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Georgia race more important than you may think

In this photo from Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2018, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., left, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., sit together to honor former Sen. Bob Dole, at the Capitol in Washington, Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2018. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

&NewLine;<p>It was very possible that the Senate race between NFL star Herschel Walker and incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock would have control of the Senate in the balance&period;&nbsp&semi; But the Republican belated losses in Arizona and Nevada ended that possibility&period;&nbsp&semi; Democrats would control the Senate&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The only issue to be resolved is whether Democrats would have a clear one-seat advantage &&num;8212&semi; or it would be another two years of an evenly divided Senate – with Vice President Harris breaking any tie votes&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>While Democrats would technically have control&comma; Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer would still have problems getting all 50 of his senators to vote on important legislation&period;&nbsp&semi; Moderate – and more independent – senators such as West Virginia’s Joe Manchin and Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema– could side with Republicans in defeating the more radical left-wing measures – as they did in the past&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&lpar;As an aside&comma; I find it interesting that the two so-called &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;independent senators” – Angus King from Maine and self-proclaimed socialist Bernie Sanders from Vermont – vote lockstep with the Democrats&comma; exhibiting no independence at all&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There could still be Democrat senators who break ranks with their leadership&comma; but it would take more than one senator to block the Biden spending agenda&period; That is a significant difference&period;&nbsp&semi; That means a win by Walker is still an incredibly significant outcome for Republican efforts to block the more egregious legislation&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There is another important benefit for Republicans in an evenly divided Senate&period;&nbsp&semi; With a clear majority&comma; Schumer can appoint a majority on all the Senate committees and subcommittees&period;&nbsp&semi; In an evenly divided Senate&comma; those committees must have equal representation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Unfortunately&comma; without a full appreciation of the difference between an evenly split Senate and a one seat majority&comma; it is likely that Republican enthusiasm in the upcoming December run-off election will decline&period; &nbsp&semi; Polls seem to suggest that is the case&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The failure of the GOP to gain control of the Senate likely improved Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s chances of retaining his leadership role – which he was likely to retain under any circumstances&period;&nbsp&semi; But without the possibility of being the Majority Leader&comma; a challenge to McConnell makes no sense at all&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It is possible that the GOP will do better in 2024&comma; when the numbers are much more favorable&period;&nbsp&semi; There will be 33 seats up for election&comma; with 23 being held by Democrats&comma; including those two independent guys&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The Georgia seat would be an important win for the GOP&comma; but the odds are trending against them&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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