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The Israel War is real … and going to get worse

The Israel War is real … and going to get worse

Here are a few thoughts on the Hamas attack on Israel.

Intelligence failure

There is no argument that the massive surprise attack on Israel is a failure of intelligence – mostly of the hitherto renowned Israeli Mossad. But failure includes the United States – and other major western nations – that maintain extensive surveillance of the Middle East in cooperation with Israel and independently.    

However, the reporting has overly focused on this issue with the implication that the intelligence failure makes Israel somehow culpable in the surprise attack.  International intel failure has nothing to do with who is the victim and who is the aggressor. That intel will be under review but has nothing to do with the necessary immediate response by Israel and its allies.

Moral equivalency

Hamas – and their partners – claim justification based on past actions of Israel.  They are joined by American voices on the radical left (think “The Squad” here) who place blame on Israel.  They parrot jihadist propaganda in direct opposition to America’s official policy.  To put it simply, they are wrong.  They literally aid and abet the terrorism of Hamas and Hezbollah.  In my judgment, they are no different than Nazi sympathizers during World War II.

Hamas and Hezbollah are recognized by the civilized world as brutal terrorist organizations that commit the most heinous crimes against western democracies and humanity – especially Jews.  They are the epitome of antisemitism. 

Hamas and Hezbollah both desire nothing less than the end of Israel as a nation and the genocide of the Jewish people as a religious/ethnic group.  The War in Israel is a conflict between good and evil — and there is no moral equivalency. 

As can be expected, MSNBC has provided the platform of anti-Israel sentiment – making the victims the villains.  Several shows have proffered the argument that the attack was justified … that Israel is the war criminal … the terrorist organization.  Even as the victim of an unprovoked, illegal terrorist attack, MSNBC guests have called for the boycott, disinvestment and sanctions on Israel.

Two state solution

For decades, the diplomatic community has spoken of the need for a two-state solution that would provide a Palestinian nation and agreements from terrorist nations protecting the right of Israel to exist.  The Islamic jihadists have consistently refused to accept those terms.  Instead, they have pursued their ambition to destroy Israel and fulfill their genocidal campaign.

Recognizing the hopelessness of dealing with the Palestinian authority, the Trump administration entered diplomatic talks that eliminated the two-state solution and successfully negotiated the Abraham Accords with three Arab nations – one of which had been officiality in a state of war with Israel.

There was no greater barrier to a two-state solution than the hardline antisemitic position of the Palestinian leadership and its allies – especially Iran.

The role of Iran

It would be foolish and dangerous to believe that the recent attack on Israel – and the scope of Middle East terrorism – are not the work of Iran.  Most of the other terrorist sponsoring states have failed or been diminished.  Iran stands out as the world’s number one state sponsor of terrorism. 

Without Iran’s financial and military support, Hamas and Hezbollah would be a ragtag bunch of crazies.  It has now been confirmed that the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard have been training Hamas terrorists for their attack on Israel.  The Iranian Supreme Leader has given unconditional praise for the attack on Israel – including the horrendous war crimes.

The current terrorist network that spreads through the world like a nest of vipers is supported by Iran.  Without Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah would be attacking with sticks and stones – not missiles and bombs.  In a literal sense, it is Iran that has declared war on Israel AND the world democracies – especially the United States.  The world’s democracies fail to appreciate that reality at their own peril.

Russia and North Korea

Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un have both cast their lot with Iran – and Iran with them.  Both nations support Iran’s attack on Israel – just as Iran and North Korea actively support Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.   The benefit to Russia is to stretch the resources of America and NATO – building more pressure in opposition to more financial and military support for Ukraine and Israel.  To think that Russia and north Korea are not playing a major behind-the-scenes role in the attack on Israel is foolish.


Although China aligns itself with Russia, North Korea and Iran, Xi Jinping has been more reserved in offering support.  Xi has not responded favorably to Putin’s pleas for weapons – as has North Korea and Iran.  China has focused its interest and influence in sub-Saharan Africa.  China’s strongest relationship in the Middle East tends to be with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates – two nations less friendly to Iran.

The American role

 Ever since President Carter – and America’s allies – allowed Iran to fall into the hands of the Islamic jihadist terrorists, the Middle East has been a vexing problem for the United States – and the civilized world.  The situation today is the result of American diplomatic incompetence and weakness – perceived and real.

A lack of American leadership and a belief in appeasement and acquiescence are key reasons for strength of the terrorist attack on Israel.  President Obama shipped billions of dollars to Iran.  Conversely President Trump ended the Iranian nuclear deal, imposed significant sanctions on Iran and killed Qasem Soleimani the commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, Iran’s terrorist militia.  President Biden returned to the get-along-at-any-cost policy by opening negotiators to re-start the Nuclear Deal and he, too, provided billions of dollars to the Iranian regime.

There can be no refutation that the billions of dollars America and western nations provided to Iran paid for a lot of those missiles that struck Israel.  The recent billions of dollars in ransom may not have been yet spent on this attack, but it is not the first time America has provided economic benefits to Iran – enabling the terrorist atrocities.  The recent money, which is only to be used for humanitarian purposes, allows Iran to shift other resources to sponsoring terrorism.

(America’s culpability in empowering Iranian terrorism is a larger subject and will be dealt with in more detail in a future commentary).

World War III

Many fear that escalation could lead to a World War III.  We are already in it – it is a PROXY World War III.  On one side Is Russia and Iran – with Russia, itself, in direct aggression against western democracies.  Ukraine is merely the current active battlefield.  Iran is waging active war on the west through an assemblage of terrorist groups – with Israel as the current major battlefield.  China and North Korea are mostly cheerleaders at the moment.

The United States, NATO, Japan, South Korea are all playing defense from the sidelines in the proxy battles in Ukraine, Israel and elsewhere.  The question is whether the western alliance can maintain its unengaged policy at the risk of incurring continuing losses.  The attack on Israel – and Ukraine – is a direct belief in the weakness of the United States.  It may well be necessary for the United States, NATO and others to unsheathe the swords of war and confront the enemy in the field of battle?  There is no victory in sports and war based only on defense.

The threat to Israel

Israel has a formidable military.  For decades, it has engaged in a tit-for-tat war of attrition against acts of terrorism.  The scope of the attack by Hamas requires a larger response.  We know that will take place because Israel has officially declared war on Hamas in Gaza.

That is not Israel’s only threat, however.  Hezbollah in Lebanon on Israel’s northern border could enter the war.  They have an enormous arsenal provided by Iran – and have already fired missiles into Israel.  Iran and Hamas are calling on Palestinians living in the West Bank to rise up.  So far, those calls have gone largely unheeded.

The hostage problem

Tragically, the 150 or so hostages taken by Hamas are in grave peril.  Israel will make attempts to find and rescue them, but at high risk – and is unlikely to result in the safe release of all or any of the hostages.  Unfortunately, Israel cannot allow the hostages to be used to completely restrain Israel’s counteroffensive.  If is a balancing act with tragic consequences.

The presence of American hostages presents a different problem.  They are not as likely to be killed.  They will be used as bargaining chips to get more concessions from the United States.  In a very real sense, they are the victims of the past policy of paying ransom.

The attack on Gaza

There will be a major military attack on Gaza – including ground forces.  So far, we have seen only the opening round.  In order to destroy Hamas, it will be a terrible bloody.  Thousands of people will be killed – including women and children. 

The high death toll will be high due to three factors; (1) the fact that terrorists embed themselves and their military equipment among the population, (2) with two million people living in 141 square miles (the most crowded geography on earth), the war zone is literally packed with people. and (3) the difficulty in telling the difference between innocent civilians and terrorist combatants – including woman and children.

On this latter point, the adult population is not entirely innocent of holding genocidal antisemitic feelings against the existence of Israel.  They largely support terrorism against Israel – and have chosen Hamas as their leadership.  Some commentators say that the people of Gaza do not support Hamas.  All evidence is to the contrary.  There has been no internal uprising against Hamas in Gaza – and that is significant.


Given the nature of the attack, the size and capabilities of the Israeli military and the Israeli cultural resolve, we can expect that this war will be fierce, but will not end soon – and it will be tragic in many ways.  But there is a time that the slow rolling tragedy of jihadist terrors must be convincing defeated.  The terrorists and rogue states are like a cancer in the human body.  You get it all out despite the unfortunate side effects — or the cancer eventually wins.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.


  1. Dan tyree

    If trump was still in office this shit would not have happened

    • Old Patriot

      They did not DARE while Trump was in office

  2. frank stetson

    Dan, you have absolutely no proof of that. He MAY be part of reason, aka Abrams Accords. But in any case, you have no proof.

    “They are joined by American voices on the radical left (think “The Squad” here) who place blame on Israel” has some spin on it. You say “radical left,” many of your readers hear Demoncratic Communist Party aka Democrats. First, “the squad” is four or five folks out of over 200, like less than 3%. Second, each squad member has a different take on the recent barbaric attack, the one you pick on first says both sides should lay down arms.

    Who cares what anyone thinks. Think 9/11 and what did we do and that’s the picture I see, as a liberal. What Israel is doing seems just and seems measured. If you can’t leave Gaza, you better find that last place they will bomb because they are going to level the place. Rightfully so.

    But IMO, over the decades, Israel has been wrong at times too (never like this – not even close), has been an aggressor at times, has stolen land not rightfully theirs. All of this is an argument before this attack. It has no place in any discussion right now, and perhaps some day we can circle back if there are any Palestinians left in Gaza as well as the other locations.

    And then track those missiles to punish whoever provided them with thousands of rockets obviously not intended for defense. That includes Biden in his Iranian deal is funding missiles, now or in the future.

    GOOD NEWS: I read where Biden stopped the $6B to Iran. Great call. **

    I disagree that the war will be a long one. If it’s just the Palestinians in Gaza, it’s just a matter of time. There’s no water, power, escape — the medical system is on the verge of collapse, it’s like a building hostage situation across an entire city. If they don’t capitulate and return the hostages, I would gather its drones and tanks followed closely by infantry to clear the place out. That will take time, but not that much time. The Israelis have hundreds of thousands of inspired soldiers to take that hill.

    If it’s more than the Palestinians or if they escalate to other borders, that’s where I think the world gets involved and then we will see. Not sure Russia or China really want to play that hand but if so, better when we are really pissed than when we deliberate. Hell, we can’t even elect a Speaker right now…..

    The Abrams Accord is a good thing IMO; it further normalizes Israel in the Arab world. It also may have been a contributing factor as the Palestinians feel more cutoff from the Muslim world because of it. Because of it, other countries have aligned with Iran for example. Don’t matter, normalization is the better choice.

    Horist — on this one I don’t care what the Democratic fringe says; the Democrats, like me, better be all in; more so than even Afghanistan or Iraq. Now, get us a Speaker and vote some support.

    • Dan tyree

      Biden did us proud if he stopped the Iran money. A blind squirrel will find an acorn sometime I didn’t get to catch much news today. I was busy lighting farts with a grill lighter at a party at a rest home. The old folks loved it

      • larry Horist

        Dab … When will we see you on “America’s Got Talent?”

        • Dan tyree

          Trying to get on now.

        • AC

          Off the issue much?
          America’s Got Talent all right. But, entertainment talent has no transference with talent and skills in the art of peaceful diplomacy toward conflict resolution.
          Yet, all considered, the situation between Israel and Palestinian Nations has not improved greatly from diplomatic efforts in the past. So, at present what is playing out is less about talent and skill than it is military assistance promised received.
          At the end of the day, likely this “war” will prove costly for both. Additionally it’s likely no resolution will be achieved. Sadly, in this action both will lose, neither will win in a real sense.
          In fact, the whole world will lose because of the two pulling in other nation to take side. Some of them are not good losers in a fight.
          Our world has been like powder keg with nuclear ramifications. The fuse is much shorter today than before Putin invaded Ukraine and, now greater instability in Palestine.
          WWIII is inevitable given a predilection human beings have for war rather than engaging in serious diplomacy.
          My hope and wish is that people on earth will not succumb to fear and indulge such great hate. Then, again, if that what will be, not in my life time, please.
          It’s what it is.

          • Bill herman

            The HAMAS terrorist started the war. And Israel, being God’s chosen people, will win. Read the book of Ezekiel in the Bible. It’s all there. It’s America that I’m worried about. Too much evil is being tolerated in the country. Read Mathew chapter 24. God cannot lie.

      • Joe lucas

        Frank should try that. He would smell better

        • Theodore

          Well, you have the smell part right anyway.


      The Palestinians accepted a 2 state solution over 40 years ago, so it is a lie to claim the problem is the Palestinians. The reality is that it is Israel that is the entire problem. Like who violated the UN partition and invaded Jerusalem? That was Israel in 1967. It is Israel that prevents there from being a 2 state solution only. It is Israel that has been illegally starving the Palestinians for decades.

      • larry Horist

        The two state solution has been thwarted by the Palestinian refusal to agree to the right of Israel to exist — and a subtext of genocide against Jews. That remains their stated mission — destroy Israel and kill jews. The acceptance of Israel is essential to a two state solution. Palestinian refusal is the reason it the two state solution was taken off the table and America and Israel commenced the successful bilateral peace agreements — the Abraham Accords. Hamas is standing in the way of a two s state solution — as is Hezbollah and Iran. They are doing a disservice to the Palestinian people.

  3. frank stetson

    These boys have a creepily keen interest in the subject of ass, and my ass in particular. I wonder if they do library readings on the value of being un-wokes? Dressed as troglodytes no doubt.

  4. frank stetson

    This is about to get even more brutal. As the Hospital looses power, Israel demands everybody out by 6 am today, now moved to 4pm. Some people will be unable to be moved. I am sure everyone knows that means the assault is at least after 4pm, maybe not at all today. Israel, IMO, has every right, but as time passes, will begin to look almost as bad as Hamas. Time is most certainly a factor.

    There’s an estimated 300 miles of booby trapped tunnels under the city, most with multiple access points, often in residential and other non-combatant safe facilities. Might be looking like Vietnam and the tunnel rats, or them might just seal them — except for those hostages…..

    It sure sounds like they will go in, Hamas better turn over the hostages, might be their only safety net.

    • Dan tyree

      War is hell. But look at who drew first blood