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Republican Convention Intrigue: Personal Data Being Gathered on Delegates

<p>As Marco Rubio bowed out of the presidential race&comma; I couldn&rsquo&semi;t help but wonder what would happen to his delegates &ndash&semi; and the delegates won by other ex-candidates&period;&nbsp&semi;Turns out&comma; it varies by state&colon; some delegates will be automatically attached to the first ballot&semi; others are bound for two rounds of voting&semi; still others have different rules&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>But there&rsquo&semi;s enough wiggle room that those abandoned delegates just might end up making a difference come July&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;An unbound delegate is worth their weight in gold&comma;&rdquo&semi; says strategist Rick Wilson&period; &ldquo&semi;It&rsquo&semi;s hard to speculate and there&rsquo&semi;s a lot going on right now&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;There are plenty of unbound delegates to go around&period; Carly Fiorina&comma; Mike Huckabee&comma; and Rand Paul each left 1 delegate behind&semi; Jeb Bush dropped 4&semi; Ben Carson left 8&semi; and Marco Rubio now leaves behind 169 &&num;8216&semi;zombie delegates&period;&&num;8217&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This number will only increase if John Kasich or Ted Cruz drops out before the convention in Cleveland&period; And let&rsquo&semi;s not forget about the 112 unbound delegates from states and territories that do not hold primaries&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>If a close quarters fight were to unfold in Cleveland&comma;&nbsp&semi;those unbound delegates could hold considerable sway&period; &ldquo&semi;You could have a situation where you have two or three candidates at the end of March all that have substantial blocs of delegates&comma; but to get to 1&comma;236&comma; they are going to have to pick up some chunk of the uncommitted delegates&comma;&rdquo&semi; says a veteran Republican operative&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Abandoned delegates will either become free agents doing as they please or prizes&nbsp&semi;to be fought over by the candidates&period; Delegate Morton Blackwell from Virginia is preparing for such a scenario&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Sometimes&comma; folks trying to get someone&rsquo&semi;s vote try to put you in a very uncomfortable position&comma;&rdquo&semi; he said to the <em>Washington Examiner<&sol;em>&period; &ldquo&semi;They get several of your friends and allies into a room and they&rsquo&semi;ll do what we call &lsquo&semi;hotbox&rsquo&semi; you to put pressure on you to vote a certain way&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The GOP Party has not met for a national nominating convention without a probable nominee since &rsquo&semi;76&comma; when Ronald Reagan challenged Gerald Ford in Kansas City&period; In that case&comma; the unbound delegates secured the nomination for Ford&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The chances that we will see a contested RNC this year are increasing and there is already a bit of skuldugerry going on&comma; as Ben Schreckinger writes in Politico&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>Mysterious outside groups are asking state parties for personal data on potential delegates&comma; Republican campaigns are drawing up plans to send loyal representatives to obscure local conventions&comma; and party officials are dusting off rule books to brush up on a process that hasn&rsquo&semi;t mattered for decades&&num;8230&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Patronage and promises are likely to play a big role in wooing delegates&period; Will ambassadorships become a part of the trading as candidates compete in Cleveland this summer&quest;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>We have predicted Donald Trump will get the necessary 1&comma;237 delegates for the nomination&comma;but he does not have them yet&period; He currently has 661&comma; followed by Cruz with 406 and Kasich with 142&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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