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Figures do not lie … but liars figure

Figures do not lie … but liars figure

Although he did not coin it, American author Mark Twain popularized the adage that there are “lies, damn lies and statistics.”

Part of the Democrat left-wing attack on President Trump relies on all three forms of prevarication.  For this purpose, we examine the use … er … misuse … of statistics.  In the warped thinking of progressives, Trump is exclusively responsible for the high rate of cases and deaths in the United States.  There are a LOT of reasons why we have been hit hard, and anything Trump did or did not do is only a minor factor, at best.

Trump was not alone in believing that the virus may not hit America as hard as it did.  He is not personally responsible for the initial screw-up in testing by the Center for Disease Control (CDC).  He is certainly not responsible for the cultural mobility of the American people and the immigration policies that bring folks from all over the world streaming into America.  He is not responsible for the internal mobility of the American people – such as all those New Yorkers fleeing to Florida from the Big Apple and adding to the Sunshine State numbers.

Still, the left computes the statistics as an indictment of Trump and his entire administration.   They calculate that while the United States has four percent of the world population, we have almost one third of the cases.

In one of his high-volume pontifical political rants, MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough waxed eloquent about American Exceptionalism.  He bragged how America has the very best medical professionals.  The best scientists.  The best doctors.  The best technology.  Of course, he is correct.  But Scarborough somehow reasons that with all these advantages, we disproportionately suffered because of Trump. How – in God’s name – could Trump do anything that would have overcome all the alleged advantages America enjoys.  Of course, he could not – and did not.

In hindsight, we can reflect on how things could have been handled better by almost everyone involved – including some governors, mayors, hospitals, etc. etc. etc.

The hypocrisy of the left comes screaming through when you look at how they treat Trump and how they treat Democrats like New York Governor Andrew Cuomo and New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio.  Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has been in high praise for the outstanding job his fellow New York Democrats have been doing.


If you apply the same standard and look at the statistics in New York, you will see how the data is skewed to create inconsistent political narratives.  Big outbreak in America. Trump’s fault.  Big outbreak in New York.  Cuomo and de Blasio are heroes.  And it is not only Schumer’s state-of-the-art hypocrisy.  It courses throughout the Democrat leadership and the elitist east coast media.

New York has suffered the greatest outbreak in America.  Was that due to any failed leadership on the part of Cuomo or de Blasio?  Was Cuomo’s order to return COVID-19 patients from hospitals back to senior nursing homes – and triggering outbreaks and deaths — a mistake?  When de Blasio refused to close the schools when other mayors and governors were doing so, was that a mistake?  He even encouraged New Yorkers to go about business as usual in March.  Was that a HUGE mistake.

New York City’s health services were unprepared for the pandemic.  They were woefully short of ventilators, masks and protective gear.  Did de Blasio’s longstanding feud with the previous head of his own Health Department play a role?

When police on the frontline requested such gear, New York City’s current Health Commissioner Dr. Oxiris Barbot responded, “I do not give a rat’s ass about your cops.  I need them for others.”  De Blasio defended her.

Keep in mind that this virus came in from the Far East – hitting hardest on America’s west coast.  If you make the sort of statistical analysis for New York as the left computes in making a case against Trump, you again see the hypocrisy.

At the height of the pandemic, New York had 5.9% percent of the American population and almost 50 percent of the cases.  Even as the number goes down, New York has had more than 360,000 cases – more than double the second-place state of New Jersey.   And it is virtually certain much of that was spill-over from New York City.  De Blasio presides over more than three and a half times the cases of the next three states – Illinois, Massachusetts, and California.  And California has twice the population of New York State.

New York and Florida have approximately that same populations – with a slight edge for the Sunshine State.  And yet, New York has eight times more cases and 14 times more deaths.  And it is not unreasonable that Florida’s number rose on the backs of a lot of so-called “snowbirds” who deserted the Empire State for the warmer and safer climes of southeast Florida.

Even Cuomo could fairly say that the tragic state statistics were largely driven by New York City.  He is already opening upstate New York as the state’s biggest city remains shut down.

So, what explains the enormous number of cases in New York City?  The fickle finger of fate?  A genetic weakness in the population?  Or was it gross government incompetence?   Take your pick.

If you look at the statistics in order to affix blame on public officials, the data suggests that de Blasio – and even Cuomo – may be more responsible for the exceptional outbreak in their venues than Trump is for the United States in general.  The two New York Democrats certainly should not be singled out for high praise.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.


  1. Mike

    You totally ignored the fact that Trump dismantled the very team that could have provided guidance during the early stages of the pandemic. He spent 6 valuable weeks downplaying what could happen due to the coronavirus for fear of what would happen to the stock market and the affect on his own re-election chances (recall his reaction when the stock market started dropping after the announcement while he was in India). The New York infectious did not come from China, they came from Europe-west coast infections came from China. New York is so crowded that it is inevitable that the virus will spread in such a situation more than in other areas without extreme social distancing. The president did nothing to stop the spread from Europe, and his actions to stop the spread from China came far too late. The facts don’t lie-we have been dependent on other countries for much of the PPE that we have obtained and no amount of finger pointing by you at the governor and mayor of New York respectively will change the fact that the US failed to lead in response to this crisis-instead following the actions of other countries. And now we are paying the price of the overarching failure of the trump regime with an explosion of the national debt in our attempt to undo the trump mess. So there tis..

    • Tit Tat

      CNN has really done a number on you Mike – or was it your school? Or your parents? Either way it seems clear you can’t look at what’s right in front of you and see what nonsense you’re writing. Good grief.

  2. Larry Horist

    Mike … you have to pay attention. Trump never dismatled the health group. He simply physically moved to the Department of Health and Human Services. When Trump said he did not believe the virus would impact hard on the US, he was echoing the medical professionals at the time. if you care to do the research, you will find Dr. Fauce saying the very same thing in January and February. In fact, both Fauci and Dri Birx have both repeated said that Trump follows their adivse. Since you do not know that, I have to assume that you get all your news form either CNN or MSNBC. You are correct that we rely on PPE from foregn nations — especially China. That is a mistake that goes back long befor Trump too office. It was exacerbated by the fact that the Obana administrions allowed the nation supply to dwindle and the China was hoarding for their own needs. The Trump administration has done a good job of getting our manufacturing going — so sayeth both Fauci and Birx. it looks liek we are going to get some sort of vaccine long before Trump critics said was possible. Sorry, but the New York pandemic is the result of lack of preparation and slow response … much slower than the doctors and Trump. Did you forget how de Blasio said to go about norman life in March … and he refused to close schools? And your claim that Trump is exploding the national debt is laughable. Democrats see every problem as an opporutnity to increase federal spending. Who is proposing another $3 trillion and who is trying to cut it back. Your claim the it is Trump undermines you credibility and makes you sound like a blind, deaf and dumb Democrat partisan.

  3. Mike

    Larry-And you are obviously you a blind deaf and dumb Trump enabler. The pandemic response team was dismantled, the members went to work outside government. Get your facts straight-almost everything trump has done has been a disaster for the long-term well-being of our nation, and that includes his shortsighted (and attempted self-starving) response to the pandemic