In a powerful statement that has reignited tensions with Beijing, Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te declared that it is “absolutely impossible” for China to be considered Taiwan’s motherland. This assertion, made ahead of Taiwan’s National Day on October 10, draws from the fact that Taiwan’s government—the Republic of China (ROC)—is significantly older than the People’s Republic of China (PRC). The historical context behind this claim highlights a century of complex political developments and casts light on the deep-rooted rivalry between Taiwan and China. Lai’s remarks not only challenge Beijing’s claims but also have significant geopolitical implications that affect global power dynamics, especially in the relationship between China, Taiwan, and the United States.
A Tale of Two Chinas
The roots of this conflict date back to the early 20th century. Taiwan’s government, the Republic of China (ROC), was established in 1912 following the Nationalist revolution that overthrew China’s last imperial dynasty, the Qing Dynasty. This event marked the end of thousands of years of imperial rule and the beginning of China’s transformation into a republic. At that time, Taiwan was under Japanese colonial rule, having been ceded to Japan by the Qing Dynasty in 1895 after losing a war to Imperial Japan. Taiwan remained under Japanese control until the end of World War II, when it was returned to Chinese administration in 1945.
However, China’s internal political struggles soon took center stage. After World War II, the ROC faced a civil war against Mao Zedong’s communist forces. In 1949, after years of brutal fighting, the Nationalist government led by Chiang Kai-shek was forced to flee mainland China. They relocated to Taiwan, where the ROC government has continued to operate ever since. Meanwhile, Mao’s victory on the mainland led to the establishment of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) on October 1, 1949.
From this point forward, two separate governments existed: the ROC in Taiwan and the PRC on the mainland. While Beijing has always claimed Taiwan as part of its territory, Taiwan has maintained its independence, with many of its people identifying as distinctly Taiwanese rather than Chinese. President Lai Ching-te’s recent statement taps into this long-standing divide, directly challenging China’s narrative of reunification by underscoring Taiwan’s older political roots.
Lai Ching-te’s Historical Challenge
During a speech at a concert in Taipei, President Lai laid out his argument, emphasizing that Taiwan’s government predated the PRC by 37 years. He made the bold claim that “it is absolutely impossible for the People’s Republic of China to become the motherland of the people of the Republic of China.” This statement struck at the heart of the issue, asserting that Taiwan cannot be seen as part of China because its government was established decades before the PRC even existed.
Lai took his argument a step further, playfully suggesting that if anything, “the Republic of China may actually be the motherland of citizens of the People’s Republic of China who are over 75 years old.” This remark drew cheers from his audience and serves as a direct counter to Beijing’s claim that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China.
For China, the issue of Taiwan is not just about historical accuracy—it is a matter of national sovereignty. Chinese President Xi Jinping has repeatedly stressed that Taiwan is “sacred territory” and has vowed to achieve reunification, even if it requires military force. Xi has framed this mission as an “irreversible trend” and has said, “No one can stop the march of history.” However, Taiwan’s leaders, including Lai, argue that history tells a different story—one where Taiwan has always been separate from the PRC and deserves to remain so.
Why Lai’s Statement Matters
Lai’s bold declaration is not just a matter of historical trivia; it has far-reaching implications for both Taiwan and the broader international community. Taiwan’s struggle for recognition as a sovereign state has always been a contentious issue, particularly because of its geopolitical importance. While Taiwan operates as an independent democracy, Beijing has refused to recognize it as a separate nation and has continuously threatened reunification by force if necessary.
By emphasizing Taiwan’s older political roots, Lai is staking a claim to Taiwan’s legitimacy as an independent nation. His statement sends a clear message to both Beijing and the international community: Taiwan is not a breakaway province of China but a sovereign entity with a long-standing government that predates the PRC. This defiance is likely to provoke Beijing, which has already labeled Lai as a “dangerous separatist.” Chinese media and officials have been quick to criticize him, accusing him of stoking political confrontation and destabilizing cross-strait relations.
At home, Lai’s remarks have sparked debate. While his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has long championed Taiwan’s sovereignty and independence, his comments have been met with criticism from the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) party. The KMT, which originally governed both mainland China and Taiwan before the civil war, now advocates for closer ties with Beijing, accusing Lai’s rhetoric of needlessly escalating tensions. One KMT politician, Ling Tao, argued that Lai’s reference to the PRC as the “motherland” was a deliberate attempt to provoke confrontation, calling it “incitement of political confrontation on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.”
International Implications
The growing tensions between Taiwan and China are not just a regional issue; they have significant global implications, particularly for the United States. Taiwan is a strategic ally of the U.S., and its security is crucial for maintaining the balance of power in East Asia. In recent months, the U.S. has increased its military support for Taiwan, with President Biden approving a $567 million defense package to help bolster Taiwan’s defenses against a potential Chinese invasion. This move comes in response to growing concerns over Beijing’s intentions, as China has ramped up its military presence around the island.
The stakes are high for both sides. A Chinese invasion of Taiwan could potentially trigger a larger conflict involving the U.S., which has vowed to support Taiwan’s defense. This situation is complicated by the fact that Taiwan remains economically intertwined with China, despite their political tensions. Taiwan still depends heavily on trade with the mainland, with around 40% of its exports going to China and Hong Kong. Beijing has also granted Taiwan tariff concessions in the past, though it has begun withdrawing these benefits in recent years.
Taiwan, for its part, has been working to reduce its economic reliance on China through initiatives like the New Southbound Policy, which focuses on building trade relations with Southeast Asia and India. However, disentangling Taiwan from China’s economic sphere of influence is easier said than done. Between 1991 and 2022, Taiwanese investors poured over $200 billion into China, underscoring the deep economic connections that still exist.
ACZ Editor: China has used flimsy historical references to justify various parts of its quest for regional domination. While the countries involved don’t buy these references, it gives China’s allies the chance to side with China, and provides an opportunity for non-aligned nations to be bought off. This keeps the world from delivering sanctions for China’s belligerence and bullying.