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Is the current Harris the product of momentum — flash in the pan?

&NewLine;<p>Having posed the headline question&comma; readers may assume that I have an answer to the question – or at least an informed opinion&period;&nbsp&semi; I do not&period;&nbsp&semi; The only difference between me and so many on the giddy left is that I see the possibility of Vice President Harris being a flash in the pan&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Harris’ political honeymoon should come as no surprise&period;&nbsp&semi; Of course&comma; she would do better than Biden – an 81-year-old mentally compromised President with a litany of unpopular policies&period; &nbsp&semi;Harris doing better was the foregone conclusion&period;&nbsp&semi; &nbsp&semi;And of course&comma; she would enjoy a period of euphoria – a political honeymoon &&num;8212&semi; less the result of her ascension and more about Biden’s withdrawal&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>But the over-the-top praise and body-trembling excitement is hyperbole on the part of those who actually believe that Harris is some sort of super candidate who is &&num;8220&semi;faster than a speeding bullet &&num;8230&semi; more powerful than a locomotive &&num;8230&semi; able to leap tall buildings in a single bound&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The good news for Harris is that her numbers are better than Biden’s&period; She has crept up on Trump by a point or two&period;&nbsp&semi; The bad news for Harris is that despite all the upbeat rhetoric from the media cheerleaders&comma; she has only moved up a couple of percentage points&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As I pointed out in a previous commentary &&num;8230&semi; with 80 to 90 percent of the likely voters having already made up their minds&comma; the pool of available voters for Harris to attract is very small&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>If tradition holds&comma; Harris should get another small bump when she names her vice presidential choice and again following the Democratic National Convention&period;  After that&comma; it is a race to the finish line&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The one question unanswered is whether Harris has real momentum or is just a flash in the pan&period;  We saw that when she entered the presidential race last time&period;  She attracted a lot of attention – and a lot of fawning media praise – but she crashed and burned upon launch&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Some national polls will fuel Harris’ optimism&period;  She will come within a fraction of a percent of Trump – and in some cases&comma; a point ahead&period;  That is good for your morale but it is the battleground states that will make all the difference&period;  At this junction&comma; Trump still has a better path to the 270 electoral votes that decide the winner – but it is less of a slam dunk now&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Harris cannot beat Trump on the critical issues – but Trump can beat Trump&period;  He is often his own worst enemy&period;   The only safe observation that can be made is that the race is closer than it was when Biden was the candidate&period; So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;ti<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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