President Donald Trump and rival Joe Biden are nearly tied in 15 swing states, reports CNN, with voters in the following states choosing Biden over Trump by a margin of just 1%: Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin.
The same poll shows overall support for Trump at 46% (up from 41% in June) and support for Biden at 50% (down from 55% in June).
Men were more likely to change their minds during the past few months, with support for Trump growing from 50% to 56% and support for Biden declining from 50% to 40%. Voters of all genders between the ages of 35 and 64 showed a similar shift.
Trump’s support among conservative voters has increased from 76% to 85% since June. Support for Trump among Independents is split nearly 50-50, with a mere 4% of Republican-leaning Independents backing Biden. In June, Biden led independent voters 52% to Trump’s 41%.
Survey results suggest a high voter turnout this year, with 72% of respondents saying they are “extremely enthusiastic” or “very enthusiastic” about voting. Among this group of people, 53% support Biden and 46% support Trump.
President Trump’s approval rating has increased slightly since June, reaching 42% despite concerns about his response to COVID-19. To compare, President Jimmy Carter’s approval rating was just 33% when he sought re-election in 1964; George HW Bush’s was 35% in 1992 and Obama’s was 48% in 2012.
Interestingly, a significant percentage of Biden supporters said their decision is more about opposing Trump than supporting Biden. This leads me to believe that people will change their minds before November, potentially signaling a repeat of 2016 when everyone was convinced the Democratic candidate would win.
Survey results suggest up to 7% of Biden supporters and 12% of Trump supporters may change their minds before the election.
The CNN poll suggests a dramatic divide on which issues are most important to voters. Up to 70% of Biden supporters list COVID-19 as ‘critically important’ compared to just 24% of Trump supporters. Nearly 60% of Trump supporters describe the economy as ‘extremely important’ compared to 37% of Biden supporters.
Roughly 57% of Biden supporters listed healthcare and race relations as ‘extremely important’ compared to 20% and 22% of Trump supporters, respectively.
Former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, California Senator Kamala Harris, will be officially confirmed as Democratic nominees this week at the Democratic National Convention.
Author’s Note: Political polls are anything but trustworthy, but it seems like this one wasn’t entirely co-opted by the liberal media.