In a recent interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, emphasized that Taiwan should compensate the United States for its defense services. Trump’s comments suggest a transactional approach to U.S.-Taiwan relations, reminiscent of his stance on NATO, raising questions about how he would handle the Taiwan Strait dispute if re-elected.
Trump’s Blunt Message to Taiwan
Taiwan relies heavily on U.S. political and military support to withstand pressures from China, which claims the island as its territory. Trump stressed that Taiwan is vulnerable to Chinese attacks due to its geographic distance from the U.S. He equated the U.S. defense role to an insurance company, stating, “I think Taiwan should pay us for defense. You know, we’re no different than an insurance company.”
This stance mirrors Trump’s previous criticisms of NATO, where he questioned the financial contributions of allied nations. Trump’s remarks have sparked concerns about the future of U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s defense. The United States is legally obligated to help Taiwan defend itself and has not ruled out the possibility of military intervention if China attacks.
Semiconductor Industry in the Crossfire
Trump also targeted Taiwan’s semiconductor industry, accusing it of undermining the U.S. chip sector. He claimed, “They did take about 100 percent of our chip business,” causing the stock price of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s largest chipmaker, to drop by 2.4 percent. TSMC is a critical supplier for major U.S. tech firms, making Taiwan’s chip industry vital to global technology supply chains.
A Pattern of Trump’s Foreign Policy
David Sacks, a fellow for Asia studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, noted that Trump’s comments reflect his transactional view of foreign policy. “If I was in Taiwan, I would take this statement seriously because it is not an isolated remark — there is now a pattern,” Sacks said.
Taiwan already finances most of its U.S. weapon orders, though the Biden administration has initiated direct transfers of military equipment from U.S. stockpiles. Trump’s broader point appears to be that Taiwan should bear more responsibility for its security.
Reactions and Future Implications
Taiwanese experts caution against interpreting Trump’s remarks as definitive U.S. policy. Alexander C. Huang, an international security advisor to Taiwan’s opposition Nationalist Party, mentioned, “During his presidency, he did not openly talk about abandonment of Taiwan.” However, there is an expectation that Trump would push for Taiwan to increase its defense spending if he returns to office.
Trump’s running mate, J.D. Vance, and other Republicans view China as the primary global challenge and advocate for prioritizing Taiwan’s defense over other international commitments, such as Ukraine.
Strategic Importance of Taiwan
Taiwan has been increasing its military budget and extended conscription from four months to a year in 2022. Taiwanese officials have sought bipartisan support in the U.S. Congress to strengthen their defense capabilities.
Trump’s comments may prompt Taiwan to reassure the U.S. of its commitment to building semiconductor plants in Arizona and enhancing its military. Taiwan’s Premier, Cho Jung-tai, responded to Trump’s remarks, stating, “We’re willing to shoulder more responsibility. This is us defending ourselves.”
The Bigger Picture
Trump’s stance on Taiwan and its semiconductor industry highlights broader concerns about global reliance on Taiwan for advanced chips. TSMC’s chairman has warned that a Chinese invasion would render the company’s factories inoperable, emphasizing the strategic significance of protecting Taiwan’s tech industry.
The Biden administration has been working to bring more chip manufacturing back to the U.S., providing grants to companies like TSMC and Samsung to expand their operations domestically. However, Trump criticized these efforts, suggesting that Taiwan might still dominate the chip industry despite new U.S. factories.
Trump’s comments on Taiwan underscore his pragmatism and, indeed, his seriousness about his intentions to defend Taiwan. His actions with NATO spurred it to become more serious, and Trump has the same goal with Taiwan. Liberals accuse him of threatening to withhold support, but the effect is the opposite. Our conclusion is as it has always been: Trump is a man who knows how to wield power.