Select Page

Biden’s Approval Rating Crashing Among Minority Voters 

Biden’s Approval Rating Crashing Among Minority Voters 

Two key voting groups critical to President Biden’s victories in the 2020 Democrat primaries and in the November presidential election appear to be slipping away from him.  According to polling numbers, there has been slippage in Biden’s minority numbers since taking office. They are a contributing factor to the President’s overall low favorability rating — which is languishing in the mid-30s percentile.

In the past, Democrat candidates could generally count on a black vote in excess of 85 percent and a Hispanic vote above 70 percent.  A compilation of polling data since Biden’s inauguration show significant slippage among black voters – with slightly improving numbers in recent months.  

Biden began his tenure in office with an approval rating among blacks in the 80 to 83 percent approval rating.  That fell to a record low of 58 percent in June of 2022.  It has since moved up to the 70 percent range – still significantly below the traditional support Democrats receive from black voters.  

In terms of Hispanic support, Biden started his presidency with a 68 percent approval rating.  It plunged to 43 percent in July of 2022 and has lingered in that range since.  A Hispanic approval rating for a Democrat President below 50 percent is virtually unprecedented in modern years.

From Spring of 2021 to Spring of 2023, Biden’s approval rating among black and Hispanic voters dropped 13 points.  The Spring of 2021 is significant because that was the time that Biden’s overall approval rating went below 50 percent – where it has remained for the past 15 months.

In a New York Times/Siena poll, Biden’s support from minority voters without a college education dropped to under 50 percent.  In 2020, Biden had a 48-point lead over Trump among non-white voters. It is now 49 to 33 – a drop of 16 points.

The handling of the economy appears to be a major influence in Biden’s decline in minority support according to Quinnipiac polls.  At Biden’s low point in minority support in mid-2022, Hispanic approval of his handling the economy had dropped to 24 percent.  Black approval of Biden’s handling of the economy was 49 percent.  He still trails Trump in handling the economy.

The soaring crime rates – especially in the segregated communities in the major urban cities – is a second factor in the decline of Biden’s favorability among blacks and Hispanics.  Ironically, at the time blacks are concerned about the street crimes – drug related and otherwise – they still have issues with racial inequality and police harassment in law enforcement – especially in low level criminal activity or no criminal activity at all.

In the Hispanic community, the security of the southern border is an issue.  Democrats seem to have assumed that since most of the illegal border crosses were Hispanic, there would be a general sympathy for the migrants.  This has not been the case because too many of the migrants are engaged in drug trafficking, sex trafficking and gang related crimes – and they tend to locate their criminal enterprises within the Hispanic communities.

Neither the black nor the Hispanic community are monolithic in their vote – and less now than ever. Other issues play subordinate roles, including social, cultural, and so-called woke issues.  Virtually all the gender bending issues have less support in minority communities than they do among progressive white Democrat voters.

For whatever the reasons, it is clear that Biden has a problem with a significant portion of the Democrat base – the blacks and Hispanics. It is one of the reasons that the best Biden can do these days is stay even with Trump in the head-to-head polling – and that is not good news for the incumbent President.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.


  1. Larry kuhn

    The true votes and the final counts will be different

  2. frank stetson

    Mission accomplished — you have won the day!

    Of course the same claim was made before the mid-terms and looky looky, we still got the cookie.

    Point is we are losing ground with non-college working class and if you have to lose some ground, that’s the hill to lose —- the one with ever decreasing size. From 2000 to 2021, degree’d US folk in working class grew by over 15% crossing the majority line for the first time in US history. This trend will continue.

    One main reason is the mixed returns from the economy where the non-college side is recovering slower than the college crowd. Thank the Lord for repressive Republican stands on social issues in their war on woke, politically correct, voting abortion, gay, trans, lower income voters, and gun control.

    So, brave Republicans, as is your way, you are getting a larger portion of the shrinking minority. Keep up the good work.

    Fact is both parties need better platforms. The time for Democrats to focus on the non-college and rural crowds is shortening but still very important, and always will be, and the need for both parties to focus on the majority, — college educated urban, suburban, and exurban — is upon us. We all need to move forward, not backwards.

    I would love to work together to do marvelous things again. This partisan win/lose model sucks.

    Congrats on your “best Biden can do these days is stay even with Trump in the head-to-head polling.” You win again!

    • Birdie

      Frank Stetson, get a life and stop sitting on these comment boards. Such a keyboard warrior!!!

      • larry Horist

        Birdie … Come on, guy. Give Frank a break. From all his obsessive writing on PBP, you can only assume he does not have much of a life. Since his long repetitious rants are not well read — or even very persuasive — he is harmless.

        • frank stetson

          Says the guy who obsessively writes about everything Democrat being bad as a living, his purpose in life. Not much of a life: this guy got bitch-slapped by Spanky the Clown, had to run from Chicago to Florida, and he still beats the same drum over and over. The people have spoken —- don’t look a gift Horist in the mouth — there is no gift here.

          You would think the dumb bastard would like that someone actually reads his crap with a critical eye for the truth. But this is the best that he’s got: “obsessive, no life, repetitious, not well read (then how do you know about repetitious?), unpersuasive, and harmless (he sure seems knicker-knotted harmed :>)

          I’d say stay on point, focus, etc. but that ship got sunk in Horist harbor a long time ago.

  3. Darren

    Even with a Trump victory.
    The %100 cleaning up of a crooked Washington DC and the insiders.
    That statement would be left as, That word would be an Oxymoron.