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Cuomo for President?

Cuomo for President?

When it was an option between Vermont Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democrat establishment got behind Biden.  It was the second time that they worked to keep Sanders in second place in the presidential sweepstakes.

It was not, however, an unqualified joyful choice.  Biden has his problems and his baggage.  Now that Biden has surfaced as the likely Democrat presidential nominee, many Democrats are wincing.  While they cheer him on publicly they have deep reservations privately as to whether he has the stuff to beat Trump.  Many Democrats believe he does not.

The outbreak of the Coronavirus in America may have produced a new champion for the Democrat establishment – New York Governor Andrew Cuomo.  His daily press conferences and interviews have cast him in the fore of public attention.

Contrary to Trump – and to draw a partisan comparison with Trump – the media is effusive in its praise of Cuomo – even though his and Mayor Bill de Blasio’s earlier polices arguably resulted in the high number of Coronavirus cases in New York City.  You may recall that up until a week or so ago, de Blasio was telling New Yorkers to go about their business as usual.  He was even slow to close the schools.

But criticizing Cuomo and de Blasio does not fit the media’s anti-Trump narrative.   The fawning media is now calling Cuomo “America’s Governor” – much like Rudy Giuliani was dubbed “America’s Mayor” after the 9/11 attack on New York City.

This has led to speculation among Democrats in the public sphere – and even strategizing behind closed doors – that Cuomo would be a great replacement for Biden.  In theory that makes sense, but how can the old guard make that happen?

The surest way is to pressure Biden to step aside, but that is not easy.  With the nomination within his grasp, why would Biden lateral it off to Cuomo?

The more complicated way is for Cuomo to enter the race and snatch enough of the delegates within reach of Biden to force a brokered convention.  The last time that happened was in 1968 when then-Vice President Hubert Humphrey won the presidential nomination even though he skipped most of the primaries.

Here is how it would work.

On the first ballot, Biden falls a bit short of the prerequisite number of delegates to secure the nomination.  Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders comes in a strong second.  In that vote, Cuomo would be way down there with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg and the others who picked up a piddly number of delegates.

In the second ballot, Cuomo starts to move up significantly.  He would get the lion’s share of the 775 super delegates.  He would pick up some delegates from the also-rans who have no chance of rising from the lower ranks.  He could take a huge bite out of the Biden delegation.  Cuomo could – just could – win the nomination on the second round.  If not, his momentum would carry him over the top on a third ballot.  By that time, Cuomo could even have the endorsement of the declining Biden.

It is not impossible for Biden to win on a second ballot.  It all depends on how many super delegates and other delegates he can gain without losing any of his.  But clearly, the momentum would be with Cuomo.

While there is speculation in the field, a critical issue is when does Cuomo accept a draft and declare his intention to run?  It could be political suicide to announce his candidacy for President of the United States while his state is in the midst of the Coronavirus crisis.

This makes it almost impossible to get on any primary ballot – and even run an effective write-in campaign.  The Democratic National Committee rules also work against him.  Would he start fundraising while people are dying in New York?  With a net worth in the $5 million range, he can hardly self-fund.  It may just be too late for Cuomo to make the move.

But what if he does and can prevent Biden from clinching the nomination before the convention in Milwaukee?  The scenario above has one HUGE problem for the Democrats.  It is called Bernie Sanders.

Sanders’ supporters are not traditional Democrats devoted to the party.  They are Bernie folks – dedicated to him personally.  Many stayed home in 2016 because of how Hillary Clinton got the nomination – and a goodly number cast revenge ballots for Trump.

If Biden falls short of the nomination before the convention, Sanders and his supporters are going to be in the fight.  In their view, if it is not Biden – and that is bad enough – it damn well better be Sanders – the second most popular candidate according to the primary voters.

Biden was carried on the tide of the never-Sanders movement within the Democratic Party – as would be Cuomo.  If Biden had to rely on the super delegates to get him over the top, Sanders’ revolutionaries would go berserk.  Replacing Biden – who at least won his delegates in primaries – with Cuomo would increase their anger many times over.  They already believe that the anybody-but-Sanders movement has produced a corrupt and rigged system against their candidate and his grassroots supporters.

If Cuomo enters the race, it does not matter if he takes the nomination or not  His very presence in the race will create more havoc for the Democratic Party – and further reduce their chances of defeating Trump no matter who the candidate is.

So, there ‘tis.

About The Author

Larry Horist

So,there‘tis… The opinions, perspectives and analyses of Larry Horist Larry Horist is a businessman, conservative writer and political strategist with an extensive background in economics and public policy. Clients of his consulting firm have included such conservative icons as Steve Forbes and Milton Friedman. He has served as a consultant to the Nixon White House and travelled the country as a spokesman for President Reagan’s economic reforms. He has testified as an expert witness before numerous legislative bodies, including the U. S. Congress. Horist has lectured and taught courses at numerous colleges and universities, including Harvard, Northwestern, DePaul universities, Hope College and his alma mater, Knox College. He has been a guest on hundreds of public affairs talk shows, and hosted his own program, “Chicago In Sight,” on WIND radio. Horist was a one-time candidate for mayor of Chicago and served as Executive Director of the City Club of Chicago, where he led a successful two-year campaign to save the historic Chicago Theatre from the wrecking ball. An award-winning debater, his insightful and sometimes controversial commentaries appear frequently on the editorial pages of newspapers across the nation. He is praised by readers for his style, substance and sense of humor. According to one reader, Horist is the “new Charles Krauthammer.” He is actively semi-retired in Boca Raton, Florida where he devotes his time to writing. So, there ‘tis is Horist’s signature sign off.

14 Comments

  1. Patricia J Cochran

    Re question about Cuomo and the presidency………
    I think he summed it up quite well himself when he said that “he was in politics and he was in the government”. Well said Cuoma….. and I’d personally like to stay far away from anyone in politics and
    the government.

    Reply
  2. N A

    I would not give Cuomo the Sweat off my BALLS and besides besides any notion of being
    president !

    Reply
  3. Aline

    HIM? AS PRESIDENT? NOT NO, BUT HELL NO! WE ALREADY HAVE A PRESIDENT and HE’LL WINN 2020! NO NEED FOR ANOTHER demonicRAT/ libTURD/ socialist JERK!

    Reply
  4. JC

    To quote an actor in a recent commercial… “Oh hell no! This grunt cannot keep his stories straight, lies at every turn he can, and has he hand out automatically…for himself! The only one worse than him is De Blasio, the armpit of the state!

    Reply
  5. Woodrow Short

    I dont think so. He is a democrat and you cant trust them at all.They only care about themselves and power. They were caught with there pants down so to speak. They had resporators in the state and didnt yous them. They were in a warehouse. And he complains to Pres Trump about not having them. What a liar.

    Reply
  6. P.G. HudsonJr.

    Like him or not , Andrew Cuomo has shown great leadership under enormous amount of pressure. Pressures from the confused and indecisive national government, pressure from the unprepared and exasperated medical community, pressure from uninformed fellow governors and finally from a frustrated ,fearful and angry public. They feel inadequately served by an indecisive, devisive and cowardly Chief Executive, who would rather point out flaws in others while ignoring his own incompetance. He should throw himself ” under the bus”, not those his responsibility.

    Reply
  7. Peter Schill

    Talk about a nightmare scenario.

    Reply
  8. Pedro

    It is abundantly obvious that the propaganda wing of the Demonrat party is pushing “Koomo.”

    Reply
  9. Mike

    I had rather have the Coronavirus than peckerhead Cuomo as president!

    Reply
    • Donna Slivka

      hahahahahaha !!!!!!!!!!!

      Reply
  10. Anna Spaulding

    He is nothing more than the latest TV Whore! I would vote for Porky Pig before I would vote for this idiot! So that would be a great big HELL NO!

    Reply
  11. Beach

    Same Answer as DeBlasio…..stay in the crime infested state you created!
    Neither can run the State/City of NY…..What would he do-whine and complain to other foreign leaders and bow down and kiss their feet-sell out the US and US Citizens for illegal aliens!

    Reply

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