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Catalan Secessionist Movement Not Quite Over

<p>Hundreds of thousands of protestors filled the streets of Barcelona this weekend to demand the release of separatist leaders who were arrested following the region&rsquo&semi;s attempted split from Spain&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Your light reaches us in Brussels and illuminates the path we must keep following&comma;&&num;8221&semi; tweeted separatist leader Carles Puigdemont&comma; who fled to Brussels last month&nbsp&semi;to escape sedition charges&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Catalan government announced independence on October 27th&comma; prompting Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy to use &ldquo&semi;the nuclear option&&num;8221&semi; to seize control of the region&period; The Spanish government effectively dissolved Catalonia&&num;8217&semi;s parliament and locked up&nbsp&semi;eight former members of the region&rsquo&semi;s government&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The upcoming election&comma; scheduled for December 21st&comma; will&nbsp&semi;be a test of strength between pro-separatist and pro-unionist forces in Catalonia&period;&nbsp&semi;Opinion polls show that pro-independence parties will win a big portion of the vote&comma; but the movement is starting to fracture&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The Catalan National Assembly is calling for all separatist forces to commit to a single ticket&period; Despite support from Puigdemont&comma; success seems unlikely&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>One potential candidate&comma; Catalan Vice President Oriol Junqueras&comma; is currently behind bars&period; Another potential candidate&comma; Catalan parliament speaker Carme Forcadell&comma; was released from prison with a promise to renounce the independence movement&period;&nbsp&semi; &nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Those terms threaten to undermine the independence movement just as cracks are starting to appear and tensions rise between the grassroots and their leaders&comma;&rdquo&semi; reports <em>Reuters&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The core unionist strategy is likely to take the form of a fear campaign&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Voters will be bombarded with the message that secession will lead to job loss and economic disaster&period; The specific goal here will be to convince people who don&rsquo&semi;t vote into casting a vote that will help save the region&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&ldquo&semi;Economic blackmail will include the refusal to return home by the 1&comma;800 firms that have shifted their headquarters out of Catalonia since early September&comma; a decline in tourist bookings&comma; and a drop in foreign investment due to an uncertain political outlook&comma;&rdquo&semi; reports <em>GreenLeft&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Whatever happens on December 21st&comma; it is likely to be one of the dirtiest elections we have seen in modern Spain&period; Can the central government mobilize enough resources to defeat the pro-independence majority in Catalonia&quest; Or will the separatists be able to unite behind a single leader and defeat Rajoy&rsquo&semi;s assault&quest;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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