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Is Joe Manchin Joining the GOP?

Is Joe Manchin Joining the GOP?

West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin is a Democrat Senator in one of the most Republican states in America.  He is arguably the most conservative Democrat in a Senate that is steering to the left at warp speed under Democrat leadership.

Democrats in Congress vote as a bloc – except for Manchin, on occasion – and the Republicans vote as a bloc, but with less discipline – having a dozen or so members who can vote with the Democrat majority on one issue or another.

But even with only a slim majority in the House and a technical majority in the evenly tied Senate – with Vice President Harris as a tie-breaker – Democrats have enormous power.  They can set the rules.  They can pick and choose the legislation to be considered.  Democrats have the power of the purse.  Except for the filibuster, there is no restraint on their rule. And they are maximizing the use of their advantage to achieve permanent empowerment.

That makes Manchin arguably the most powerful man in the Senate – maybe in the entire Congress. 

In terms of the most controversial and critical legislative proposals, Manchin could be the deciding vote.  It appears he is already proving that with his opposition to the elimination of the filibuster. Assuming he does not fold under pressure from Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.

Manchin may be the only reason that Democrats cannot eliminate the filibuster and run the table with their far-left legislative agenda.   He is thwarting their effort to radically change America – as Schumer has promised.

But there is one action that would far outweigh his occasional apostasy from Schumer’s progressive agenda.  Manchin could switch over to the Republican Party.

More often than not, such switches involve moving from the losing unpopular party to the winning more popular party. From the party that has lost the majority to the party that has won the majority.  Joe Manchin joining the GOP would be going from the majority party to the minority party.

BUT … he would instantly switch the parties’ relative positions. 

Republicans would take control of the Senate by one vote.  Joe Manchin joining the GOP would instantly quash the entire radical agenda of the Democratic Party.  There would be no threat to the filibuster.  The Electoral College would be out of danger.  The massive reckless spending would end.  It would certainly be the most dramatic label change in American history – with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln’s switch from the Whig to the Republican Party.

While Manchin’s tendency toward his perceived conservative values has enabled him to maintain his seat as the Senator from a Republican state, he may not be so lucky next time – especially if remaining in the Democratic Party has him voting for more extreme liberal legislation.  It is hard to imagine that he would be defeated as a Republican in West Virginia.  In fact, it may be the only way he can get re-elected.  At a rather vigorous 73, Manchin could serve another 12 years in the Senate and still not break any age records.

Though he may not be the most conservative member of the Republican Party – he would be on the right side of most of the critical issues – immigration, abortion, tax cuts and excessive deficit spending.

Since making such a switch would put Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in the Leader’s job, it is unimaginable that he has not thought about enticing Manchin to join the GOP – or even had some hallway conversations.

The possibility and importance of a crossover would put Manchin in an extraordinarily strong negotiating position. 

He could demand financial support for any future campaign – and that the Party leadership discourage any primary opposition.  He would have his pick of committee assignments and perhaps even one of the more coveted chairmanships.  And he could even be a potential candidate for Vice President on a Republican ticket.

It is curious that there has not been any significant speculation about such a switch in the news media.  For some, it may be just a too outrageous and unlikely prospect.  For others, it may be a fear that saying it out loud will increase the possibility.

On the downside, it is not easy to uproot so many years of involvement – and so many relationships.  While the GOP would welcome Manchin as a hero, he would incur the wrath of lifelong friends and associates. 

Maybe the thought of Joe Manchin joining the GOP is the reason President Biden nominated his wife to co-chair of the Appalachian Regional Commission.

It would take very long odds to wager on Manchin switching to the Republican Party. But in politics, anything can happen.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

11 Comments

  1. Bill

    Manchin seems to be one of only a handful of “public servants” who maintains any common sense. Would love to watch the meltdown on the Dem side if he were to change party affiliation.

    Reply
  2. Hatman1793

    Hey Larry: Let’s trade Joe Manchin for Mitt Romney.

    Reply
    • Russell Bateman

      I believe most of Utah would stand behind this scenario.

      Reply
    • Larry P Horist

      I appreciate the spirit in which that suggestion was made, but then we would had the Senate back to the Dems.

      Reply
  3. HC Mattes

    Not. Gonna. Happen. Manchin is a lifelong Democrat. He will mostly do whatever his masters, Schumer, Pelosi, & Biden, say to do! He’s already waffling on the filibuster.

    Reply
  4. andrew

    having manchin switch over would be totaly awsome and also give the american people the hope and relief they need right now

    Reply
  5. NavVet

    Switch over Joe M. Let the democrats know we don’t want their socialist programs. Their friend ships are just there for your support. Forget them. When they feel turning on you will better fit their needs you will no longer be a friend.

    Reply
  6. Mike

    Geez, Larry. Could you possibly hold all of these swamp creatures in any higher esteem?

    Reply
    • Larry P Horist

      You referring to Manchin? I think he is the pick of the Pelosi litter.

      Reply
  7. Paula J Hill

    Joe Manchin barely won his seat last time. I hope that people in West Virginia would advise him to go to the Republican Party if he wants to stay in the Senate. It would be great to have a majority leader change. Come on Joe, do the right thing. Give back what the Dems deserve for cheating.

    Reply
  8. PhylAt

    Joe owes, if he wants his name to remain in WV politics, this switch to the WVians who didn’t see any future in being affiliated with the Democratic party. Biden and handlers giving a high level position to Manchin’s wife was nothing but an effort to control him as he stands out to be one of the most honest and fair senators in their party which most are not.

    Reply

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