President Trump’s new task force against voter fraud has just gained some academic backing in the form of a timely study conducted by Just Facts, a longstanding research group lead by Brown-educated mechanical engineer James D. Agresti.
The research group has begun to poke some serious holes in an oft-cited study led by professors from Harvard and Amherst which concluded that “zero” or a “negligible” amount of illegal immigrants are registered to, and do vote. Now arguably the best known study on illegal immigrant votes, the Harvard study emerged to refute an earlier study by Old Dominion University, which concluded that up to 2.8 million illegal immigrants voted in the 2008 election.
Why the discrepancy? According to Agresti, it has to do with some seriously faulty and decidedly un-academic assumptions made by the Harvard study.
For one, Harvard operated under the assumptions that some citizens identified themselves as non-citizens on a questionnaire. (It is unclear whether the Harvard professor leading the study thought people were somehow mistaken as to their own citizen status or just claiming to be noncitizens for the heck of it.) On the other hand, they also assumed that no non-citizens, including those who are here illegally, falsely claimed to be citizens on the survey. (Because why would an illegal immigrant, or a non-citizen voter, hesitate to be truthful about their status on a survey?)
What’s even more illogical is that the Harvard study refused to count even those who readily admitted to fraudulently voting as a non-citizen unless they could find a record of that individual having voted despite their non-citizen or illegal status. If the Harvard study attempted to find these admitted fraudulent voters in the database using whatever name or number respondents gave to researchers, which seems likely, it’s no wonder the researchers came up empty handed.
Few criminals would be willing to admit to a serious crime like voter fraud and then leave their real name and information. Even less likely is that a non-citizen voter would register to vote, or actually vote, under their own name. Government audits have shown that many illegal immigrants use fake ID’s and fake social security numbers to conduct their affairs in the U.S.
At any rate, Just Facts’s study concluded that while the exact number of non-citizens who fraudulently voted is impossible to pin down with real certainty, it is most certainly not “zero” or even “negligible.” Agresti’s best estimate puts the actual number of non-citizens who fraudulently voted at approximately 1.5 million, but as high as 2.1 million.
That’s 1.5 to 2 million too many, if you ask me. You won’t hear the left complaining, though.
Who do you think they’re all voting for?