin can only be arrested is America files its own charges in American courts&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Despite its membership in the ICC and the mandatory requirement to arrest war criminals&comma; Mongolia – a close ally of Russia – refused to arrest the Madman of Moscow during a 2024 visit&period;  It brought down international condemnation&comma; with many accusing Mongolia of complicity in Putin’s invasion of Ukraine&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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