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Biden Sinking …  But is He Out For 2024?

&NewLine;<p>According to the latest ABC&sol;Washington Post poll&comma; President Biden looking Increasingly unelectable&period;&nbsp&semi; Even worse for Democrats&comma; Trump is looking electable&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It is very early to be predicting winners and losers in the respective Democrat and Republican primary elections&period;&nbsp&semi; But the current situation – and the trend line – seems to bode ill for a Biden-led Democrat ticket in 2024&period;&nbsp&semi; Based on the numbers&comma; it is conceivable that Biden could actually drop out&period;&nbsp&semi; He is in the worst shape of any President at this point since Harry Truman in&nbsp&semi; 1952 – and he bowed out&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>According to the ABC&sol;Post poll&comma; Biden’s approval rating stands at an abysmal 36 percent – with 68 percent of Americans saying he is too old for a second term&period;&nbsp&semi; That is one factor that can only get worse as more time goes by – Biden likely has more gaffes&comma; more senior moments and more falls in the future&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Biden is basing his campaign on the economy – at least his rose-colored-glasses view of the economy&period;&nbsp&semi; The problem is that the folks back home are not feeling it&period;&nbsp&semi; They are still facing inflationary costs that exceed increasing incomes – and not everyone’s income is increasing&period;&nbsp&semi; There are still shortages on the shelves&period;&nbsp&semi; Medical costs are soaring even with the reduction in the co-pay costs of some pharmaceuticals&period;&nbsp&semi; The American economy is growing at a paltry 1&period;6 percent&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The Biden campaign has taken on the term &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Bidenomics” to be the strategic rallying call for his rosy view of the economy&period;&nbsp&semi; In a sense&comma; he may be leading with his Achilles Heel&period;&nbsp&semi; For months&comma; the White House has been proffering the argument that the problem is &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;messaging&period;”&nbsp&semi; But no matter how often they message the good news version of the economy&comma; it has not been resonating with the people living with the economy on a day-to-day basis&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In terms of the economy&comma; the ABC&sol;Post poll gives Biden a kick in the political groin&period;&nbsp&semi; According to the poll&comma; Trump trumps Biden on handling the economy by almost 20 points &&num;8212&semi; 54 percent to 36 percent for Biden&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In the head-to-head theoretical contest&comma; Trumps bests Biden by 10 points – 51 percent to 41 percent&period;&nbsp&semi; The same is true for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis&comma; who tops Biden by 50 to 40 percent&period;&nbsp&semi; To a political strategist&comma; that suggest that almost any Republican could beat Biden in the 2024 presidential election&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Biden’s problems are not reserved to one issue&period;&nbsp&semi; He gets only a 44 percent favorable rating for handling the Covid Pandemic … 40 percent on immigration … 38 percent on inflation …&nbsp&semi; 37 percent on foreign policy … and 35 percent on crime and gun violence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Then there is the character issue&period;&nbsp&semi; A primary Biden strategy is to compare the admittedly flawed personality of Trump to the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Good old Joe” persona of Biden&period;&nbsp&semi; Unfortunately for Biden&comma; his illegal possession of White House documents and the ever-unraveling Hunter Biden issues has taken most of the sheen off the Biden armor&period; &nbsp&semi; I would love to see these polling questions&colon;&nbsp&semi; Do you believe President Biden was aware of Hunter Biden’s business activities&quest;&nbsp&semi; Do you believe that President Biden was personally profitably involved in Hunter Biden’s business activities&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As if his own ratings were not enough of a problem&comma; Biden has saddled himself with an equally unpopular Vice President&period;&nbsp&semi; Kamal Harris’ favorable rating went underwater in June of 2021&comma; and descended to 41 percent recently&comma; according to RealClearPolitics&period;&nbsp&semi; Her unfavorable rating stands at 53 percent&period;&nbsp&semi; Ironically&comma; Harris’ 41 percent favorable rating is now higher than Biden’s – which was not the case in the recent past&period;&nbsp&semi; Metaphorically speaking&comma; Biden and Harris are two drowning people clinging to each other&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The economy has always been a significant driver of votes – and is likely to be true again in 2024&period;&nbsp&semi; Other issues – such as gun regulation&comma; voting issues&comma; government spending&comma; education and woke issues &&num;8212&semi; are likely to win ballot support from those already in the hardcore Democrat and Republican camps&period;&nbsp&semi; That leaves abortion as the one issue that Democrats can gain potential support among independents and suburban women&comma; but I doubt it will loom as large as other issues&period;&nbsp&semi; It probably had more effect in 2022 in the immediate wake of the Supreme Court decision on Roe v&period; Wade than it does now as left-wing hysteria and fearmongering is ebbing in terms of public impact&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Making Trump THE issue – as many left-wing Democrat strategists and their media are doing &&num;8212&semi; not only is not working&comma; but it may be backfiring&period;&nbsp&semi; The more the establishment attacks him – including all those court cases &&num;8212&semi; the stronger he appears&period;&nbsp&semi; Until recently&comma; I had been among those who believed that Trump was not likely to win the GOP nomination – but not totally impossible – and that he could not win a General Election&period;&nbsp&semi; I am recalibrating my crystal ball on both those opinions&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As we reflect on these numbers&comma; we should keep in mind that neither ABC&sol;Post nor RealClearPolitics have conservative leanings&period;&nbsp&semi; These are polls conducted by ostensibly left-wing organizations&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>While there is a lot of road ahead in terms of the 2024 presidential election&comma; these are the days in which the political trends begin&period;&nbsp&semi; Biden has already launched his campaign&period;&nbsp&semi; He has set out the strategies and the themes&period;&nbsp&semi; He is taking to the hustings to bring his message to the people&period;&nbsp&semi; Based on recent polling&comma; Biden is off to … an incredibly bad start&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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