Alice Green | Aug 6, 2022 | 3
New Election Study Finds 255,000 “Excess” Votes for Biden
President Joe Biden received as many as 255,000 “excess” votes in Democratic-controlled areas of swing states during the 2020 presidential election, claims a peer-reviewed study published in the journal Public Choice.
Keep in mind Biden won Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin by a mere 313,253 votes.
The study, which sought to determine whether Democrat-backed changes to election procedure during the pandemic allowed new opportunities for fraud, examined voter data at the precinct level in red and blue areas of swing states during the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The study was conducted by John R. Lott, a political commentator and gun rights advocate who leads the Crime Prevention Research Center. Lott, one of the most-cited economists on the planet, said he waited nearly a year for his research to be fully reviewed before going to the press.
By comparing data at the precinct level, Lott discovered that voter turnout in GOP areas generally increased while voter turnout in Democratic areas decreased except in places where voter fraud was suspected. Based on Lott’s data, President Biden received 255,000 more votes in 2020 than should be expected.
“More heavily Democratic counties actually had a slightly lower turnout in 2020, except for counties where vote fraud was alleged,” explains Lott. “And yet you only had huge increases in turnout where vote fraud was alleged.” Lott adds that the 255,000 figure is an underestimate and the true number may be as high as 368,000.
By comparing blue and red precincts that neighbor each other in areas where fraud is suspected, Lott also discovered a much higher rate of mail-in voting in Democratic-controlled areas. There is no reason for this discrepancy and it was not present during the 2016 election.
“You’re comparing two tiny areas that are very homogenous, very similar to each other, across the street from each other, and the thing that differs from these two, for the absentee ballots, is where the ballots were counted,” explains Lott. In most cases, in-person votes are counted at the local precinct and absentee ballots are counted at a country’s central election office.
In Fulton County, Georgia, Lott identified an “unusual drop-off” in GOP votes amounting to 11,350 votes (almost equal to the margin by which Biden defeated Trump in GA). Data from Fulton also suggests up to 2,423 unregistered voters and 2,560 felons were allowed to participate in the election. There was also a suspicious situation in Fulton wherein a burst water pipe necessitated the removal of poll watchers.
In Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, votes were skewed when Democratic officials went against state law to seek out and offer voters who had submitted incorrect ballots a chance to correct them. This move was not repeated by GOP officials.
If confirmed by other scholars, Lott’s study could breathe new life into GOP claims of voter fraud that have largely been dismissed by courts due to lack of proof. “Time after time, the news media keeps on saying there’s no evidence of vote fraud here,” continues Lott. “I think it’s at least a little bit harder for them to go and claim that.”
Lott confirmed his study was not designed to overturn or invalidate the 2020 election, but to spur action on voting reform. “We have a real problem that needs to be dealt with. Americans must have confidence in future elections.”