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HORIST: Time to retire Iowa as the lead-off hitter

<p>I recently penned an article entitled &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;punchingbagpost&period;com&sol;2020&sol;01&sol;10&sol;horist-the-unimportance-of-iowa&sol;">The Unimportance of Iowa&period;”<&sol;a>  This year&comma; it went from unimportant to unreliable&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Iowa caucus-style primary has been overrated and an irrelevant tradition in American politics for generations&period;  Like the circus&comma; it comes to our political town every couple of years with great pomp&comma; publicity and anticipation&period;  And like the circus&comma; it puts on a great show of middle Americanism&period;  However&comma; it is just entertainment that quickly fades in the dust and dulcet tones of the departing calliope&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This year was more notable than most&period;  Not because of the political outcomes and the Whirling Dervish spins of the performing candidates – but because disaster struck the Big Top&period;  The tent collapsed before any of the performers could take their bows&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It would have been time to send in the clowns&comma; but as the song revealed&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;They’re already here&period;”  In fact&comma; they appear to have been the organizers of this year’s first-of-the-season performances&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;why” and &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;how” that the calibrating system so badly malfunctioned will require a longer analysis&period;  What we do know is that the final results&comma; which were to be released in the late hours of Monday evening&comma; were not revealed until the next day – running smack into the State of the Union Speech and the vote to acquit President Trump of all charges in the Articles of Impeachment&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In the meantime&comma; the clowns dressed up as presidential candidates did their job&period;  They came before the American audience with campaign-style speeches – and even victory speeches – to divert attention away from the lack of information&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The long wait taxed the skills of those news networks renowned for their ability to drone on endlessly without any new news to report&period;  Senator Amy Klobuchar was the first to see and seize that opportunity to appear before the cameras&period;  She gave a long victory-like campaign speech – and her gambit worked&period;  She got full coverage of her entire speech on all three of the major cable news stations that were desperate for something … anything … to report&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>It appeared that former Vice President Biden&comma; Senator Elizabeth Warren&comma; Senator Bernie Sanders and Mayor Pete Buttigieg were late to the party – failing to recognize the opportunity that all that dead airtime offered&period;  They belatedly returned to center ring&comma; but only for divided attention from the networks&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In fact&comma; Biden and Warren tripped over each other by taking to the stage at the same time – forcing FOX NEWS to  put them on split-screen with the audio randomly jumping back and forth – turning their remark into disconnected gibberish&period;  The only things missing were the over-sized shoes and the red bulbous noses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The technology breakdown that ground the process to a halt only masked the more important issue&period;  Had all the glitches not occurred&comma; the Iowa caucuses would still have been an exercise in absurdity&period; Whether intentional or not – and a case can be made on both sides – the Iowa caucuses were designed to obfuscate political reality&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Remember the rules&period;  You gather in a corner with your fellow Iowans based on your candidate preference&period;  You need to have more than 15 percent of the total number of caucusers to make it to the second round&period;  BUT&comma; if you are just short of the 15 percent threshold&comma; you can go to others in that category and invite&comma; beg or bribe them to join your caucus to get you over the 15 percent&comma;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>When the vote is finally taken&comma; those whose candidates passed the 15 percent can go home&period;  They are locked in&period;  However&comma; those who failed to achieve 15 percent can be solicited by the successful caucuses – unless they have already gone home and there is no one to do the soliciting&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>After that bit of horse trading&comma; another vote is taken to see who of the remaining candidates has the most  support&period;  That number is then calculated into the distribution of delegates&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Under the Iowa system&comma; you can win the first round&comma; lose the second to a declared official winner&comma; but wind up with your share of delegates&period; Generally&comma; it results in a few candidates dividing up the already small number &lpar;41 out of 4765&rpar; delegates to the National Convention&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A big difference this year is that the smart folks at the Democratic National Committee insisted that the results of the first round be made public&period;  That was not done in the past&period;  That did nothing except to expose the underlying stupidity of the entire Iowa caucus system to the general public&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In 2016&comma; it has been widely believed that Sanders had actually beat Hillary Clinton in the first round&comma; but she collected all the stop-Sanders-at-any-cost dropouts to be declared the overall winner&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>If you think screwing up the first in the nation primary was new this year&comma; you need to recall when Governor George Romney was declared the winner in the 2012 Iowa primary only to have the trophy transferred to Senator Rick Santorum much later – after early primaries in other states were already over&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>On a related subject&comma; we should not forget that the <em>Des Moines Register<&sol;em> had to shut down its highly vaunted last-minute statewide poll because they forgot to include Buttigieg among the candidates&period;  They were already in the midst of calling caucusers when a Buttigieg supporter called the error to the newspaper’s attention&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In short&comma; there was no credible advance information and no timely subsequent information&period;  It is time for Iowa to be shuffled to the middle of the deck of primaries and to convert to an election system&period;  Outside of providing great theater&comma; the Iowa system is not a great service to the process&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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