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How the U.S. Tax Plan Will Affect the World

<p class&equals;"MsoNormal" style&equals;"text-align&colon; left&semi;" align&equals;"center">Not only is the new tax plan expected to boost the U&period;S&period; economy&comma; but it will also give a boost globally&comma; especially for our main trading partners&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The International Monetary Fund &lpar;IMF&rpar; released its latest World Economic Outlook &lpar;WEO&rpar; report where it revised its previous&nbsp&semi;forecast of a 3&period;7&percnt; increase in global economic growth to a higher estimate closer to 3&period;9&percnt; in the next two years&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">If this ends up being accurate&comma; this will be the fastest rate since 2011&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;With Donald Trump&comma; the US president&comma; due to give a speech at the forum&nbsp&semi;on Friday&comma; the IMF raised the US growth forecast for 2018 from 2&period;3 percent to 2&period;7 percent and added a 0&period;6 percentage point upgrade to its 2019 US forecast&comma; lifting it to 2&period;5 percent&period; By 2020&comma; it said the total effect of the corporate tax cuts was likely to boost the US economy by 1&period;2 percent&comma; although there would be some payback in subsequent years as the nation had to restore its public finances&comma;&rdquo&semi; writes <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">Financial Times&period;<&sol;em> &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">This boost will offer a &ldquo&semi;perfect opportunity now for world leaders to repair their roof&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Christine Lagarde&comma; the IMF Managing Director&nbsp&semi;on Monday in Davos&comma; Switzerland where the World Economic Forum met&period; &ldquo&semi;Growth in our view needs to be more inclusive&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">After Trump&rsquo&semi;s first year&comma; the U&period;S&period; unemployment rate is down&comma; and the stock market&comma; labor market and consumer spending are up&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;We have a growth rate &mdash&semi; a GDP &mdash&semi; which has been much higher than&comma; as you know&comma; anybody anticipated&comma; except maybe us&comma;&rdquo&semi; said Trump last August&period; &ldquo&semi;But it&&num;8217&semi;s going to go up&period; It&&num;8217&semi;s going to go higher&comma; too&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">This year of growth was all before the tax plan was rolled out&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;About half of the IMF&rsquo&semi;s global upgrade stems from the Republican tax cuts passed in December and enacted this year&period; Cuts to the corporate tax rate will give the world&rsquo&semi;s biggest economy a shot in the arm&comma; lifting U&period;S&period; growth to 2&period;7 percent this year&comma; 0&period;4 point higher than the fund expected in October&comma; the IMF said Monday in an update to its World Economic Outlook&period; Projected U&period;S&period; growth was the highest among advanced economies&comma;&rdquo&semi; writes <em style&equals;"mso-bidi-font-style&colon; normal&semi;">Bloomberg&period;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">However&comma; the IMF warned that the boost could be short-lived&comma; especially with Trump&rsquo&semi;s plans to renegotiate trade deals&period; <span style&equals;"mso-spacerun&colon; yes&semi;">&nbsp&semi;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;An increase in trade barriers and regulatory realignments&comma; in the context of these negotiations or elsewhere&comma; would weigh on global investment and reduce production efficiency&comma; exerting a drag on potential growth in advanced&comma; emerging market&comma; and developing economies&comma;&rdquo&semi; said the IMF&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">According to the IMF findings&comma; Asian countries like China and India remain the fastest growing&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">&ldquo&semi;The region continues to account for over half of world growth&comma;&rdquo&semi; said the IMF&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">As the U&period;S&period; economy improves&comma; the more money China is making from trade deals&period; The U&period;S&period; trade deficit with China is already at an all-time high&comma; but Trump promised to implement measures to alleviate this&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">The Trump administration has discussed introducing penalties on Chinese imports&comma; like aluminum&comma; steel&comma; and solar equipment&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal">Ultimately&comma; the U&period;S&period; Federal Reserve&rsquo&semi;s actions in 2018 will impact the U&period;S&period; economy&period; But the IMF predictions will likely keep the Fed on track with its increases in interest rates expected to start in March&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"MsoNormal"><strong>Author&rsquo&semi;s note&colon; <&sol;strong>It looks like the tax plan is going to be a good thing for trade partners&comma; which certainly gives Trump negotiating power when it comes to revisiting trade deals&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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