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My First Climate Change Conference, a View from the Other Side

<p>I did it&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I descended into the heart of liberal darkness&comma; Berkeley&comma; California and attended the Tenth International Conference on Climate Change&colon; Impacts &amp&semi; Responses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As you may have guessed&comma; I&rsquo&semi;m a climate change skeptic&period; And while this conference was interesting and gratifying for a number of reasons&comma; it did not change my view as a climate change skeptic&comma; but in fact&comma; reinforced it&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>My own presentation &lpar;for <a href&equals;"http&colon;&sol;&sol;theenergynet&period;com" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noopener"><strong>solving climate change while making a huge profit<&sol;strong><&sol;a>&nbsp&semi; &ndash&semi; i&period;e&period;&comma; the Republican way&rpar; was not widely attended&comma; but the conversation was lively and I gained some allies&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Without further ado here are my stories&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As an engineer and formerly a developer of analytical systems for the CIA&comma; my instinct is to follow information backward to its source&period; In several instances&comma; I&rsquo&semi;ve followed the rabbit hole&comma; examined data from important climate science claims and discovered gaping holes in their logic&comma; making them misleading or just incorrect&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The conference had some of the same&period; The most blatant example presented at the conference was from Roberta Atzori from the University of California with a study of the Florida tourism industry&period; Since I am a long time resident of Florida&comma; I took an interest&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Her method was to ask questions of tourists like &lpar;paraphrasing&rpar; &ldquo&semi;if the sun on the beach became too hot&comma; would you stop traveling to Florida or would you vacation somewhere else&quest;&rdquo&semi; and &ldquo&semi;if all of the beaches disappeared in Florida would you stop going there&quest;&rdquo&semi; Needless to say&comma; with those kinds of questions &lpar;look up &ldquo&semi;pre-suasion&rdquo&semi;&rpar; she got the results she desired&comma; she did the math and claimed billions in damages due to Climate Change&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I&comma; of course&comma; as an interested party pointed out that in Florida we know how to re-sand beaches&comma; and we do it often and enthusiastically &lpar;e&period;g&period;&comma; the Boca beach last fall after hurricane Irma&rpar;&period; Beaches in Florida are not likely to disappear over the next 80 years no matter the weather change&period; And if Florida floods to 10 miles inland&quest; We will install a new beach right there&period; I also pointed out that even the most pessimistic climate change projects only estimate about 4 degrees of change by 2100&comma; not enough to roast our tourist population and force them away from the beach &lpar;nor interrupt the patterns of sun&comma; beer&comma; sun beer&comma; sun &hellip&semi;&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Tell me you can&rsquo&semi;t guess what happened next&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>She immediately called me the &ldquo&semi;D-word&period;&rdquo&semi; I had to be a climate change &ldquo&semi;denier&rdquo&semi; to challenge her work&comma; so of course&comma; the obvious move was ad hominem&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>What she did not do was defend her scenarios &lpar;which would have been impossible anyway&rpar;&comma; which were the basis of the questions she was asking&comma; and the response to which was the basis of her conclusions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This kind of shoddy work is why I am a skeptic of climate science&period; Someone with zero knowledge of the practical side of her topic has submitted to the academic community a worthless&comma; baseless calculation of cause-effect&comma; that someone else will likely use to build another house of cards study&period; And in a room with 12-15 people&comma; no one questioned it except me&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;-<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Dr&period; Max Platzer of the University of California Davis was an Apollo scientist back in the 1960&rsquo&semi;s&period; His presentation featured a fleet of boats that used wind power and an underwater generator in perpetual motion in the southern seas&comma; to produce hydrogen fuel on a global scale&period;&nbsp&semi; At first&comma; this seemed to be very much in the science fiction realm&period; But to my great surprise and pleasure&comma; Dr&period; Platzer&comma; in true engineering form&comma; proceeded to convince us layer by layer that his design was feasible and practical &lpar;albeit expensive&excl;&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Dr&period; Platzer was perhaps the most inspiring speaker at the conference&comma; his passion and appeal to implement an Apollo-like &ldquo&semi;moonshot&rdquo&semi; was compelling&period; He said at the advanced age of 85&comma; his future was limited&comma; but he was willing and indeed anxious to help future generations solve this problem&period; His passion was perhaps the closest phenomenon in this conference to breaking my own skepticism on climate change&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&ndash&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Matthew Moore of California State University positively ranted at the lack of coordination between the different levels of government&comma; saying the government was a disorganized mess and was not preparing for the massive number of people that would certainly be displaced during global warming&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>When he included Houston and Florida in his rant I took exception&period; Noting that I had just experienced <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;the-inconvenience-of-hurricane-irma&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noopener">Hurricane Irma<&sol;a>&comma; I told him that in our state&comma; coordination between federal&comma; state and local&comma; was near perfect&period; We have some of the best emergency planners in the world who had the streets cleared&comma; the public informed&comma;and everyone in shelters who wanted to go &lpar;with designated shelters accepting pets&rpar;&period;&nbsp&semi; The Governor had toured the area and coordinated operations&comma; and FEMA had pre-positioned supplies all over the state&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>We didn&rsquo&semi;t have housing prepared for 300&comma;000 people &lpar;per Moore&rsquo&semi;s lament&rpar; because our experts decided we would not need it &lpar;and we didn&rsquo&semi;t&rpar;&period; Moore&rsquo&semi;s universal condemnation of FEMA and the emergency management strategy in America was offensive and&comma; of course&comma; wrong&period; Does he have a point that we need more emergency housing&quest; I don&rsquo&semi;t know&comma; I&rsquo&semi;m way too lazy and uninterested to re-do his work for him&period; But considering his lack of research and&sol;or candor on his other statements&comma; why would I believe anything else he said&quest; And yet his presentation was accepted as scientific work&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>At the conference dinner&comma; I had a discussion with Alex Ellery from Carleton University&comma; who was proposing a satellite-based solution for providing power to supplant electricity&period; This is not a new idea&comma; its been around since at least the 1970&rsquo&semi;s when my high school debate team was focused on the energy shortage of the day&period; They were also the subject of Ben Bova&rsquo&semi;s &ldquo&semi;Powersat&rdquo&semi; from 2005&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>His new idea&comma; however&comma; was fascinating&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Since it is very expensive to lift materials in space from earth&comma; he was proposing that the power satellites be built on the moon using SELF REPLICATING ROBOTS&excl; And using only materials from the moon&rsquo&semi;s surface&period; I was thinking&comma; &ldquo&semi;Wow&comma; forget the satellites&comma; I want the robots&period;&rdquo&semi; And this is a serious engineer with a serious design&period; He is close to having the design ready&comma; complete with neural network style computing power made from lunar materials rather than straight silicon&period; He still needs an additional &dollar;12 Million in funding to complete the research&period; Any takers&quest; &lpar;If so&comma; I want to be on the deployment team&excl;&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;-<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>One of the keynote speakers was Dr&period; Michel Gueldrey&comma; from the University of Toulouse&period; I had had some brief conversations with him the day before and he is a thoughtful&comma; intelligent and gracious man&period; However his presentation on &ldquo&semi;engaging climate skeptics&rdquo&semi; was disappointing and a bit insulting to American conservatives&period; His presentation featured such thoughts as &ldquo&semi;the superiority of Europe over America&comma;&rdquo&semi; &lpar;hard to swallow from a Frenchman&rpar; a number of fringe books with insulting titles&comma; and a presentation of methods to persuade skeptics that was worthy of any religion&comma; political campaign&comma; or fraternity rush chairman&period; In fact&comma; I got a distinct feeling I could substitute &ldquo&semi;Disciples of Christ&rdquo&semi; for &ldquo&semi;Climate Change&rdquo&semi; in most of the slides and they would be equally functional&period; But frankly&comma; this is what a conservative would expect at a climate change conference so I took it with a grain of salt&period; I do have faith that Dr&period; Gueldry will improve his content over time&comma; but it was cringe-worthy in its current form&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;-<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Several presentations were very well done&comma; even if the link to global climate change was not firmly established in my own mind&period; Claire Brunel&comma; from American University&comma; had a very well constructed study of internal migration in Brazil &lpar;I know what your thinking&comma; but yes&comma; it was good&excl;&rpar;&period; In the same session&comma; Justin Udie from De Montfort University talked about the effects of climate change on oil and gas equipment near the Niger Delta&period; Again&comma; I&rsquo&semi;m not sure about the link to climate change but it was an impressive work of risk analysis on oil and gas equipment&period; It took quite a bit for me to not go into full nerd mode and dig in with questions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Marlene Payva Almonte from the University of Liverpool attended several of the same sessions that I did&comma; and her comments were always thoughtful and cogent&period;&nbsp&semi; In her own session&comma; she presented an insightful presentation on the relationship between climate change and human rights&period; I&rsquo&semi;m not sure I agree with her premise that the Paris Accords are a good thing&comma; but it certainly pushed some buttons for my own research&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&ndash&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Sally Graves Machlis from the University of Idaho sought to increase understanding of climate change through art&period; I&rsquo&semi;m not sure I fully grasp the magnitude of her work&comma; but I had fun in her workshop cutting paper brains from clip art&comma; gluing them to the canvass and painting in the background in watercolors&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;&mdash&semi;-<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>One last feature was a gentleman Greg Poole from Industrial Tests&comma; Inc&period; A degreed engineer&comma; but non-academic&comma; I could feel that Mr&period; Pool was avoiding using the common engineering jargon to be better understood&comma; a common practice of engineers when speaking to laymen&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He described the Earth as an electric motor with influence from the Sun&comma; Moon and other planets&period; Do you think this is silly&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>I don&rsquo&semi;t&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The electrical character of the Earth and the solar system have long been known&comma; and it accounts for a great many important characteristics&comma; like the magnetic poles and the magnetosphere&period; His framework is brilliant and all-encompassing &lpar;but according to Pool&comma; not quite complete&rpar;&period; He predicted response characteristics of the molten core that will keep experimental scientists busy for decades&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>His engineering skills are first-rate&comma; his analysis was spot on&period; This was perhaps the most important lecture of the conference&comma; although I don&rsquo&semi;t expect anyone to realize it&period; Any analysis of our solar system or any solar system we discover in the future will be incomplete without it&period; And as for avoiding jargon&comma; I did manage to ask a question that let him know I was an engineer&comma; and he answered in full technical and engineering terms entirely unintelligible to the rest of the room&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Yes&comma; a real engineer&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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