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Are we seeing the end of the Irani regime?

Are we seeing the end of the Irani regime?

Authoritarian governments have the ability to shut down protests with brutal violence.  We have seen that in Russia … in Hong Kong … and in Iran.  But occasionally, the frustration, anger, and determination of the people is too strong … too widespread.  Sometimes protests turn into uprisings … revolutions … and the overthrow of the totalitarian regimes.

It all depends on how much energy a protest movement can generate … how much of the population is engaged … if social and cultural institutions become supportive.

We have long known that the good people of Iran have been unhappy – dissatisfied with their oppressive leadership.  We have seen that frustration led to periodic protests – protests that were easily suppressed by the Supreme Leader in Tehran.

What we see in the streets of Iran today is different, for sure.  Whether it is enough to topple the regime is still an answered question.  That prospect, however, is now in the reasonable realm of possibility.

By all measures, the death of Mahsa Amini for not wearing the burqa properly is a very small matter.  Something an authoritarian regime can dismiss.  It was not that incident itself that led to the massive ongoing protest.  There have been other similar atrocities in Iran on a regular basis.  

What made this different was the intense level of pent-up frustration.  It was that final small straw on the back of the donkey — or camel, in this case.  Like an exploding pressure cooker, the entire population – from Tehran to the smallest communities – instantly exploded in organic street protests.

Millions of people across the country participated – risking their lives.  Hundreds – and perhaps thousands — losing them.  Just a few pictured above.

Every death was like gasoline on the fire.  It outraged family, friend, and community – turning them into activists.

Among the dead, there arose exceptional heroes – giving the protest movement a human face … a beloved personality … a hero.  Certainly, there is the original victim of the regime – Mahsa Amini.  Since then, there is 16-year-old Nika Shahkarami — a beautiful young lady who was murdered by the regime.  Then 19-year- old celebrity chef Jamie Oliver — also murdered by the regime.  Their faces are seen on placards and posters throughout Iran – and on television screens throughout the world.

What is also exceptional about this uprising is the size of the crowds.  Many demonstrations feature thousands of citizens – and there are hundreds of such demonstrations.  There are too many protestors for the regime to kill or even jail – although they will continue to kill and jail.

Unlike many protests in Iran, this one had gone international.  The Iranian community throughout the world are not only raising their voices but are supporting the protestors with money.  They are calling on the leaders of the free world to take action against the Tehran regime.  

Hopefully, those requests are being heard.  In terms of the United States, we can only hope that the Biden administration will support what could be the overthrow of the regime in Tehran – that our own CIA is doing the things they can do in such situations.  More sanctions on Iran.  Disrupting the supply of military drones to Russia.  And above all, ending the negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program – at least until there is a new regime.

The overthrow of the Irani regime would have unfathomable benefits for the United States and the world.  It would put an end to Iran sponsoring world terrorism.  It would end Iran’s malignant power and influence in the Middle east.  It would pave the way for more “Abraham Accords.”  It would end the support for Putin’s dirty little war in Ukraine.

It is disturbing, however, that as we reach the end of the 2022  campaign season, very little has been said – on either side – as to what to do about Tehran and the opportunity presented by the brave people of Iran.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

5 Comments

  1. Tom

    I would agree with you if the underlying premise of your article, “that a regime change would be to a more US friendly regime” were definitely the case, but we cannot count on this. But we should acknowledge that there is a 50/50 chance that the regime change could be for the worst and that we might regret it in the end. I find it interesting that these “good people” (your words) were not long ago shouting death to Israel, death to the United States”, they scorned the West, and now they want the West and the USA to help them???? As an independent / unaffiliated voter, I think we should encourage democracy by being a good example which we are not right now, this country is a mess! And history has proven over and over again that we do not understand Iranian politics. So lets stay out and let them figure it out. Time for us to clean up our own mess, you know, woke-ism, gender and LGBTQ crap, election integrity, crime, abortion, inflation, public education, money give-aways, drug addiction, homelessness, domestic violence, political infighting, etc. etc. Maybe before we try to change them we should first change ourselves and get this country moving forward again in wholesome traditional values. I wish them well in their protests, I hope they get a better Iran in the future – just don’t count on me or my tax dollars!

    • larry Horist

      Tom …. Since the public outcry is against the oppressive regime, I think IF there was a change,, it would be a more tolerant leadership. You cannot stop a broad based revolution with a worse government. That would be a greater risk with Russia since that would be the changing of the guard … not a popular revolution by the people. Nothing is every certain, however.

  2. Darren

    This country is a mess because all through our history there has been ( Freedom of the Press )

    With such freedom there is a great responsibility that the press has misused and abused.

    This has been going on for some time.

    Abusive press is more harmful to a nations people than No Press.

    Take a good look at what is happening there. We are just a few steps from their position.

    But that is just it. You can not tell it is happening here unlike there.

    • Tom

      I think there are many causes of the mess. A biased press is one. Social media is another. Politicians that care about their party ruling more than doing what is best for the people. Too many agendas, not enough sensible solutions. Extremists at both end of the spectrum from believing the big lie about Trump getting elected to EV cars and the environment. Ballot harvesting. Woke-ism, LGBTQ crap, abortion issues, and lots of other junk. These are not media issues.

      • Bill

        We are going to see the end of America as we know it if we don’t get rid of the democrat regime.