
<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If you think the baseless Trump/Russian conspiracy narrative droned on for much too long, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet. ; The various court cases involving President Trump will be on the front burner of national political news for years – yes, years – to come. ; For networks like MSNBC, it means one-sided propaganda coverage 24/7.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Trump is currently facing three – and perhaps soon to be four – criminal indictments –plus a few civil cases. ; It is neither my desire nor role to play Trump’s defense counsel in the court-of- public-opinion. ; Nor am I joining the left-wing media’s prosecutorial teams. ; My purpose is to analyze Trump’s cases and his political potential in an objective manner.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">To review a bit of history, I have already expressed my opinion that the so-called Documents Case poses the greatest risk of a conviction. ; I do not see that one resulting in more than a fine.  ; I cannot imagine that the documents case will give Trump any jail time. ; ;</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In terms of the Campaign Finance Case, I think he has a very good chance of an acquittal. ; And even a conviction in that case would result in a fine – no jail time. ; I see Trump blowing those off – win or lose &#8212; without any negative impact on his political plans and objectives. ; In fact, so far, they seem to have helped him expand his strength in the GOP primaries and in the 2024 General Election.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The January 6 Case and the Georgia Case are essentially the same. The fact that they are being pursued in tandem gives credence to claims that Trump is the subject of political prosecution. ; That is because in most cases in which there are two jurisdictional interests – federal or local – one usually takes the lead and the other drops out.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Obviously, the case that will get the greatest attention over the next year or so, is the federal case being pursued by Special Counsel Jack Smith relating to the 2020 election. ; He has so far indicted Trump on four counts – conspiracy to defraud the United States; conspiracy to impede a congressional proceeding; conspiracy against the right to vote; and obstruction of an official proceeding.  ; Can we assume that Smith is done indicting Trump? ; There are also potential future indictments against the alleged co-conspirators. ; It usually takes more than one person to commit a criminal conspiracy.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">If there are no more indictments of Trump in the January 6 Case, Smith is taking a pass on indicting Trump on culpability for inciting the Capitol Hill riot. ; This is interesting since that is what the left has been clamoring for the most. ; They want Trump to be charged with “seditious conspiracy,” inciting a riot. ; A lot of the anti-Trump media is wrongfully claiming that the indictments deal with Trump’s culpability in inciting the rioting. ; So, far, not so.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, why no indictment on the charges that have been proffered against Trump in the media for the past couple years? ; I would assume that it is because Smith does not believe he can get a conviction on those charges – or there is more to come. ; If Smith issues a superseding indictment, you can be sure there will be no trial commencing before the 2024 presidential election.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">While the media prosecutors in the court-of-public-opinion had determined that Trump is guilty of all these charges – and more – they are not as easily proven in a real court-of-law. ; Smith and the other prosecutors are going to have to get a unanimous decision against the threshold of “reasonable doubt.”</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But … will any of these cases be tried and concluded before the 2024 presidential election? ; Most of the legal analysts on both sides are dubious. ; With the issuance of the superseding indictment in the Documents Case – and the complexity of dealing with classified evidence &#8212; it is now more likely that the trial in the Documents Case will have to be put off until after the election. ; It is increasingly likely that the January 6 Case will go beyond November of 2024. ; There will be enormous pressure to not put the Georgia Case ahead of the January 6 Case – and there has not even been an indictment in the Georgia Case as of this moment. ; Running the Georgia Case ahead of the January 6<sup>th</sup> Case could have a negative impact on the prosecution of the latter.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, what does the legal, political and media landscape look like between now and the 2024 presidential election? ; My prediction is divisive chaos and conservation. ; The left-wing media will be slamming Trump, the Republican Party and GOP voters with one-sided hyperbolic reporting on a 24/7 endless loop. ; They will continue their role as prosecutor, judge and jury in the court-of-public-opinion in keeping with their propaganda approach. ; You will find no counterpoint, no balance and no legitimate defense arguments on MSNBC. ; Just an accelerated pounding of the drums of propaganda. ; The more conservative media, such as FOX, will mount the defense in the court-of-public-opinion.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">What will the impact of the indictment and left-wing fearmongers have on Trump’s political fortunes? ; That is the imponderable question at the moment. ; So far, the media attacks on Trump appear to have helped him gain support in the GOP primaries – and arguably in the General Election.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And should Trump get convicted on any of the charges, there will be those appeals up to the Supreme Court. ; This thing might not be over by the 2028 presidential election.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Contrary to my earliest predictions, I have now come to the belief that Trump is the odds-on favorite to win the Republican nomination – despite the court cases, or maybe because of them. ; That does not make me happy – and I will still not vote for Trump in the Florida primary.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I am also surprised that – at least according to the polls – Trump is doing so well in a race against Biden. ; He is slightly behind in some polls. ; Slightly ahead in others. ; Essentially, after all the indictments and attacks in the media, Trump is still a very viable candidate – and could return to the Oval Office in January of 2025. ; ;</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The current polls and that prospect seem to have Biden and Democrat leaders totally crazed in bewilderment and disbelief. ; They do not understand why it is happening – so they cannot figure out how to stop it.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">There will be lot of twists and turns over the course of the next year and three months. ; The worst part for the American public is that we are going to have to endure all the repetitious propaganda. ; Partisan speculation will rule – as meaningless as it will be. ; If only we could be Rip Van Winkle for the coming days.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The one thing seems painfully clear. ; It is unlikely that there will be any definitive conclusion to anything dealing with Trump for at least a year. ; The long national nightmare created by the two sides is far from over. ; In the meantime, my job will require me to respond and opine. Arrrgh! ; I would rather spend time watching a movie channel.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So, there ‘tis.</p>

Trump Will be the Personification of American Politics for a Looong Time
