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Why GOP is gaining male voters … and it may be the winning vote

&NewLine;<p>Since the 1960s&comma; there has been talk of the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;gender gap” – generally meaning that women were disproportionately voting progressive Democrat&period;&nbsp&semi; It had its antecedents in the left-wing feminist movement of the era – mimicking the Republican suffragette movement of the late 1800s and early 1900s&period;&nbsp&semi; The issues of the 1960’s movement were &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;equal pay”&comma; upward mobility&comma; abortion&comma; and the so-called equal rights amendment to the United States Constitution&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In many ways&comma; the analysis of the female vote in the past was bent by partisan bias&period;&nbsp&semi; In fact&comma; there was no gender gap in 1972&comma; when President Nixon won 62 percent of men and 61 percent of women&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I particularly recall the 1984 presidential election in which former Vice President Walter Mondale selected Congresswoman Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate&period;  Shortly after the announcement&comma; I was on a television program with a representative of the National Organization of Women &lpar;NOW&rpar; – the leading left-wing feminist organization at the time&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The lady from NOW claimed the selection of Ferraro would be a game-changer&comma; bringing millions of women into the Mondale camp – resulting in the defeat of Reagan&period;&nbsp&semi; Conversely&comma; I predicted that not only would Reagan win the election&comma; but he would carry the women’s vote&period;&nbsp&semi; My counterpart scoffed – with a mocking laugh&period;&nbsp&semi; When the votes were counted&comma; Reagan won 64 percent of men and 55 percent of women&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In more recent years&comma; the gender gap has widened&period;  Pew Research shows Harris with 55 percent of women and Trump at 41 percent – a 14 point gap&period;   YouGov Survey shows 48 percent of women for Harris and 35 percent for Trump – a 13 percent gap&period; The current gender gap among women has been expanded due to the Supreme Court overturning Roe v&period; Wade&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It is noteworthy&comma; however&comma; that Harris is holding only approximately half the women voters – nothing near the female vote that went to Nixon and Reagan in 1972 and 1984 respectively&period;&nbsp&semi; Even as a Black woman presidential candidate&comma; she is not doing remarkably better than President Biden did in 2020&period;&nbsp&semi; He got 52 percent of the female vote and 48 percent of the male vote&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>What we can conclude from the record is that there IS a gap between men and women voters&comma; but it is not nearly as wide and decisive as it is widely portrayed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; why the headline about the male voter&quest;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;Obviously&comma; I was &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;weaving” before getting to the point&period;&nbsp&semi; In the past we would call it &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;giving perspective” – and that is a good thing&period;&nbsp&semi; But now I am weaving and digressing&period;&nbsp&semi; So&comma; what IS so interesting about the male voter this season&quest;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The male vote appears to be moving away from the past numbers – and trending toward the Republican candidate&period;&nbsp&semi; This appears to be the reason for the widening male&sol;female gap as much as the female vote&period;&nbsp&semi; This trend has been most noted among minority male voters&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It is generally conceded that Trump is doing better among Black voters than most recent Republican candidates – even besting his own previous numbers&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi; He got 8 percent in 2016 and 12 percent in 2020—and is trending at around 16 percent this time&comma; according to a recent Newsweek poll&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In terms of gender&comma; Trump gets about 10 percent of Black women and 25 percent of Black men&period;&nbsp&semi; Currently&comma; Harris has 85 percent of Black women and 70 percent of Black men&period;&nbsp&semi; That is lower than Biden received in 2020 – with 91 percent of Black women and 82 percent of Black men&period;&nbsp&semi; That is a drop for Harris of 6 points among Black women and 12 points among Black Men&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;Isn’t that interesting&quest;&nbsp&semi; A Black woman candidate is doing worse among Black voters&comma; especially Black women voters&comma; than an old white guy – and they both were up against the same Republican&comma; Trump&period;&nbsp&semi; But I digress &&num;8230&semi; or weave&comma; if you prefer&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In 2020 Biden got 38 percent of White men&comma; with Trump taking 58 percent&period; &nbsp&semi;Polling for 2024 show Harris with 38 percent of the White male vote and Trump with 58 percent&period;&nbsp&semi; So &&num;8230&semi; the male voting shift is largely in the Black and other minority communities&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Why is it that Republicans tend to do well among male voters – and increasingly well among Black male voters&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I would argue &lpar;and I am&rpar; that it has to do with the radical left-wing feminist influence in the Democratic Party&period;&nbsp&semi; You know &&num;8230&semi; that influential faction that talks of &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;toxic male genes” &&num;8230&semi; misogynists &&num;8230&semi; male chauvinist pigs &lpar;that’s an old one&rpar; &&num;8230&semi; sexist power mongers &&num;8230&semi; etc&period; &&num;8230&semi; etc&period; &&num;8230&semi; etc&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Feminist author Ruth Whippman &lpar;you cannot make this stuff up&rpar; has a new book called &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Boy Mom – Reimagining Boyhood in the Age of Impossible Masculinity” She drones on and on about the problems of our male dominated sexist culture&period;&nbsp&semi; She shares her opinion on what healthy and unhealthy masculinity looks like&period;&nbsp&semi; &lpar;I will give you a clue&period;&nbsp&semi; Almost everything we currently associate with masculinity is unhealthy&comma; according to Whippman&period;&rpar;&nbsp&semi; Her essential question – as she poses it – is&colon; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Where are we going wrong in how we socialize boys&quest;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;Ironically&comma; Whippman has three young sons&period;&nbsp&semi; Made me wonder if God was punishing her or the young boys&period;&nbsp&semi; But I digress&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Whippman is typical of the strident anti-male ideology that has metastasized throughout the feminist movement and consequently the Democratic Party&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>What we are seeing is the early stages of a movement of men away from political narratives that demonize them as mindless knuckle-dragging ogres&comma; whose only purpose in life is to use and abuse women&period;  That message has had men fleeing from the left-wing&comma; woke&comma; political correctness&comma; strident feminism of the Democratic Party over many years – and the movement is accelerating&period;  It would appear that the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Me Too” women-as-victims movement is not appealing to half the women in America &&num;8212&semi; and increasing numbers of men&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It may be that this under-reported unappreciated underground masculinity movement will have its effect in the 2020 election&period;&nbsp&semi; Stay tuned&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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