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Any chance Sinema or Manchin switching parties?

Any chance Sinema or Manchin switching parties?

The answer at this time is “probably not.”  But what keeps open the door of possibility is the fact that it is the topic of speculation in the media – including the left-wing newsies.

One factor that may open consideration by Senators Sinema and Manchin are the number of times folks in the Democratic Party accuse them of being “traitors to the Party,” “bad Democrats” or not even Democrats at all.  MSNBC’s Joy Reid flatly stated that Sinema and Manchin are not Democrats.  Some say they are DINO’s – Democrats in name only.

Sinema and Manchin have both been accosted by Democrat activists.  In Sinema’s case, a number of members of her advisory committee have quit in protest – and have launched an early campaign to defeat her in 2024.

Some Democrats have complained that President Biden is not taking a harsher approach to the two.  He has always been a bit complimentary and understanding of their positions – and hopeful that at the end of the day, they will be on board.  Of course, if Biden were to attack them the possibility of switching parties would gain traction.

With so many Democrats wanting to kick Sinema and Manchin out of the Democratic Party, it seems only natural that the thought would arise as speculation in the press – and possibly in their respective minds.

Though they are unlikely to switch parties, the odds are slightly different between Sinema and Manchin.  I handicap Manchin as close to zero – maybe a less than 5 percent chance.  I would put Sinema at something closer to a 15 to 20 percent chance at this time.

Manchin has a much longer history as a regular Democrat – and he has been able to survive in a predominantly Republican state. It is not at all certain whether he will run for re-election in 2022.  If he does, he would probably get re-elected – and blocking the progressive agenda would be a plus.  He is not getting the kind of blow-back from the folks in West Virginia as Sinema is getting in Arizona.

Sinema is a freshman senator.  Her roots in the Democratic Party are not as deep as Manchin’s.  She may have a better chance of re-election by switching parties because of all the hostility she is experiencing from grassroots Democrats.

She could also command a very high price in exchange for switching.  Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell would reward her handsomely.  She would get her pick of committee assignments – and even a chairmanship of a subcommittee since her crossing the aisle would give the GOP the majority in the Senate – and put McConnell back in the Majority Leader position.

The GOP would make all sorts of pledges to support her fundraising. She would get a nice contribution from the Senate Republican Campaign Committee.

As much as the Democrats would revile Sinema, Republicans would make her a national hero.  She would not only hand the GOP control of the Senate, but she would completely crash Biden’s grandiose plan to fundamentally change America.  He would probably get his physical Infrastructure Bill passed – unless if is defeated by the progressives in his own Party — but the Reconciliation Bill would be dead on arrival in the Senate.  

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

10 Comments

  1. Dan Tyree

    It would be great if they switched parties, but they should become republicans. But only if they are true conservatives. We have enough rinos.

  2. Frank Stetson

    I agree Larry. What I find strange is that Manchin is against the billionaires tax. First, I am not sure there’s a billionaire in all of West Virginia. Beyond personal principles, of which this is not typical for a Democrat, where we believe in fairness in taxing, progressive taxing, and not unfair flat taxing, I just don’t see where this garners him too many extra votes in West Virginia and may lose some. Probably should have just stayed mum which should have been zero risk for him.

    • Dan Tyree

      Three common lies told in West Virginia. My truck is paid for, I didn’t know that she’s my sister, and I was only trying to help the sheep over the fence. The men there also go to family reunions to meet women.

    • Joseph S. Bruder

      Manchin has coal interests behind him… They may not reside in WV, but they’ve obviously got a hold on him.

      Sinema ran as a progressive in her last two elections. But it appears that she’s decided to take the personal enrichment route to fame and fortune. That’s why her staff and supporters are leaving.

      I think both will be ousted next time they’re up for re-election. Both come from states where a progressive candidate could win.

      • Harry jones

        Not if cheating is not allowed. If dead voters stay dead and for the living voters one vote per customer

  3. Frank stetson

    They offered a bounty of up to $1 million in Texas to prove voter fraud anywhere in the land. So far, only one winner, and that was a fraudulent vote for Trump.

    You can’t even find these things when you pay for it.

    • Dan Tyree

      What a damned lie.

      • Frank Stetson

        JFGI Dan.

        • Dan Tyree

          I did. Still a damned lie. Just like Obama’s fake birh certificate. Made up bullshit. Don’t you love retard joe? The guy who sleeps during meetings with world leaders, which he isn’t.

  4. Frank stetson

    Sure Dan, keep telling yourself. Then look up Wayne‘a salary over time , see Wayne run it up from 200k to 2.2m while taking 1.2m in expenses.

    He doesn’t even like guns. This dog don’t even hunt.

    Pay those dues, Wayne needs new shoes.
    https://www.npr.org/2021/11/01/1050432834/misfire-is-a-scathing-look-at-nepotism-fraud-and-corruption-in-the-nra

    You will call these lies too but you are a member, just ask the salary question, others have. And quit.

    A fool and his money…..

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