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The U.S. Economy is Doing Well Despite the Whiners

&NewLine;<p>The media feeds us story after story of how the American people are suffering because of the state of the U&period;S&period; economy&period; It is mostly driven by recent price increases&period; We are told that the average American family is being &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;crushed” by increased food and gas prices&period; These stories are reinforced by selective interviews with people who talk about the severe impact increased costs are having on them&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>On the other hand&comma; the hard cold economic facts suggest that both the economy is strong and the impact of the current run of price increases is relatively modest on the average American family&period; Yes &&num;8230&semi; there are a small percentage of Americans who suffer disproportionately from any price increase – truly suffer&period; They are also the same folks who were suffering from the ravages of poverty in the past&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>But in terms of the overall picture&comma; the economy is good and very few Americans are truly &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;suffering” or in &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;desperate straits” as we see reported&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Of course&comma; complaining about price increases is as natural as grandma’s apple pie&period; But we should understand that those media reports of pandemic suffering because of the state of the U&period;S&period; economy are mostly mendacious political narratives &&num;8230&semi; partisan propaganda&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>No one likes price increases &&num;8230&semi; no one&period; And those politically motivated narratives may paint a dark picture&comma; but the facts suggest otherwise&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>For sure&comma; many Americans are complaining&period; But are they suffering&quest; Not really&period; Most American are doing just fine – even in the face of price increases&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So &&num;8230&semi; let us look at the facts&period; For that&comma; I often turn to economist Robert Genetski&period; &lpar;if you do not know him&comma; do the Google or Ai thing&rpar;&period; Here are some observations from his most recent report&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<em>Stock prices soared and oil prices fell from &dollar;112 to &dollar;95 as investors continue to anticipate an end to hostilities with Iran&period; First quarter earnings among key tech companies were up 20&percnt; to 50&percnt; from a year ago&period; All major indexes reached new all-time highs this week&period; Tech heavy Nasdaq and QQQs led with gains of 4&percnt;&comma; the S&amp&semi;P 500 and Russel 2000 rose 2&percnt;&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<em>As oil prices have moved slightly down from their peaks&comma; longer-term interest rates have also moved slightly lower&period; Unfortunately&comma; with the extension of the war into May&comma; monthly inflation will be higher than we anticipated&period; As a result&comma; we expect interest rates will remain elevated until the third quarter&comma; when inflation is likely to begin its downtrend&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>And what about that inflation rate – or the Consumer Price Index &lpar;CPI&rpar;&comma; as if is formally known&quest; Yes&comma; it is increasing at the moment&comma; but <strong>still rather low<&sol;strong>&period; According to the U&period;S&period; Bureau of Labor Statistics&comma; it is running at 3&period;3 percent&period; Compare that to the Biden Inflation of 9 percent&comma; and we still see an economy ethat is in good shape in terms of inflation – and will likely get better&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Importantly&comma; the Bureau reports a wage growth rate of 3&period;5 percent – which means that the incomes of American workers are pacing slightly <strong>ahead<&sol;strong> of the inflation rate&period; In other words&comma; American’s purchasing power remains level&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Put simply&comma; it means the <strong>American worker can cover the increased costs without any significant changes in spending habits<&sol;strong>&period; That is substantiated by consumer purchasing&period; There has been no meaningful reduction in retail sales&period; People are buying the same stuff they purchased in the past &&num;8212&semi; even at higher prices because they can afford to do so&period; That does not look like suffering on a mass scale&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It seems that a lot of people are saying they are being crushed by the economy&comma; If the economy is so good&comma; why do they say that&quest; It seems this is one of those situations President Lincoln had in mind when he said&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;widely held beliefs&comma; whether well or ill founded&comma; have the impact of fact&period;” The crushing economy is certainly a widely held belief – but obviously ill founded&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Democrats push the Draconian economic message for political reasons&period; It is to hurt Republicans in the upcoming midterm election&period; That is normal politics&period; However&comma; it is amplified by an irrational hatred of President Trump&period; Grassroots left-wing partisans and Trump haters are eager to spread the message without consideration to the facts&period; Left-wing media makes the Democrat propaganda the mainstay of their reporting&period; And&comma; I hate to say it&comma; but we have become a nation of whiners – people who believe one less dinner in an upscale restaurant is a personal catastrophe&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There is a saying in politics that what the party in power points to with pride&comma; the out party views with alarm&period; That seems to apply to the state of the U&period;S&period; economy&period; What impact the alarmist might have on the midterm election is yet to be seen&comma; but we can rest assured that for now the economy is in good shape and the people are still benefiting – not suffering – from free market capitalism&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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