Site icon The Punching Bag Post

No, China doesn’t Have a Free Market Economy

<p>Next week&comma; China will meet to determine who will lead the Communist Party for the next five years&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Before then&comma; market regulators have been working tirelessly to make sure stocks remain stable&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Investors have been halted from excessive share selling and the Chinese government is&nbsp&semi;manipulating the market with state-backed investment funds to keep it from fluctuating&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&&num;8220&semi;Beijing&rsquo&semi;s calming efforts appear to have worked so far&period; The Shanghai Composite Index&comma; China&rsquo&semi;s main equities benchmark&comma; has gained 0&period;7&percnt; since the start of September&comma; just before regulators commenced their campaign to ensure what many local media are predicting will be a &ldquo&semi;victorious&rdquo&semi; 19th Communist Party Congress&period; On Wednesday the market closed up 0&period;2&percnt; following listless trading&comma;&&num;8221&semi; write <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">The Wall Street Journal&period; <&sol;em>&&num;8220&semi;The relatively small movement in stocks recently continues an unusually calm year in China&rsquo&semi;s equity markets&period; In line with other major international markets&comma; volatility in Chinese stocks has dropped to multiyear lows&period; The Shanghai market has moved up or down by more than 1&percnt; on only 10 trading days this year&period;&&num;8221&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal"><em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">The Journal<&sol;em> points out that China&&num;8217&semi;s market is anything but &&num;8220&semi;free&period;&&num;8221&semi; Regulators have received tremendous pressure to keep the markets calm&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&&num;8220&semi;Last month China&rsquo&semi;s securities regulator summoned the heads of several large brokerages for meetings to instruct them to help ensure market stability ahead of the coming party congress&comma; according to two people familiar with the situation&comma;&&num;8221&semi; writes <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">The WSJ<&sol;em>&period; &&num;8220&semi;At a subsequent meeting on Sept&period; 25&comma; the head of the China Securities Regulatory Commission&comma; Liu Shiyu&comma; called on fellow senior officials at the regulator and major stock exchanges to keep the markets calm pre-congress&comma; urging them to understand the importance of doing so &ldquo&semi;from the height of political consciousness&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Fund managers have been advised against selling more shares than they buy&period; Brokerages have been instructed to monitor their clients&rsquo&semi; accounts to make sure they aren&&num;8217&semi;t doing anything unusual&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;We need to send in a report to the exchange at the end of every trading day to say that everything is OK&comma;&rdquo&semi; said an executive at a Shanghai-based brokerage&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Because of this&comma; firms have been working longer hours and even on holidays to put out any potential fires or handle risks&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">On Monday&comma; Shanghai index opened up 1&period;6&percnt;&period; But&comma; in response&comma; the state-backed funds teams dumped large financial stocks to keep the market from swelling&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&&num;8220&semi;The funds sold shares of large-cap companies&comma; including banks and China United Network Communications Ltd&period;&comma; said the people&comma; who asked not to be identified because the information is private&period; Before Monday&comma; the funds had been buying stocks to support the market after S&amp&semi;P Global Ratings cut China&rsquo&semi;s sovereign credit grade&comma; the people said&period; Their share purchases on Sept&period; 22 and the following week included Unicom and other large-cap companies&comma;&&num;8221&semi; writes&nbsp&semi;<em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">The Economic Times&period;&nbsp&semi;<br &sol;> <&sol;em><br &sol;>The Chinese government started to intervene in 2015 when the &dollar;7&period;7 trillion market was much more volatile&period; Since then&comma; state-backed funds have been much more active during important political events&period; The market is now at &dollar;8&period;6 trillion&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Even though the Chinese government has successfully been able to rig the markets and keep it &&num;8220&semi;calm&comma;&&num;8221&semi; this can have a devastating impact in the long run&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;It will make Chinese retail investors even more dependent on the government in the future&period; Whenever the market falls&comma; they will blame you&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Amy Lin&comma; senior analyst at Capital Securities&period; &ldquo&semi;How can they grow up in such an environment&quest;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Xi Jinping is expected to be &&num;8220&semi;elected&&num;8221&semi; as the leader&nbsp&semi;again&comma; so it&rsquo&semi;s unlikely that the government will stop manipulating the stock market to its advantage anytime soon&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal"><strong>Editor&&num;8217&semi;s note&colon;<&sol;strong> This makes direct comparisons with the market economies of the free world difficult&period; They are notorious for manipulating their currency&comma; and it seems an open secret that they are now manipulating their stock market&period; Could there be other points of manipulation designed to fool the rest of the world&comma; or critical weaknesses they have managed to hide&quest;&nbsp&semi;or investors and fund managers with a short risk window&comma; perhaps this<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">For investors and fund managers with a short risk window&comma; perhaps this is fine&period; But eventually foreign investors will take it in the shorts when the facade starts to crack&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

Exit mobile version