A comprehensive report by the Commission on the National Defense Strategy has unveiled significant concerns regarding the United States’ ability to contend with China in a potential future conflict. The 132-page report, released on Monday, highlights a range of strategic disadvantages and urgent areas for improvement in the U.S. defense posture. The findings underscore the need for immediate and substantial changes to ensure national security and maintain global stability.
China’s Military Advancements Outpacing the U.S.
The report paints a concerning picture of China’s rapid military growth, which has outstripped that of the United States in several critical areas. The Commission estimates that China is now spending at least $711 billion annually on defense, a figure that is quickly approaching the U.S. defense budget of nearly $900 billion. This sustained investment has allowed China to develop the world’s largest navy and army, significantly enhancing its military capabilities.
“In many ways, China is outpacing the United States,” the report states, “and has largely negated the U.S. military advantage in the Western Pacific through two decades of focused military investment.” This shift in the balance of power is particularly concerning given China’s increasingly aggressive stance in the region. The report notes that China has been threatening to forcibly unify with Taiwan, a self-governing island that the U.S. has pledged to support. Additionally, China’s frequent clashes with U.S.-allied nations, such as the Philippines, in the disputed waters of the South China Sea further highlight the growing threat.
Urgent Need for Modernization and Capacity Building
The Commission’s findings reveal critical shortfalls in the U.S. military’s ability to deter and respond to threats posed by China. One of the most pressing issues is the outdated nature of much of the U.S. military hardware, coupled with a slow and cumbersome process for developing new technologies. The report describes the Pentagon’s research and development approach as “byzantine,” leading to delays in fielding new capabilities.
“The U.S. military lacks both the capabilities and the capacity required to be confident it can deter and prevail in combat,” the report warns. This lack of preparedness extends across multiple domains, including cyber, space, and advanced munitions. The Commission stresses the need for the U.S. to “do a better job of incorporating new technology at scale,” and to deploy more capable platforms and innovative operational concepts.
To address these deficiencies, the report calls for a substantial investment in modernizing the U.S. military. This includes acquiring more advanced submarines, such as the Virginia-class, and developing large uncrewed underwater vessels. There is also a critical need for next-generation air superiority aircraft to maintain a technological edge over China’s rapidly advancing air capabilities.
Inadequacies in the Defense Industrial Base and Public Awareness
The report also highlights significant concerns regarding the U.S. defense industrial base, which it describes as “grossly inadequate” even under peacetime conditions. The consolidation of the defense industry into a few large contractors has led to inefficiencies and a lack of innovation. This situation is exacerbated by the industry’s inability to rapidly scale up production to meet the demands of modern warfare, as evidenced by the challenges in supplying Ukraine with necessary munitions during its conflict with Russia.
“The U.S. public are largely unaware of the dangers the United States faces or the costs (financial and otherwise) required to adequately prepare” for a global conflict, the report states. This lack of awareness, combined with political polarization, poses a significant barrier to mobilizing the public support needed for major defense initiatives.
Recommendations for Strengthening U.S. Defense Capabilities
To confront these challenges, the Commission proposes a series of urgent actions:
- Increase Defense Spending: The U.S. must significantly boost its defense budget to fund the modernization of its military capabilities and infrastructure. This includes investing in cutting-edge technologies and expanding the industrial base to ensure rapid production of essential equipment and munitions.
- Strengthen and Expand Alliances: Building stronger alliances is crucial for a coordinated defense strategy. The U.S. must work closely with allies to share defense responsibilities, particularly in regions like the Indo-Pacific, where the threat from China is most acute.
- Revamp Military Recruitment and Training: Addressing recruitment challenges is essential for maintaining a robust military force. The report suggests enhancing career incentives and expanding training programs to attract and retain skilled personnel.
- Modernize the Defense Industrial Base: Encouraging a more diverse and innovative defense industry is vital for meeting the demands of modern warfare. This involves fostering competition among contractors and streamlining the process for developing and deploying new technologies.
- Increase Public Awareness and Support: The report calls for a “bipartisan call to arms” to educate the public about the real and present dangers posed by global adversaries. This effort requires a coordinated approach involving government, private industry, and nonprofits to mobilize the necessary support for national defense initiatives.
The Commission’s findings highlight an urgent need for the U.S. to reassess its defense strategy and make substantial investments in its military capabilities. The report concludes with a stark warning: without these changes, the U.S. risks losing its strategic advantage, which could have severe consequences for global stability and security. “The support and resolve of the American public are indispensable,” the report asserts, urging immediate action to prevent a potential crisis.
These are measures the Biden Administration is clearly not prepared to implement, and their lack of awareness has put us in a position of existential threat.