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Ukraine update: Putin winning?

Ukraine update: Putin winning?

Events are moving quickly in terms of Ukraine.  As the Biden administration has correctly noted, Putin now has everything he needs at the border to mount a major invasion. But as the White House has repeatedly said, there is still time for diplomacy.  According to Associated Press, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov – Putin’s top negotiator – is said to have advised his boss that there is still the possibility of a diplomatic solution.

So, what has changed?

Weeell … after publicly rejecting all of Putin’s demands, there appears to be a bit of softness in the Biden position.  Putin had demanded that Ukraine and every other nation he deems to belong to Russia be barred from ever joining  NATO.  He wants NATO to draw back its defense to the 1990s level — prior to the fall of the old Soviet Union.  He wants no western military in any of the non-NATO nations.

Other than a promise to not invade Ukraine at this time, Putin offers nothing in return.  Why the United States has not put the return of the Crimea and the withdrawal from the Donbas Region on the negotiating table is a mystery – unless you consider weakness and incompetence.

Now … according to Lavrov, the United States is willing to consider some concessions – including limits on NATO missile deployment, restrictions on military drills in Eastern Europe and what was described as “confidence building measures” – whatever that means.

Should Biden — and ergo NATO — concede to these demands, Putin will have won a huge victory.  His seizing of the Crimea will be that much more confirmed by international acquiescence.  He will still be able to push in an internal civil war in Ukraine through the Donbas Region and there will be no curtailment of cyber warfare. 

Most importantly, Putin has the option to take up the invasion scheme again in the future.  There will be no agreement from Putin to accept Ukraine as an independent nation and honor its borders.

It is said that if you ain’t winning, you’re losing.  So far, Biden has been losing big time – largely because he threw away all the aces in his hand.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

4 Comments

  1. Ben

    Remember when trump stood up to Putin?
    Me either.

    I do remember when trump abandoned the Kurds, left our bases in Syria for Putin to occupy and did nothing when Putin put bounties on our soldiers heads.

    So keep raising these concerns, begging us to get involved in another unnecessary, never ending war.

    • larry Horist

      Ben … I hope you recall that I wrote commentaries critical of Trump in abandoning the Kurds and Syria.– although the major issue was with Obama, who left the Syrian opposition forces hanging. I do agree with your concern over a never ending war. I would have preferred winning them in short order.

    • Perry

      Nobody is saying that they want a war. With Russia there probably wouldn’t be any winners. The us and Russia are scared shitless of each other. Do you remember sniffing bicycle seats?

      • Ben

        Perry,
        Well, by nobody not wanting war, I take it you are referring to tree hugging liberals and compromised faux news personalities. However, Larry and PBP seem to be pushing the narrative. All but call Biden a pussy, daring him to stand up to Putin.