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Afghanistan in hindsight

&NewLine;<p>I have been asked on several occasions&comma; what I would have done differently in terms of Afghanistan&period;&nbsp&semi; From my several commentaries on the subject&comma; I would have thought that readers would have known&period;&nbsp&semi; My view is that we should have won the war early on&period;&nbsp&semi; Apparently&comma; that needs a bit more explanation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The United States – and our allies – essentially stopped fighting in Afghanistan in 2014 when the mission was changed to an advisory and intelligence role – except for continued air support&period;&nbsp&semi; That is when the American casualty count dropped significantly&period;&nbsp&semi; If there was ever an intent to actually win the war&comma; that change in mission meant winning the war was no longer the objective&period;&nbsp&semi; We were doomed to a war of attrition&period;&nbsp&semi; Exactly the kind of war the Taliban and other terrorists are able to maintain&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>After six more years of refusing to win the war&comma; President Trump decided to start the surrender&period;&nbsp&semi; He did place conditions on American withdrawal – and was going to maintain air support&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Instead of reversing the Trump decision – and order a win-the-war strategy – President Biden ended America’s and our allies’ presence on the ground – and our support for the Afghan government and the majority of the people who had been given a significant sample of freedom&period;&nbsp&semi; A major blow to the Afghan military was Biden’s ending air support&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Many argue that given the situation&comma; there was no reason to carry on a war of attrition any longer&period;&nbsp&semi; Victory was no longer an option&period;&nbsp&semi; And that does make some sense if you accept&comma; as fact&comma; that America and our allies were incapable of winning the war – that we were doomed to defeat because Afghanistan was &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;the graveyard of empires&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Opponents of the war argue that we had no reason to even enter the conflict – or should have exited &lpar;surrendered Afghanistan to the Taliban&rpar; after we killed Osama bin Laden in Pakistan in 2010&period;&nbsp&semi; They say that was the only reasons for our troops fighting in the Islamic nation&period;&nbsp&semi; That is not true&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In reality&comma; fighting in Afghanistan was more than tracking down bin Laden&period;&nbsp&semi; We can see that from the aftermath of America’s unconditional surrender&period;&nbsp&semi; We are told by the American military leaders that the Taliban remains a dangerous enemy&period;&nbsp&semi; The al Qaeda wing was never put out of business – and is once again growing in size and influence under the sponsorship of the Taliban&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>While Trump lead the civilized world in defeating the ISIS califate&comma; the terrorist organization was never annihilated&period;&nbsp&semi; They are again on the rise&period;&nbsp&semi; Virtually every American-hating terrorist organization on earth has gained either enhanced physical power or psychological advantages&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Those were the reasons the war was necessary and important&period;&nbsp&semi; Killing ben Laden was just part of the purpose&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Whether we have declared that America is no longer in a state of war with the Taliban&comma; al Qaeda or ISIS&comma; they are still at war with America&period;&nbsp&semi; The Afghan conflict was a major part of our overall war on terrorism&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Maybe America did not really &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;surrender” because that usually means some terms of surrender that lay out the conditions and give a vision of the post-war relationship&period;&nbsp&semi; In that context&comma; we did not &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;surrender&period;”&nbsp&semi; We simply tucked tail and ran – hoping they will not come and get us&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>What has bothered me for most of the 20 years we fought and advised in Afghanistan is why we did not win the war&period;&nbsp&semi; Every President since 2001 has bragged that the United States has&comma; by far&comma; the most powerful military in the world&period;&nbsp&semi; Really&quest;&nbsp&semi; Either that is not true&comma; or we decided politically and diplomatically to NOT win the war – to not deploy our military effectively&period;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>We spent trillions of dollars and lost hundreds of thousands of lives – American military&comma; allied fighters&comma; contractors&comma; Afghan soldiers&comma; and citizens … for nothing&period;&nbsp&semi; Those who died&comma; died in vain&period;&nbsp&semi; Our young fighters were sent into battle with no intention to win&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So … what should we have done&quest;&nbsp&semi; We should have done what we should do before entering any war&period;&nbsp&semi; We should have had a worthy objective – as we did in Afghanistan – and lay out a winning strategy and then implement it&period;&nbsp&semi; What does a win look like&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I do not believe that it was impossible for America to win the war&period;&nbsp&semi; We and our allies should have driven the Taliban and al Qaeda into the mountains – and then used our intelligence network and our air force to bomb the Taliban into submission&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It may have taken a hundred thousand soldiers to do the job&period;&nbsp&semi; But I would let the logistics&comma; strategies&comma; and tactics up those who know how to deploy America’s military – the generals and admirals at the Pentagon&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I believe that kind of international determination would have inspired the civilized world and intimidated the state sponsors of terrorism&period;&nbsp&semi; I see no way that a rag-tag bunch of terrorists fighting with machine guns on the backs of pick-up trucks and home-made roadside bombs &&num;8212&semi; would stand a chance against a large&comma; well equipped&comma; and determined multi-national army – a fighting force with planes&comma; drones&comma; bunker-busting bombs and state of the art artillery and personal arms&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>We have even seen how effective an acceleration can be&period;&nbsp&semi;&nbsp&semi;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The war in Afghanistan began with a bombing raid on October 7&comma; 2001&period;&nbsp&semi; In short order&comma; the Taliban controlling the country was on the run&period; &nbsp&semi; The Council on Foreign Relations history of Afghanistan had this report on those early days&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><em>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The Taliban regime unravels rapidly after its loss at Mazar-e-Sharif on November 9&comma; 2001&comma; to forces loyal to Abdul Rashid Dostum&comma; an ethnic Uzbek military leader&period; Over the next week Taliban strongholds crumble after coalition and Northern Alliance offensives on Taloqan &lpar;11&sol;11&rpar;&comma; Bamiyan &lpar;11&sol;11&rpar;&comma; Herat &lpar;11&sol;12&rpar;&comma; Kabul &lpar;11&sol;13&rpar;&comma; and Jalalabad &lpar;11&sol;14&rpar;&period; On November 14&comma; 2001&comma; the UN Security Council passes Resolution 1378&comma; calling for a &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;central role” for the United Nations in establishing a transitional administration and inviting member states to send peacekeeping forces to promote stability and aid delivery&period;”<&sol;em><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In just two months&comma; the Taliban control of the nation completely collapsed&period;&nbsp&semi; They and al Qaeda were driven to the remote mountain region on the Pakistani border&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>There were significant gains in Afghanistan when President Obama ordered a surge in 2010 – committing another 30 thousand U&period;S&period; troops to the war to oppose increased Taliban aggression&period;&nbsp&semi; He put General David Petraeus in charge&period;&nbsp&semi; Once again&comma; the Taliban were being routed and their offensive actions blunted&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>In 2011 bin Laden was killed in Pakistan&period;&nbsp&semi; That was the point the war of attrition began&period;&nbsp&semi; Obama launched his drawdown policy – as he did in Iraq&period;&nbsp&semi; And with similar results – but over a longer period&period;&nbsp&semi; In 2014&comma; Obama took America out of the fight – with only an advisory mission remaining along with essential air support&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>&nbsp&semi;After that&comma; there was no effort to win the war&period;&nbsp&semi; Subsequently&comma; Trump and Biden continued the policy of a slow 5-year retreat that came to a catastrophic conclusion in August of 2021&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>To the question&comma; what would I have done if I were President&quest;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>I would have ordered the generals to give me a plan to defeat the Taliban and al Qaeda in Afghanistan&period;&nbsp&semi; Explain what would constitute victory – and what would be needed to achieve it&period;&nbsp&semi; And I would have given them whatever they needed to do the job&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>You see … I do not believe that the United States did not then or now have the ability – and the resources – necessary to defeat the Taliban and further degrade al Qaeda and ISIS&period;&nbsp&semi; I believe such a victory would have chilled terrorist activities throughout the globe&period;&nbsp&semi; It would have emboldened our allies and intimidate our adversaries&period;&nbsp&semi; It would have reinforced the United States’ leadership throughout the world&period;&nbsp&semi; It would have accomplished the opposite of everything America has suffered from Biden’s ill-fated decision&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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