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China Trade Deficits Widening But U.S. Economy Improves in Q3

<p>The Commerce Department announced a 3&percnt; GDP growth for Q2 last month&comma; with trade accounting for two-tenths of a percentage point&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The trade deficit increased by 0&period;3&percnt; in July to &dollar;43&period;7 billion&period; This is less than the &dollar;44&period;6 billion economists had predicted&comma; and economists are hoping trade will contribute to economic growth in Q3&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>More data from July&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<ul>&NewLine;<li>Crude oil exports hit a 3-year high<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>Exports of civilian aircraft increased by &dollar;1&period;1 billion<&sol;li>&NewLine;<li>Imports of meat and veggies reached an all-time high of &dollar;11&period;7 billion<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;<p>Overall&comma; exports of goods and services dropped 0&period;3&percnt; to &dollar;194&period;4 billion and imports of goods and services dropped 0&period;2&percnt; to &dollar;238&period;1 billion&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This was all good news for Q3 until Hurricane Harvey smashed into Texas&comma; and economists are now saying the hurricane&rsquo&semi;s aftermath could push the trade deficit up in September&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;The US economy carried a little more momentum than originally thought&comma;&rdquo&semi; says BMO Capital Markets economist Jennifer Lee&period; &ldquo&semi;However&comma; some of that momentum will be blunted by&comma; for starters&comma; Hurricane Harvey&period;&rdquo&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Despite the small increase in July&comma; the deficit is still running 10&percnt; higher when compared to last year&period; A larger deficit subtracts from gross domestic product &lpar;GDP&rpar;&comma; which is considered the official &ldquo&semi;scorecard&rdquo&semi; of the economy&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Foreign Deficits&nbsp&semi;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The trade deficit with China hit an 11-month high in July &lpar;&dollar;33&period;6 billion&rpar;&comma; giving President Trump more fuel for his argument that the ongoing deficit has destroyed factory jobs in the US and stunted our economic growth&period; &nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Exports to China increased by 3&period;5&percnt; in July and imports increased by 3&period;1&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Exports to the EU decreased by nearly 10&percnt; in July and imports dropped by 3&period;7&percnt;&period; The trade deficit with the EU climbed 7&period;9&percnt; to reach an 8-month high of &dollar;13&period;5 billion&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The deficit with Germany remained unchanged at &dollar;5&period;5 billion&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The trade gap with Mexico dropped from &dollar;6 billion to &dollar;4&period;9 billion&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>August&nbsp&semi;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The US services sector&comma; which represents more than two-thirds of our economic activity&comma; showed strong gains in employment and new orders during the month of August&period; The government claims we&nbsp&semi;created 156&comma;000 new jobs in August&comma; with a measure of services sector employment jumping 2&period;6 points&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Institute for Supply Management &lpar;ISM&rpar; reports that its non-manufacturing activity index rose 1&period;4 points in August&comma; recovering from an 11-month low in July&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Trade Deals&nbsp&semi;<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Trump Administration is seeking to curtail longstanding deficits by renegotiating trade deals&period; Trump has already promised to renegotiate NAFTA&comma; a trade deal with Canada and Mexico&period; More recently&comma; he has threatened to pull out of a free trade deal with South Korea&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;When you negotiate with countries&comma; keep in mind you are really going up against some of the biggest corporations in America who moved their operations overseas years ago&comma;&rdquo&semi; explains MUFG economist Chris Rupkey&period; &ldquo&semi;This deficit concern is somewhat misguided as it is largely a trade war with ourselves&period; These jobs are not coming back to America&rsquo&semi;s heartland&period;&rdquo&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Rising consumer spending and increased business investment are drawing in more imports&period; In other words&comma; our economy&nbsp&semi;is improving so we are buying more stuff&period; This is a good sign from an economic standpoint&comma; but we need to get our trade deficit down and increase our exports&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A large trade deficit tends to slow economic growth&comma; because Americans are purchasing more goods from overseas than from the US&period; A large deficit is also bad because it means other countries own a lot of America&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>This is a difficult problem to solve considering the main reasons people buy foreign-made products&colon; 1&rpar; Our economy is stronger than others and 2&rpar; The goods people need are no longer made in the US&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>Editor&&num;8217&semi;s note&colon;<&sol;strong> Actually we could wipe out most of the trade deficit with the right strategy on energy&period; Take a look at the link below&period; If you are curious &&num;8211&semi; BUY IT&excl;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><center><iframe style&equals;"width&colon; 120px&semi; height&colon; 240px&semi;" src&equals;"&sol;&sol;ws-na&period;amazon-adsystem&period;com&sol;widgets&sol;q&quest;ServiceVersion&equals;20070822&amp&semi;OneJS&equals;1&amp&semi;Operation&equals;GetAdHtml&amp&semi;MarketPlace&equals;US&amp&semi;source&equals;ac&amp&semi;ref&equals;qf&lowbar;sp&lowbar;asin&lowbar;til&amp&semi;ad&lowbar;type&equals;product&lowbar;link&amp&semi;tracking&lowbar;id&equals;punbagpos-20&amp&semi;marketplace&equals;amazon&amp&semi;region&equals;US&amp&semi;placement&equals;0692728643&amp&semi;asins&equals;0692728643&amp&semi;linkId&equals;0d3743f1086f300b7df11d7c4b1c7890&amp&semi;show&lowbar;border&equals;true&amp&semi;link&lowbar;opens&lowbar;in&lowbar;new&lowbar;window&equals;true&amp&semi;price&lowbar;color&equals;333333&amp&semi;title&lowbar;color&equals;0066c0&amp&semi;bg&lowbar;color&equals;ffffff" frameborder&equals;"0" marginwidth&equals;"0" marginheight&equals;"0" scrolling&equals;"no"> <&sol;iframe><&sol;center><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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