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Inflation: The Danger of a Booming Economy

<p class&equals;"MsoNormal" style&equals;"text-align&colon; left&semi;" align&equals;"center">Although most financial analysts are optimistic about the future of U&period;S&period; economy under the Trump administration&comma; the more consumers spend the more inflation becomes an issue&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The price of consumer goods is on the rise&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The Labor Department reported at in December consumer prices increased by &period;03&percnt;&period; Compared to last year&comma; food and energy pricing is up by 1&period;8&percnt;&comma; which is a 0&period;1&percnt; increase from the previous month&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">While there was a 1&period;1&percnt; decline in sales of clothing and accessories&comma; sporting goods&comma; and at department stores&comma; sales of furniture&comma; home furnishing stores&comma; and online increased&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The cost of medical care increased by 0&period;3&percnt; and the shelter costs rose by 0&period;4&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">As the price of goods and services increase&comma; the U&period;S&period; dollar depreciates&period; A higher inflation eats away at the savings of retired folks and the funds of those on a fixed income&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">With the new GOP tax plan&comma; which will evidently foster economic prosperity and the unemployment rate being at an all-time low&comma; the Federal Reserve has said that this year there will be three rate increases&period; These will slow down the economy so it doesn&rsquo&semi;t burst&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&&num;8220&semi;The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate&semi; the federal funds rate is likely to remain&comma; for some time&comma; below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run&comma;&&num;8221&semi;&nbsp&semi;said the Federal Open Market Committee in a statement in December&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">So how does the increase rate impact the economy&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">When the Fed increases increase rates&comma; often the prime and credit card rates also increase&period; The U&period;S&period; national debt increases too&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Increased interest rates led to a decrease in business profits since the cost of capital needed to expand is higher&period; The housing marketing will also see a slow-down&comma; along with consumer spending because there are less borrowing rates available&period; <span style&equals;"mso-spacerun&colon; yes&semi;">&nbsp&semi;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Ultimately&comma; the Fed&rsquo&semi;s actions in 2018 will impact the U&period;S&period; economy&period; If the committee doesn&rsquo&semi;t play its cards right&comma; they could risk a recession&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">But this recent report will likely keep the Fed on track with its increases in interest rates expected to start in March&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;The economy is doing quite well right now &&num;8230&semi; and well enough for the Fed to feel compelled to take steps to take the edge off before inflation truly becomes problematic&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Jim Baird&comma; chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors to <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">Reuters&period;<&sol;em> &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The rate at which inflation strengthen last year was consistent with the Fed&rsquo&semi;s predictions&period; <&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;The increase in core inflation topped expectations for a 0&period;2 percent rise&period; A separate release from the Commerce Department revealed retail sales rose in December following an upwardly revised gain in November&comma;&rdquo&semi; writes <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">Financial Times<&sol;em>&period; &ldquo&semi;Following the data&comma; the yield on the policy-sensitive two-year Treasury climbed above 2 percent for the first time since the financial crisis&comma; while the benchmark 10-year yield rose 5&period;6 basis points at 2&period;58 percent&period; Meanwhile&comma; the US dollar index trimmed its losses immediately after the data to trade 0&period;46 percent lower at 91&period;43&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;We view the report&comma; on balance&comma; as helping to confirm FOMC members&rsquo&semi; suspicions that disinflation from 2017 will likely prove transitory&period; Alongside a forecast of above-trend growth and a declining unemployment rate&comma; today&rsquo&semi;s inflation data are consistent with our outlook for further normalization of Fed policy&period; We expect four 25 basis-point rate increases in 2018 with the next hike coming at the March FOMC meeting&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Michael Gapen&comma; U&period;S&period; economist at Barclays to <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">FT&period;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal"><strong>Author&rsquo&semi;s note&colon;<&sol;strong> This report proves that an increase in rates is probably the best move for to keep the economy healthy&period; The higher interest rates will slow down the economy and tempers inflation&comma; while giving savings accounts a better rate&period; This can be balanced by the Fed so that prosperity increases for all&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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