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Vance beats the “knucklehead”

&NewLine;<p>The headline is not me engaging in name calling&period; No&period;  No&period;  No&period;  That appellation for Governor Tim Walz comes from a person who knows the Minnesota governor better than anyone else on the planet – Governor Walz&comma; himself&period;<a> <&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In grasping for an answer as to why he lied about being in China at the time of the Tiananmen Square uprising in 1989&comma; his explanation was that he misspoke because &&num;8212&semi; as he put it – &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I am a knucklehead&period;”&nbsp&semi; It is not the first time he used that term to describe himself&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Overall&comma; the debate was marked with an unusual level of comity&period;&nbsp&semi; It was all very civil – with Vance and Walz agreeing with each other on some issues&period; It had to be disappointing to the red meat fringe on both sides&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>At the conclusion of the debate&comma; it was my impression that Senator Vance had won the debate on points&period;  No knockouts and only a couple of knockdowns&period;  My initial impression was confirmed when the most ardent Harris&sol;Walz personalities on CNN and MSNBC called it a draw&comma; noting that Walz was a bit off his game and Vance was merely a slick car salesman – as a Democrat member of Congress described the Ohio senator&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;Hmmm&period;&nbsp&semi; Wonder if that sexist pejorative will cost the Democrats the car salesPERSON vote&quest;&nbsp&semi; Don’t you just hate when Democrats forget their political correctness dogma&quest;&nbsp&semi; But I digress&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The left leaning newsies made every excuse possible for Walz less than stellar performance&period;&nbsp&semi; He is not a skilled debater – just a common guy who was understandably nervous&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;Hmmm&period;  Hasn’t Walz been a major political figure for the past 18 years as a member of Congress and governor of a major state&quest;  He has spent more of his adult years as a politician than a coach&period;  But I digress &&num;8230&semi; again&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>My impression was further confirmed when CNN announced that the post-debate snap polling gave Vance a narrow 51 to 49 percent edge as the winner of the debate&period;  It should be noted that CNN’s polling analyst David Chalian said that the network’s survey model contained more Democrats than Republicans&period;  That undoubtedly tamped down Vance’s number by a couple of percentage points&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The CNN poll showed that Walz’s favorability rating improved – but so did Vance’s&period;  Interestingly&comma; MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough showed the Walz’ improved favorability numbers but NOT the overall 51&sol;49 percent win for Vance&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The greater question is whether the debate will have an impact on the vote – of those who have not already voted&comma; of course&period;  &lpar;We really need to reform this cock-a-mammy early voting system&period;  But I digress &&num;8230&semi; yet again&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There were notable moments&comma; however&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I was struck by how little attention the CBS moderators &&num;8212&semi; Margaret Brennan and Norah O’Donnell&nbsp&semi;&&num;8212&semi; gave to foreign policy&period;&nbsp&semi; They opened with a question about the Middle East and whether the United States should go all in with Israel&period; Vance was stronger in his support of the Jewish state&period;&nbsp&semi; Walz was more equivocal – with one eye apparently on the radical left faction in his political base&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That was it&period;&nbsp&semi; No question about Ukraine&period;&nbsp&semi; No question about Taiwan&period; No question about Biden’s policy and American weapons for Israel&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi; If you were not otherwise informed&comma; you would have no idea that the world is ablaze in real and potential conflicts&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>While post-debate pundits pointed to the 2020 transition of power as the most heated exchange&comma; I thought the kerfuffle between Vance and moderator O’Donnell was the most heated&period;&nbsp&semi; Vance sternly called her out for violating the rule against fact-checking by moderators&period;&nbsp&semi; And she clearly did in offering her own rebuttal&period;&nbsp&semi; And Vance only called her out after it occurred a second time – at least by my observation&period; It was the only time that CBS muted the microphones to cut off what had become a three-way conversation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Vance clearly bested Walz on immigration&comma; the economy and crime&period; Walz scored points on abortion and the old &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;threat to democracy” narrative&period;&nbsp&semi; The problem for Walz and Democrats is those issues are not at the top of voter concerns&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Other issues centered on the accomplishments of Trump and Biden as presidents&period;  Walz depicted the Trump years as chaotic and hurtful to the American people&period;  Vance was effective in using facts and figures – no wars&comma; higher wages&comma; no inflation&comma; and tighter control on the border &&num;8212&semi; to portray the Trump years as an era of peace and better kitchen table economics&period;  Vance wins on those issues because more Americans remember those years as more accurately described by Vance than Walz&period;  That is what virtually all polling tells us&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Walz appeared to defy common sense on the gun issue&period;&nbsp&semi; While he proudly described himself as a gun owner and hunter&comma; he argued against mental illness as a factor in the mass shootings&period;&nbsp&semi; He went so far as to criticize Vance for demonizing the mentally ill – which was not true&period;&nbsp&semi; Walz emphatically stated&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It’s the guns&period;”&nbsp&semi; Vance was effective in noting that more than 90 percent of gun-related murders are with illegally possessed guns&period;&nbsp&semi; Getting these guns off the streets has been the epic failure of the big city political administrations for decades&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Vance missed a slam-dunk opportunity in the gun debate&period;&nbsp&semi; Walz noted that Finland has a high percentage of gun ownership without the high rate of gun deaths and mass shootings&period;&nbsp&semi; That seems to prove that the number of guns in private hands is NOT the core or causal problem&period;&nbsp&semi; Duh&excl;&nbsp&semi; &nbsp&semi;So&comma; what is&quest;&nbsp&semi; Walz literally blew away his definitive statement that &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It’s the guns&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Those on the left saw Walz&&num;8217&semi;s finest moment when he asked who won the 2020 election&period;  Vance dodged a direct answer&period;  He argued that despite the events of January 6&comma; 2021&comma; there was a peaceful transfer of power on January 20<sup>th<&sol;sup>&period;  There was no attempted coup&period;  Actually&comma; the moment power was transferred –January 20<sup>th<&sol;sup> – it was very peaceful&period;  No riots&period;  No protests like those that occurred on Inauguration Day 2016&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There were no questions from the moderators regarding race issues – inner city crime&comma; voting rights and the apparent movement of Blacks and Hispanics to Trump&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That leaves the rules and the role of the moderators to be judged&period;  In terms of the rules&comma; they were okay – and better if the moderators had obeyed them themselves&period; I was surprised that Walz was doing a lot of note-taking – and Vance none&period;  They obviously eased the rules since the presidential debates&period;  The questions were slightly biased against Vance – something that Republicans and conservatives have come to expect and largely accept&period;  But not as bad as in some past debates&period;  I give the moderators a C-minus&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>History tells us that vice presidential debates create grist for the media mill for a few days&period; They have a very limited impact on the outcome of elections&period;&nbsp&semi; This one is likely to have a very limited impact&period; But if there is even a slight impact&comma; it will go to Team Trump&period;&nbsp&semi; Normally the impact of the second tier debates is not significant enough to affect the outcome&comma; but in a race this close &&num;8230&semi;&quest;&quest;&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As a closing thought&comma; if I were running the Trump campaign&comma; I would have commercials featuring various issues &nbsp&semi;and Walz statements – then closing with Walz saying &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I am a knucklehead&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&comma;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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