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“Affordability” — A New Label on an Old Product

&NewLine;<p>We are hearing a lot about affordability as if it is a new issue&period; Actually&comma; it is an evergreen political issue most notably advanced by Democrat strategist James Carville when he said&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It’s the economy&comma; stupid&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>As long as I can recall&comma; the number one issue in politics has been the economy – the cost of living as perceived by the people&period; When the economy is going strong and the folks around the kitchen table are happy&comma; other issues may come to the fore in political platforms and campaigns&period; But … one little hiccup in the economy and it becomes the number one issue on the minds of voters as they head to the polls&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>We saw that in 2024&period; The Biden economy was not good in the minds of the American people – no matter what Democrats were saying&period; Distrust of Biden’s handling of the economy was the major factor that led voters to ignore the &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;hate‑Trump‑at‑all‑costs” strategy employed by the Democrats is what returned &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The Donald” to the White House&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>The History of Economics as THE Issue<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The economy has been the decisive factor in elections since the founding of the Republic&period; In fact&comma; the Panic of 1837 – a financial crisis marked by bank failures and unemployment – destroyed Martin Van Buren’s presidency&period; He inherited the downturn from Andrew Jackson’s policies&comma; but voters punished him nonetheless&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Fast forward to the Great Depression of the 1930s&period; Herbert Hoover and Republicans were swept out of office in 1932 as Franklin Roosevelt promised a &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;New Deal” to restore prosperity&period; &nbsp&semi;Roosevelt’s ability to project optimism on the economy got him elected for an unprecedented four terms&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Even in more modern times&comma; recessions and recoveries have determined political fortunes&period; Jimmy Carter’s presidency was crippled by stagflation – the toxic combination of high inflation and high unemployment&period; Ronald Reagan’s famous line&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Are you better off than you were four years ago&quest;” was all about the economy and resonated with voters who felt that they were not better off&period; Reagan won re-election in a landslide in 1984 by ending the Carter inflation&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Then there was the Eisenhower era of &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Peace and Prosperity&period;” The 1950s were marked by steady growth&comma; rising wages&comma; and relative calm abroad&period; Eisenhower’s popularity was rooted in the perception that he presided over a stable&comma; prosperous America&period; Voters rewarded him with two terms&comma; and the phrase &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;peace and prosperity” became shorthand for the political advantage of a strong economy&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The lesson is clear&period;&nbsp&semi; When the economy is good&comma; incumbents thrive&period; When it falters&comma; they fall&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>Today<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That brings us to the present moment&period; There are always multiple issues&comma; but the 2026 midterm elections are likely to be decided on the economy&period; At this point&comma; the advantage goes to the Democrats according to polls&period; Inflation has moderated compared to the spikes of the early 2020s&comma; wages are rising modestly&comma; and unemployment remains low&period; While Republicans continue to hammer on immigration and cultural issues&comma; Democrats have wisely shifted their message&period; They are no longer relying on fearmongering about Trump or demonizing Republicans&period; Instead&comma; they are talking about affordability – the cost of groceries&comma; rent&comma; healthcare&comma; and gas&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It is a smart pivot&period; In politics&comma; you win by addressing what voters feel most acutely&period; And right now&comma; voters feel the pinch of everyday expenses&period; Democrats are framing themselves as the party that understands the kitchen‑table concerns of ordinary families – the turf Republicans held in 2024&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Polls show Democratic House and Senate candidates gaining ground by emphasizing affordability – promising to lower prescription drug prices and expand tax credits for working families&period; Democrats are highlighting manufacturing jobs and cost‑of‑living relief&period;&nbsp&semi; This resonates with voters in states where auto workers recently fought for higher wages&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The emphasis on kitchen table issues is credited with socialist Zohran Mamdani’s victory in New York City’s mayoral contest&period;&nbsp&semi; These are not abstract issues&period; They are tangible&comma; immediate&comma; and personal&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Republicans&comma; meanwhile&comma; risk repeating the Democrats’ mistake of 2024 – focusing too much on personalities and grievances rather than the pocketbook&period; Voters may dislike Trump’s style or Biden’s age&comma; but when they step into the voting booth&comma; they are thinking about their mortgage payments&comma; their grocery bills&comma; and their retirement savings&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The Democrats’ rebranding of the economy as &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;affordability” is clever&period; It takes a perennial issue and gives it a fresh label&period; It allows them to talk about inflation without using the word&comma; which still carries negative connotations&period; It lets them connect with voters who may not follow GDP numbers but know exactly how much eggs and milk cost at the supermarket&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Of course&comma; the advantage is not guaranteed&period; Economic perceptions can change quickly&period; A drop in gas prices&comma; a record advances by the stock markets or drops in unemployment could shift the mood before November 2026&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>For now&comma; Democrats have the upper hand&period; Based on history alone&comma; they are likely to take control of the House&period;&nbsp&semi; They have learned that voters care less about partisan vendettas and more about whether they can afford both healthcare and food&period; By focusing on affordability&comma; they are speaking the language of the people&period; And in American politics&comma; that has always been the winning language&period; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Affordability” is not a new concept&comma; just a new label&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>So&comma; there &OpenCurlyQuote;tis&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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