As more countries make the decision to leave the European Union, there has been speculation that the EU is bound to collapse.
But if this does happen in the future, what will happen to the Europe we know?
Well, the German military has made some predictions about what could potentially happen in the event that the EU does fall apart. Six different scenarios have been outlined in an internal project dubbed as “Strategic Perspective 2040.”
The German magazine Der Spiegel published segments of the secret report over the weekend.
“EU enlargement has been largely abandoned, other states have left the community, Europe has lost its global competitiveness,” writes Der Spiegel. “The increasingly disorderly, sometimes chaotic and conflict-prone world has dramatically changed the security environment of Germany and Europe.”
This is just one of the six outcomes forecasted to occur by 2040 if the EU fails to keep members. Other outcomes include a rise in extremism or countries adopting a political model similar to Russia’s.
Even the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said in March of this year that supporting exits from the union could ignite wars.
Juncker criticized President Donald Trump for his lack of concern for Europe after the U.S. world leader applauded the U.K.’s decision to leave the EU.
“For the first time in postwar history we have an American president giving the impression he is not interested in European affairs,” said Juncker.
The European Commission president then urged U.S. Vice President Mike Pence to discourage other EU countries from leaving.
“I told the vice president, ‘Do not say that, do not invite others to leave, because if the European Union collapses, you will have a new war in the western Balkans,'” said Juncker.
The EU has threatened to punish the U.K. for its decision to leave.
Juncker said that leaving the EU was a “tragedy” and that trade negotiations with EU members would be much more difficult.
“Every day we discover new problems we did not even know about or imagine,” said Juncker. “People think [Brexit] is the end. No, it is just the beginning.”
There has been speculation that the EU is on the verge of a collapse for the last few years.
“The European Union can break apart. This can go incredibly fast when isolation instead of solidarity becomes the rule internally and externally … We may have only a couple of months,” said Jean Asselborn, Luxembourg’s foreign minister in November 2014. “If we do not find a European solution for the migration crisis, if more and more countries believe that they can approach the issue only nationally, then Schengen’s dead.”
Not to mention, Russia is hoping for the demise of the EU.
“What makes everything even more dangerous is Russia preying on the EU. Putin’s Russia has a vital interest in its break-up. The risk is that Brexit could trigger a ‘Breakit’ through a succession of other exits forced by the angry factions and thereby add too many crises for the EU to cope with. What happens then to Europe’s nations big and small, one dares not imagine,” writes The Guardian.
Author’s note: As the migrant crisis continued, the EU made a massive mistake by forcing its members to accept thousands of refugees they couldn’t handle within their borders. This recent refugee immigration, along with the Brexit and the moves toward secession, like in Catalan, just proves that the EU needs to do some serious damage control.