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Chinese unrest is serious … but not game changing

People hold white sheets of paper in protest over coronavirus disease (COVID-19) restrictions, after a vigil for the victims of a fire in Urumqi, as outbreaks of COVID-19 continue, in Beijing, China, November 27, 2022. REUTERS/Thomas Peter

&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">I first visited China in 1999 – and traveled there with employees&comma; clients&comma; and family two or three times a year until I switched from my consulting business to my writings in 2012&period;  <&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">It was arguably the best of times to be in China for business and pleasure&period;&nbsp&semi; It was that sweet spot between the dark days of Chairman Mao Zedong and the current twilight era of President Xi Jinping&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">I saw first-hand how the people of China embraced newfound freedoms as the old Communist regulations started to ease&period;&nbsp&semi; &lpar;I did not say ended but STARTED to ease&period;&rpar;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Seeing the growing unrest in authoritarian nations&comma; I am inclined to borrow President Lincoln’s mantra&period;&nbsp&semi; You can oppress some of the people all the time … all the people some of the time … but not all the people all the time&period;&nbsp&semi; That seems to be playing out among the most oppressive and brutal authoritarian regimes –specifically China&comma; Russia&comma; Iran&comma; and Venezuela&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The most significant major exception seems to be North Korea – where Kim Jong-un has been able to keep the lid on public discontent&period;&nbsp&semi; Perhaps that is because the people of North Korea have never had a taste of freedom&period;&nbsp&semi; And also&comma; because North Korea remains a closed society without the Internet and international communications&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">The others mentioned above have had a taste of freedom&period;  They are less isolated – with the average person being able to send and receive communications to and from the rest of the world&period;  Many have traveled outside their homeland – and interacted with visitors from all parts of the world&period;  Western business and tourism were growth industries&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Hong Kong still has the memory of the freedoms and benefits of British rule&period;&nbsp&semi; Beijing promised to maintain HK’s unique democratic freedoms under its One Nation&sol;Two Systems policy&period;&nbsp&semi; Xi has essentially ended that policy in response to the recent demonstrations in the island province&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Not since the Tiananmen Square massacre in 1989&comma; has there been such a level of civil unrest in the Middle Kingdom&period;&nbsp&semi; Ostensibly&comma; it is a response to the restrictive policies of the Chinese government in response to Covid 19 and its offspring&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Ironically&comma; as the world is seeing the Covid Pandemic state that started in China in the rearview mirror&comma; the Beijing government is imposing the most Draconian restriction in the world&period;&nbsp&semi; The people of China are figuratively – and in many cases&comma; literally – under house arrest&period;&nbsp&semi; Many have been sealed in their apartment buildings by fencing and sealed doors&period;&nbsp&semi; Residents are even prevented from going to grocery stores or doctors’ offices&period;&nbsp&semi; Others have security guards preventing residents from leaving&period;&nbsp&semi; There are virtually no social events&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">And if you do contract Covid&comma; you will be taken to a quarantine facility – and your family may be confined to their homes&period;&nbsp&semi; Where there is a breakout&comma; an entire section of the city may be locked down&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">That is pretty bad – but the Pandemic and the government&&num;8217&semi;s reaction are not the only issues driving the street protests&period;&nbsp&semi; They are only the wick that lit the powder keg&period;&nbsp&semi; The issues run much deeper&period;&nbsp&semi; We can see that because relaxing the restrictions is not the only demand&period;&nbsp&semi; They want to end China’s surveillance policies … government censorship … government surveillance …&nbsp&semi; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;education” campaigns … and restore a wide range of personal freedoms&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">Before President Xi&comma; the people saw the benefits of capitalism and free market trade&period;&nbsp&semi; They felt relief as old Mao Zedong’s oppressive practices were lifted and the Bamboo Curtain was eliminated – providing a free flow of information between the people of China and the rest of the world&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">That all changed when Xi came to power&period;&nbsp&semi; Even though his father and family were victims of Mao’s deadly Cultural Revolution&comma; Xi was not driven to reform&comma; but to be the man in charge of the oppression&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">While the demonstrations in China are unprecedented&comma; one should not underestimate the power of a brutal authoritarian ruler to oppress the people&period;&nbsp&semi; To change that would take a revolution&comma; and China is nowhere near that stage – unfortunately&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wp-block-paragraph">So&period; There &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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