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Why the Upcoming French Election will be most Consequential in EU History

<p>It was an exciting race yesterday&comma; with centrist novice candidate Emmanuel Macron and far-right populist candidate Marine Le Pen coming in first and second place&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>The race was tight&comma; with less than 5&percnt; separating fourth place from first&colon;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&bull&semi; Emmanuel Macron &lpar;En Marche&excl;&rpar; 23&period;9&percnt;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&bull&semi; Marine Le Pen &lpar;National Front&rpar; 21&period;5&percnt;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&bull&semi; Francois Fillon &lpar;Republican&rpar; 19&period;9&percnt;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&bull&semi; Jean-Luc M&eacute&semi;lenchon &lpar;La France Insoumise&rpar; 19&period;6&percnt;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The numbers above reflect 97&percnt; of counted ballots&comma; and M&eacute&semi;lenchon has refused to accept the results until the tallying is finished&period; Macron and Le Pen will face off in the second round of elections on May 7th&period; Whoever wins will determine a new direction for France&comma; and potentially the entire EU&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Sunday&rsquo&semi;s results mirrored recent events &ndash&semi; like Brexit and Trump&rsquo&semi;s election in the US &ndash&semi; where voters rejected tradition&period; For the first time since 1958&comma; French voters selected candidates belonging to neither of the nation&&num;8217&semi;s establishment parties&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&&num;8220&semi;A new political world is happening&comma;&&num;8221&semi; says French sales manager and Le Pen supporter Michael Amaouz&period; &ldquo&semi;It&rsquo&semi;s truly satisfying&comma; and we&rsquo&semi;ll be even more satisfied in 15 days&period; We believe in it&comma; and today we are mobilizing &ndash&semi; all of France is mobilizing&period; People are fed up&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The people&rsquo&semi;s distrust of the government stems from ongoing economic struggles combined with a 10&percnt; unemployment rate and the constant threat of terror&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Many believe the recent terror attacks helped propel Marine Le Pen&&num;8217&semi;s&nbsp&semi;National Front Party to&nbsp&semi;to never-before-seen heights&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Le Pen&comma; who inherited the National Front from her father &lpar;Jean-Marie Le Pen&rpar;&comma; has worked diligently to separate the party from it&rsquo&semi;s anti-Semitic past&period; Le Pen is staunchly anti-immigration and anti-Islam&period; The 48-year-old has promised to <strong>hold a referendum on France&rsquo&semi;s membership in the EU within her first 6 months as president&period;<&sol;strong> &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Macron&comma; on the other hand&comma; believes France needs the EU&period; He supports <strong>open-door immigration policies<&sol;strong> and lax labor laws&period; Macron left President Francois Hollande&rsquo&semi;s Socialist government a year ago to found his own political party&comma; En Marche&excl; He is 39 years old and has never held political office&period; Polls favor him to win by a wide margin on May 7th&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>French Prime Minister Bernard Cazeneuve was one of many politicians to back Macron as the results became clear&period; He asked the nation to support Macron to &ldquo&semi;combat the National Front&rsquo&semi;s disastrous project to take France backward and to divide the French people&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>European leaders in other countries&comma; who traditionally stay out of each other&rsquo&semi;s elections&comma; are breaking the rules in asking France to vote for the candidate who supports a stronger EU&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Peter Altmaier&comma; top adviser to German Chancellor Angela Merkel&comma; said that Macron&rsquo&semi;s win showed that &ldquo&semi;France AND Europe can win together&period; The center is stronger than the populists think&excl;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>These endorsements could backfire if Le Pen wins&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;It may be counterproductive&comma;&rdquo&semi; warns Josef Janning&comma; a member of Berlin&rsquo&semi;s office of the European Council on Foreign Relations&period; &ldquo&semi;It could reinforce some of the discontent in France among those who will see this as the global elite denying them their right to vote&period;&rdquo&semi; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Defeated candidates Beno&icirc&semi;t Hamon &lpar;a Socialist&rpar; and Fillon Francois &lpar;a Republican&rpar; urged voters not to back Le Pen&period; &ldquo&semi;The party crated by Jean-Marine Le Pen has a history known for its violence and intolerance&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Fillon&period; &ldquo&semi;Its economic and social program will lead our country to failure&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&&num;8212&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>May 7th could mark the most influential election in EU history&period; To me&comma; the decision is clear&period; Le Pen does pose a threat to the EU with her promise to hold a referendum on France&rsquo&semi;s membership in the bloc&comma; but Macron&rsquo&semi;s open-door policies are a larger threat to France and Europe as a whole&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Le Pen knows that continued immigration will destroy France&period; &ldquo&semi;The French people must seize this opportunity&comma; because the enormous challenge of this election is the wild globalizing that puts our civilization at risk&comma;&rdquo&semi; she said&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Either we continue to disintegrate without any borders&comma; without any controls&comma; unfair international competition&comma; mass immigration and the free circulation of terrorists&comma; or you choose France with borders&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Editor&&num;8217&semi;s note&colon;<&sol;strong> &nbsp&semi;An open-door immigration policy that continues to allow Islamic extremists to enter could easily spell the end of France&period; If France votes to leave the EU&comma; it will likely be the end of the EU&period; Either way&comma; the world changes radically&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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