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Deal or No Deal? Where the Shutdown Haggling is Heading

<p>Today’s attempt to cease the United States federal government shutdown on its 15<sup>th<&sol;sup> day ended about the way it started&semi; with political bickering&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Trump administration hosted a White House meeting with Congressional leaders from both parties Wednesday the 2<sup>nd<&sol;sup> in an attempt to welcome the new year with a new functional federal budget&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Alas by all accounts the meeting&comma; centering around a briefing and discussion with Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen&comma; went about as well as one might expect in this political climate… which is to say decidedly poorly&period; <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;nypost&period;com&sol;2019&sol;01&sol;02&sol;trump-dems-dont-reach-shutdown-deal-after-white-house-meeting&sol;"><em>The New York Post<&sol;em> explains<&sol;a>&comma;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Team Trump and Congressional Democrats failed to cut a deal on funding for the president’s long-promised border wall during a White House sit down Wednesday — meaning the government shutdown will likely continue for the foreseeable future&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>President Trump demanded that Democrats cough up &dollar;5 billion for the wall&comma; while Democrats have offered &dollar;1&period;3 billion&comma; leaving the two sides far apart as the shutdown&comma; which began Dec&period; 22&comma; drags on into the New Year&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Afterward&comma; GOP and Democratic lawmakers held dueling press briefings in which each side blamed the other&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Indeed&comma; perhaps of more import to the various participating political elite than the actual meeting&comma; the press conferences following the apparent failure in brinkmanship were excessive&comma; both in sheer number as well as in what involved folks had to say to their respective sides of the spectrum&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>The Left’s Take<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The decision to focus the meeting on the homeland security briefing did not resonate well with Democrat leadership&comma; who were quick to take aim at the Trump administrator&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&&num;8220&semi;Well&comma; I will tell you that it became clear at the start that the government shutdown was a much bigger issue than Secretary Nielsen&&num;8217&semi;s view of the border&comma;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;em> said Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin&comma; D-Ill&period;&comma; adding that <em>&&num;8220&semi;she has lost her credibility with most of us&period;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Leadership on the left were fairly transparent in their maintaining a staunch opposition to the President and his wall demands&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We asked the president to support the bills that we support that will open up the government&comma;”<&sol;em> said Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer&comma; D-N&period;Y&period; <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I said&comma; &OpenCurlyQuote;Mr&period; President&comma; why should you continue your shutdown over the eight Cabinet departments&quest;’ He could not give a good answer&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Nancy Pelosi&comma; who became Speaker on Thursday&comma; echoed the combative sentiments noting that Democrats would act to <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;end the Trump Shutdown”<&sol;em> by passing legislation Thursday to reopen the government&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We are giving the Republicans the opportunity to take yes for an answer&comma;”<&sol;em> she wrote in a letter to colleagues&period; <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Senate Republicans have already supported this legislation&comma; and if they reject it now&comma; they will be fully complicit in chaos and destruction of the President’s third shutdown of his term&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong> <&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>The Right’s Take<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>House Minority Leader-designate Kevin McCarthy of California&comma; told reporters outside the White House that Trump had invited leaders back to continue negotiations on Friday&comma; a spot of good news following a bad time&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&&num;8220&semi;We never did get through the complete briefing&comma;”<&sol;em> McCarthy said&comma; which was led by Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen&period; <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I was a little disappointed with some on the other side&period; Once the secretary started&comma; Senator Schumer interrupted her&comma; and they really didn’t want to hear it&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky seemed less troubled&comma; telling reporters&comma; <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;I don’t think any particular progress was made today&comma; but we talked about all aspects of it&comma; and it was a civil discussion and we’re hopeful that somehow in the coming days and weeks we’ll be able to reach an agreement&period;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;em> after arriving back to the Capitol&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>As for the big man himself <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;nbcnews&period;com&sol;politics&sol;congress&sol;trump-doubles-down-wall-funding-demand-ahead-meeting-hill-leaders-n953956"><em>NBC<&sol;em> reports&comma;<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Earlier in the day&comma; ahead of the meeting&comma; Trump stressed his desire for his full funding request for a wall along the U&period;S&period;-Mexico border during a Cabinet meeting that lasted nearly two hours&period; The president declined to specify how long the shutdown might last&comma; saying only that the stoppage would continue <em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;as long as it takes&period;” <&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Could be a long time&comma; or it could be quickly&period; Could be a long time&period; It’s too important a subject to walk away from&comma;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;em> he said following the high-profile get-together explaining&comma;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>&&num;8220&semi;I think the people of this country think I&&num;8217&semi;m right&semi; Again&comma; I could have done nothing&period; I could have had a lot easier presidency by doing nothing&period; But I&&num;8217&semi;m here&comma; I want to do it right&period;&&num;8221&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Reality&colon; So Close Yet So Far<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>If one thing is exceedingly clear in the current shut down scenario&comma; it’s that both sides are miles apart&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While &dollar;5 Billion dollars is in all honestly not exactly an earth shattering sum to the tax inhaling and bill printing monolith that is the United States Government &lpar;after all it happens to be &dollar;23 Trillion in debt…&rpar;&comma; the utter failure to negotiate has much more to do with optics&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Democrats will have absolutely no issue in holding out against Trump’s budget requests&period; It makes for a convenient grandiose public display of unpopular leadership elites like Pelosi operationalizing the anti-Trump hysteria they’ve been fomenting since his inauguration&period; To concede to Trump’s demands would be electoral suicide opening them to usurpation by the much more left-leaning&comma; and hypothetically more grassroots&comma; movements of the likes of Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>On the other end&comma; Trump’s political capital is exceedingly invested in &OpenCurlyQuote;The Wall&period;’ It was the defining factor in jettisoning him to the Presidency&semi; but more important for Trump in the current term it palpably epitomizes one of his best issues&comma; border security&period; While securing the border is actually genuinely empirically popular&comma; shutdowns are decidedly not&semi; leaving Trump the manager of an escalating competition between issues&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Under normal circumstances compromising on a ~&dollar;4 Billion gap shouldn’t take weeks of shutdown&semi; these circumstances are hardly normal&period; President Trump has made it clear he’s unwilling to budge much on what he thinks his policy cornerstone deserves&comma; and with an opposition militantly dedicated to fighting his agenda tooth and nail the portents don’t particularly suggest the current situation&comma; nor its press conferences&comma; will end anytime soon&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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