Site icon The Punching Bag Post

The Brexit Vote: What will happen if the UK leaves?

<p>Today&rsquo&semi;s &ldquo&semi;Brexit&rdquo&semi; vote is a coin toss that threatens to shatter the European Union as we know it and disrupt the global economy&period; Fluctuating polls are uncomfortably close to 50-50&comma; with the most recent stats showing 44&percnt; in favor of a Brexit and 45&percnt; hoping to stay&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Analysts believe a Brexit would cause a 40&percnt; increase in market volatility and send the S&amp&semi;P 500 down 5&percnt;&period; &ldquo&semi;I see only negative economic outcomes&comma;&rdquo&semi; warns US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew&period; &ldquo&semi;A Brexit would also put geopolitical stability at risk&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Bank of England has labeled the referendum &ldquo&semi;the largest immediate risk facing UK financial markets&comma; and possibly also global financial markets&comma;&rdquo&semi; and the <em>Washington Post<&sol;em> reports that &ldquo&semi;Britain&rsquo&semi;s departure from the EU could send shock waves across the global economy and threaten more than a trillion dollars in investment and trade with the US&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Corporate America&comma; which employs more than a million workers in Britain&comma; views the UK as a gateway into the rest of the EU&period; A full third of US sales in Europe occur in the UK&period;&nbsp&semi;A Brexit would lead to &ldquo&semi;years of uncertainty&comma;&rdquo&semi; warns JP Morgan&rsquo&semi;s CEO as a panicked Wall Street throws hundreds of thousands of dollars into Britain&rsquo&semi;s &ldquo&semi;stay&rdquo&semi; campaign&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Britain&rsquo&semi;s &ldquo&semi;Vote Leave&rdquo&semi; campaign is spearheaded by Justice Minister Michael Gove and former London mayor Boris Johnson&comma; the latter of which has tapped into a public mood of disgruntlement to win support &lpar;similar to what Trump is doing in the US&rpar;&period;&nbsp&semi;&ldquo&semi;It&rsquo&semi;s time to have a totally new relationship with our friends and partners across the Channel&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Johnson on Wednesday&period; &ldquo&semi;It&rsquo&semi;s time to speak up for democracy&comma; and hundreds of millions of people around Europe agree with us&period; It&rsquo&semi;s time to break away from the failing and dysfunctional EU system&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Johnson&rsquo&semi;s disaffected Britons are frustrated with the UK&rsquo&semi;s diminishing influence in the EU and are fed up with the rules and regulations surrounding the ongoing migrant crisis&period; The &ldquo&semi;Vote Stay&rdquo&semi; campaign is backed by half of Parliament&rsquo&semi;s conservative members and the UK Independence Party &lpar;UKIP&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Johnson&rsquo&semi;s primary rival is British Prime Minister David Cameron&comma; who may find his job on the line if Britain exits the EU&period; &ldquo&semi;We are not shackled to a corpse&comma;&rdquo&semi; he said Wednesday&comma; insisting that that EU is not on the decline&period; &ldquo&semi;Please give it everything you&rsquo&semi;ve got in these last few hours&period; Go out and vote &lsquo&semi;remain&period;&rsquo&semi;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The &ldquo&semi;Britain Stronger in Europe&rdquo&semi; faction believes the UK&rsquo&semi;s influence will further diminish if it leaves the bloc of nations to which it has belonged since 1973&period; They worry that a Brexit will threaten economic growth&comma; trade&comma; and national security&period;&nbsp&semi;Dozens of leading figures from Britain&rsquo&semi;s economic&comma; security&comma; and cultural elite have joined their voices to Cameron&rsquo&semi;s pleas&period; Cameron also finds support from the Scottish National Party&comma; the Labour Party&comma; the Liberal Democrats&comma; German Chancellor Angela Merkel&comma; and US President Barack Obama&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In a rare show of force&comma; President Obama threatened the UK during a visit in April&comma; saying that it would be &ldquo&semi;at the back of the queue&rdquo&semi; for future trade agreements with the US if it left the EU&period; His words were received harshly&comma; but as the UK&rsquo&semi;s biggest investor he feels that America should have a voice in the decision&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Meanwhile&comma; the EU referendum has become a huge political betting market with Ladbroke&rsquo&semi;s Matthew Shaddick claiming there is a 76&percnt; chance the UK will vote &ldquo&semi;stay&period;&rdquo&semi; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Investors are piling money into bets on a victory for the &ldquo&semi;remain&rdquo&semi; campaign&comma;&rdquo&semi; confirms <em>Bloomberg<&sol;em>&period; &ldquo&semi;The pound has surged to a five-month high and European stocks just posted their biggest three-day gain in almost a year&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Voting began this morning at 7&colon;00am and will end at 10&colon;00pm &lpar;5pm ET&rpar;&period; Stay tuned for results on Friday&excl;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Editor&&num;8217&semi;s note&colon;<&sol;strong> To me it sounds like a lot of the British establishment is vested in the EU and are sending out doomsday messages&period; However I&&num;8217&semi;m not sure its the best for Britain&comma; given the decisions the EU has made recently&period; The EU requires open borders with the European continent which means terrorists can travel freely&period; At least they have a vote&comma; we wish them the best of luck&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

Exit mobile version