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COVID-19: Can the US Avoid Italy’s Fate?

<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">Doctors in Italy are begging the United States to start preparing for a massive increase in COVID-19 infections&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Any substantial increase in the number of critically ill patients would rapidly exceed total ICU capacity&comma; without even considering other critical admissions&comma; such as for trauma&comma; stroke&comma; and other emergencies&comma;” wrote a group of doctors from Milan&period; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">The United States must dramatically increase COVID-19 testing&comma; create facilities reserved for the treatment of infected patients&comma; and double down on communicating the risks to the American people&period; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">Any hospital that is not part of an emergency network should create or join one&comma; added the doctors&comma; and strict enforcement of community and individual quarantines is vital&period; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;In practice&comma; the healthcare system cannot sustain an uncontrolled outbreak and stronger containment measures are now the only realistic option to avoid the total collapse of the ICU system&period;”<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">As reported this week&comma; a lack of personal protective gear in Italy’s hospitals has resulted in the infection of roughly 1&comma;700 healthcare workers&period; Some have already died&period; <b>To date&comma; Italy has reported 35&comma;713 cases and 2&comma;978 deaths&period; <&sol;b><&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">While the Trump Administration has implemented several strategies to help shield industries&comma; businesses&comma; and individuals from the economic fallout&comma; medical preparation is another story&period; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">Writing in the <i>Wall Street Journal<&sol;i>&comma; Dr&period; Luciana Borio&comma; former director for medical and biodefense preparedness policy at the National Security Council&comma; and Scott Gottlieb&comma; former commissioner of the FDA&comma; outlined several steps American hospitals and policymakers can take now to increase America’s capacity to deal with the crisis&colon; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<ul>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">Hospitals should be reserved for patients with severe cases of the virus and should not admit those with mild symptoms&period;<&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">Patients with mild symptoms should stay isolated at home&period;<&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">The nation should expand telemedicine and create satellite testing clinics away from hospitals&period; <&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">The federal government should allow physicians to practice medicine in states where they are not licensed and waive restrictions that require physicians to be on-site for physician assistants to practice&period; <&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">Elective procedures should be postponed in order to free up hospitals from routine medical care&period; <&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<li><span class&equals;"s1">Hospitals should immediately implement disaster plans to create more space for patients&period; <&sol;span><&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1"><b>Experts agree that US cities are grossly unprepared for the projected number of cases&period; <&sol;b>Take New York&comma; which could need up to 37&comma;200 ICU beds at the projected peak of infections&period; The state currency has 3&comma;200 ICU beds&comma; many of which are occupied by very ill patients&period; <&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">America as a whole has roughly 64&comma;000 ICU beds and 100&comma;000 ventilators&comma; most of which are already in use&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">The only way to increase bed capacity quickly may be to utilize the military to build field hospitals&semi; New York Andrew Cuomo has already suggested this step&period;<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1">&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The Italian healthcare system has largely collapsed through a surge in critical cases&comma;” continues Borio&period; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The biggest risk for the US may be that multiple cities have been seeded at once&period; Italy and China proved that the only way to save lives is to make sure the medical system can keep pace with the need for critical care&period; There is still a window to prepare&period;”<&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"p1"><span class&equals;"s1"><i>As it stands&comma; New York City and Seattle are the cities most at risk for an outbreak&period; <&sol;i><&sol;span><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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